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Weather services for trading NG


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Weather services for trading NG

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  #1 (permalink)
 glowplug 
Miami Florida
 
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Does anyone have experience (or recommendations) for weather services for trading natural gas futures?

Bespoke Weather is one that I am familiar with. Wondering if folks have found value from using it, or if there are other services I should be looking at.

thanks!
-glowplug

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  #2 (permalink)
 SodyTexas 
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glowplug View Post
Does anyone have experience (or recommendations) for weather services for trading natural gas futures?

Bespoke Weather is one that I am familiar with. Wondering if folks have found value from using it, or if there are other services I should be looking at.

thanks!
-glowplug

I prefer NOAA degree days. I wrote a short paper on forecasting with it, I will attach it here. I am giving away my name by sharing it, but oh well. Please do not redistribute without my consent.

If you code in R, message me, and I can send you the code on the forecast as well.

Cheers,
Sody

"The great Traders have always been humbled by the market early on in their careers creating a deep respect for the market. Until one has this respect indelibly engraved in their makeup, the concept of money management and discipline will never be treated seriously."
Attached Files
Register to download File Type: pdf Storage_Forecast 11-30-2015.pdf (311.8 KB, 15 views)
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 MNSTrading 
Grand Rapids, Michigan
 
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SodyTexas View Post
I prefer NOAA degree days. I wrote a short paper on forecasting with it, I will attach it here. I am giving away my name by sharing it, but oh well. Please do not redistribute without my consent.


Cheers,
Sody

This is really nice work and beautifully laid out. Thanks for sharing.

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 SodyTexas 
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MNSTrading View Post
This is really nice work and beautifully laid out. Thanks for sharing.

Thanks, and you're welcome.

Sody

"The great Traders have always been humbled by the market early on in their careers creating a deep respect for the market. Until one has this respect indelibly engraved in their makeup, the concept of money management and discipline will never be treated seriously."
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 westernwind 
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SodyTexas View Post
If you code in R, message me, and I can send you the code on the forecast as well.

Not a ggplot man, I see! But I second the other comment: very nicely presented.

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 SodyTexas 
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westernwind View Post
Not a ggplot man, I see! But I second the other comment: very nicely presented.

Haha, those are all ggplots except for the QQ plots.

"The great Traders have always been humbled by the market early on in their careers creating a deep respect for the market. Until one has this respect indelibly engraved in their makeup, the concept of money management and discipline will never be treated seriously."
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 westernwind 
Cardiff, UK
 
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SodyTexas View Post
Haha, those are all ggplots except for the QQ plots

Hah, that'll teach me to speak without looking more closely - thought it was base graphics! Perhaps theme_bw then, but either way looks neat. I assume some dialect of LaTeX for the paper itself.

Did you actual do any trading based on this concept, or were you just satisfying your curiosity?

WW

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 SodyTexas 
Austin TX
 
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westernwind View Post
Hah, that'll teach me to speak without looking more closely - thought it was base graphics! Perhaps theme_bw then, but either way looks neat. I assume some dialect of LaTeX for the paper itself.

Did you actual do any trading based on this concept, or were you just satisfying your curiosity?

WW


Understanding the storage numbers for naty is very useful in spread trading, So the short answer is yes, but it's usually in a form of a spread that seasonal like March, April.

"The great Traders have always been humbled by the market early on in their careers creating a deep respect for the market. Until one has this respect indelibly engraved in their makeup, the concept of money management and discipline will never be treated seriously."
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