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Besides the bond auctions, what other economic data news affects ZN trading? (i.e. you will not get into a position too close to this economic release)
Do foreign economic data release affect ZN?
Pretty much I want to know, from people's experience, when you should avoid trading due to potential volatility from the data.
Thanks!
Can you help answer these questions from other members on NexusFi?
...there are: FOMC decisions (not only the rate hikes/cuts but also the 'bias') ; Fed Officials speeches, Congress decisions about budget, the yield curve relationships vs inflation expectations, etc.
Broker: Advantage Futures, Ninja/TT and InvestorRT/IQFeed.
Trading: Treasury futures
Posts: 312 since Nov 2010
Thanks Given: 194
Thanks Received: 912
My rule of thumb is that if it gets a B- or higher for Importance on Yahoo Briefing economic calendar, avoid it: Economic Calendar: Financial Calendars - Yahoo! Finance. If the report is hyperlinked, it should have an importance rating. Less than a B-, I'm willing to stay in if I really like the trade.
Purchasing Managers reports are very important: ISM, ISM Services, Chicago PMI, Empire State Manufacturing. Philly Fed is very big. Also CPI and PPI. Retail Sales. Consumer Confidence and Univ. of Michigan Sentiment. GDP. Employment Situation, Fed rate decisions, Fed minutes, and auction results are the biggest IMO.
Lately the early AM numbers haven't meant that much to me because I usually start finding trades I like after 8:00AM CST. You have to be careful around the Purchasing Managers numbers, because they sometimes come out a few minutes early. Also, Univ. of Michigan Sentiment is a subscription number and subscribers get it five minutes before you do.
"You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows..."