NexusFi: Find Your Edge


Home Menu

 





Man, I sure can pick em!


Discussion in Options

Updated
      Top Posters
    1. looks_one Pete Schweaty with 4 posts (0 thanks)
    2. looks_two josh with 2 posts (0 thanks)
    3. looks_3 Ronald Johnson with 1 posts (0 thanks)
    4. looks_4 Quick Summary with 1 posts (0 thanks)
    1. trending_up 1,523 views
    2. thumb_up 0 thanks given
    3. group 3 followers
    1. forum 5 posts
    2. attach_file 0 attachments




 
Search this Thread

Man, I sure can pick em!

  #1 (permalink)
Pete Schweaty
Baltimore MD
 
Posts: 54 since Jun 2013
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 13

I may have the worst luck in the history of trading. I have been looking into credit spreads recently. Yesterday I picked one in a decent uptrend and sold a January bull put spread that had an 83% chance of finishing OTM and received a $0.57 credit. Awesome! This morning ... Not so much.

Anyone care to guess what the underlying was?

Reply With Quote

Can you help answer these questions
from other members on NexusFi?
REcommedations for programming help
Sierra Chart
MC PL editor upgrade
MultiCharts
ZombieSqueeze
Platforms and Indicators
Cheap historycal L1 data for stocks
Stocks and ETFs
Pivot Indicator like the old SwingTemp by Big Mike
NinjaTrader
 
  #3 (permalink)
Pete Schweaty
Baltimore MD
 
Posts: 54 since Jun 2013
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 13


Ok. I won't keep you in suspense. It was NFLX. It was almost like they waited for me to sell the option before they downgraded the stock today.

So for you options traders with some experience: the underlying is now very close to my short side of the spread (335). When it touches 335 I will be buying the spread back to prevent further loss.

Do you think I should roll the spread down to a lower strike, or just take my lumps as this downgrade could be the beginning of a larger correction?

Reply With Quote
  #4 (permalink)
 
josh's Avatar
 josh 
Georgia, US
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: None
Platform: SC
Broker: Denali+Rithmic
Trading: ES, NQ, YM
Posts: 6,245 since Jan 2011
Thanks Given: 6,782
Thanks Received: 18,254

Ok so 335 is the short side, what is the long side? And is this the monthly Jan, or a weekly?

Reply With Quote
  #5 (permalink)
Pete Schweaty
Baltimore MD
 
Posts: 54 since Jun 2013
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 13


josh View Post
Ok so 335 is the short side, what is the long side? And is this the monthly Jan, or a weekly?

The long side is 330. Jan 2014 (Monthly) 9 days until expiration.

Reply With Quote
  #6 (permalink)
Pete Schweaty
Baltimore MD
 
Posts: 54 since Jun 2013
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 13

Bought to close on a pullback today. Paid 1.25, so roughly a 1:1 R:R.

Reply With Quote




Last Updated on January 8, 2014


© 2024 NexusFi™, s.a., All Rights Reserved.
Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama City, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada)
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About Us - Contact Us - Site Rules, Acceptable Use, and Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy - Downloads - Top
no new posts