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Bojangle's Journal
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Bojangle's Journal

  #41 (permalink)
Elite Member
Canada
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: ES
 
Posts: 158 since Feb 2010
Thanks: 27 given, 34 received

no trades.... again because of volatility. volume has been on a decline since monday and friday's volume was about 2 million, which is a little bit higher than the average a few weeks ago.

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  #42 (permalink)
Elite Member
Canada
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: ES
 
Posts: 158 since Feb 2010
Thanks: 27 given, 34 received

pre-plan:

intermediate term is bearish below 1215.5
longer term is bearish below 1257.5
short-term is bullish above 1153.75
expecting responsive buyers to be active at 64.5, 54.5-53.75
expecting responsive sellers to be active at 1213-15.5

news:

empire state mfg survey at 8.30 – imp – medium
treasury international capital at 9.00 – imp - high
housing market index at 10.00 – imp – low
dennis lockhart speaks at 1.25

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  #43 (permalink)
Elite Member
Canada
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: ES
 
Posts: 158 since Feb 2010
Thanks: 27 given, 34 received


plan:

normal volatility and volume ON session!!!!! expecting responsive sellers to be active on first test of 1187. idea is for a pullback, with the downside target at 1153.75. expecting responsive buyers to be active at 1165 on first test. line in sand for pullback idea is at 53.75, and that is where I am expecting stronger responsive buyers to be active. below 53.75, buyers may be active on first test of 38-39.5, but eventually expecting 13.5, where I’d expect responsive buyers on first test, then lower. above the ON high and friday’s high at 86.5, expecting 13-15.5, where I’d expect responsive sellers to be active.

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  #44 (permalink)
Elite Member
Canada
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: ES
 
Posts: 158 since Feb 2010
Thanks: 27 given, 34 received

6 trades. a couple missed. a couple i shouldn't have taken. 1 i should have held longer for a full runner. 1 trade was a runner, 1 trade was just a first-scale. profitable day.

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  #45 (permalink)
Elite Member
Canada
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: ES
 
Posts: 158 since Feb 2010
Thanks: 27 given, 34 received

pre-plan:

expecting responsive buyers at 84.25 (day’s low)
expecting responsive buyers at 64.5ish
line in sand at 53.75 still, where I’d expect stronger responsive buying to be active
- below, expecting 1114ish
expecting responsive sellers to be active at 15.5ish

news:

icsc-goldman store sales at 7.45
housing starts at 8.30 – imp - high
import and export prices at 8.30 – imp – medium
redbook at 8.55
industrial production at 9.15 – imp – medium
e-commerce retail sales at 10.00
loan officer survey – tentative – low

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  #46 (permalink)
Elite Member
Canada
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: ES
 
Posts: 158 since Feb 2010
Thanks: 27 given, 34 received

plan:

below 53.75, it’s more than just a pullback in an upside movement and the larger-term downtrend is expected to continue with 1114 and lower as the expectation. expecting responsive sellers to be active at yday’s low at 1184.25. if buyers can hold above 87.5 short-term line in sand, expecting 98.5 open gap and then 1201.75, which is where I’d expect responsive sellers to be active on first test. below 87.50, downside target is 53.75, but before that expecting responsive buyers to be active at 65. keeping friday’s nvpoc at 76ish plotted because if sellers fail there we could see yday’s high at 91.5.


update:

87.5 has been broken and now expecting prior day’s high at 01.5 eventually. expecting responsive buyers at 84.75 (yday’s low) and the ON low at 79.75. below 79.75, downside target is 53.75.

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Bojangle's Journal-0816114.jpg   Bojangle's Journal-0816115.jpg   Bojangle's Journal-0816116.jpg  

Last edited by bojangle; August 16th, 2011 at 10:26 AM. Reason: update
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  #47 (permalink)
Elite Member
Canada
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: ES
 
Posts: 158 since Feb 2010
Thanks: 27 given, 34 received

what a headache today was. i lost focus and objectivity at about 11.00. i didn't have the guts to trade after that. this is definitely something i need to overcome: just continuing trading, pushing through after losses because the next trade, if based on sound analysis, COULD easily make up for those losses and then some.

also got into an argument with someone i know regarding trading... the dumbest thing to do in trading is to talk methods with another. it will only end in an argument.

really was a day that hit me hard emotionally.

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  #48 (permalink)
Elite Member
Canada
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: ES
 
Posts: 158 since Feb 2010
Thanks: 27 given, 34 received

pre-plan:

405 min pullback ending still on (downtrend pulling back from 1114ish)
bias is bearish below 1215.5 (then bullish till 57.5)
expecting responsive sellers to be active at 01.5
expecting responsive buyers on first test of 64.75
pullback line in sand at 53.75 – expecting responsive buyers here on first test
expecting responsive sellers to be active at 1215.5ish


news:

mba purchase applications at 7.00
producer price index at 8.30 - high
eia petroleum status report at 10.30 – imp – medium
richard fisher speaks at 1.20

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  #49 (permalink)
Elite Member
Canada
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: ES
 
Posts: 158 since Feb 2010
Thanks: 27 given, 34 received

plan:

expecting responsive sellers to be active on first test of 01.5. expecting responsive buyers to be active on first test of 83.75. 83.75 is the short-term line in the sand. below 83.75, expecting 65 (responsive buyers expected to be active there on first test) and then 53.75 (expecting responsive buyers on first test). above, expecting responsive sellers to be active at 15.5ish.

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  #50 (permalink)
Elite Member
Canada
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: ES
 
Posts: 158 since Feb 2010
Thanks: 27 given, 34 received


sharing an idea: targeting 92-90s. expecting responsive buyers there. 90s are line in sand, below that, 405 min pullback considered complete, but bounces can be expected at support.

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