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bobs qwest to attain consistency


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bobs qwest to attain consistency

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  #701 (permalink)
 bobarian 
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oct 21

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  #702 (permalink)
 bobarian 
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sept 25

Its been 3 years since i posted in this journal.Alot of coming and going with trading.For the near future, ill likely trade the am session, as i have been doing this for a while.Currently in sim, and i require 2 weeks of positive results to be back live.
Todays open in the ym was in yest range/below yest value on the tpo.YM quickly moved up into yvalue, but topped out at sd1 on eth vwap.For fade trades , i am looking for sd2 area.So, i didnt take the 2 shorts marked out.There was also a short on the 4 range rollover, which i was away from my desk.For somw time now, i have been thinking about these types of entries in sd1/sd-1 area.I feel like this is trading to close to vwap.However, when the 30 min is not trending, i will consider the entry...Im not sure about entries near vwap tho.In the end, there was a signal, i just didnt prefer the location.Its not easy to watch that kind of drop...and I need to be very careful about trying to fade a market falling like that.So no trades today


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  #703 (permalink)
 bobarian 
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sept 26

1)short off 1min vol spike that penetrated sd3 and yhod We had plenty of room to support, i like to use the 30min5 for a reasonable target area for support, as we were trending up on YM.I typically wait for 1 down momentum bar on 1min, and get a pb entry.Also, i want it to enter before we move down to sd1.The 1 min ran away from my risk allowance,and I wasnt filled.This really has me thinking about my execution on this setup.The 8range gave 2 clear sell candles.When YM got down to just above sd1, i pulled the order.
2).took short on cl(execute on qm).cl was in a clear downtrend on the 30 min, and when we entered sd-1, there was plenty of confluence for a short.15 tick target.got stopped for -8.The subsequent HH on cl was still shortable.
3).Trying to stick with the 30 min trend.8range was extended, and quicker time frames diverged.Stopped -8.
4)This wasnt marked as a short, and i am trying to expand my parameters for acceptable trades.Had ym gone 2 more



ticks higher into sd2,i would have shorted a clear divergence at nhod.This goes way back to my tendency to take lines as absolutes.The nhod was enough,and support was far enough lower.As I can see on the chart, support failed.When fade signal occur on the higher time frame, they have the capability to break support.If i had shorted this, target would have been vwap/support area.

On another note,the long I took on trade 3 has an extended macd,with divergent doub bottoms on the quick chart at support.I am trying to trade pullbacks with the trend.So , if im using the 8range as my longer range chart, i try to enter with trend if i get a signal on the quick chart.I still have a hard time finding a realistic way to enter with the trend....
Last note.The fades that i look for at nhod/nlod on the 8 range (diverged) at this point have the highest percentage to succeed.I like the fact, that for the trade to fail, it needs to make another nhod or nlod.So if we open today, and the 30 minis in uptrend, i allready know there is a possibility for a short at new highs...I just want to hitch a ride to those new highs!! not so simple tho

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  #704 (permalink)
 bobarian 
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I am trying to trade with the flow.I use the 30 min, for the context.The 8range is useful for ddt and ddb,..it seems the 1min , when we gwt a few hours into the day, slows down enough to give oscilations in accordance with the 30 min, including a directional vwap.
1 and 2 are rollovers.YM fell pretty hard, tried to find buyers around sd-1, which makes sense.
3 is a DDB on the 8range ,that i missed by 1 tick.
4 attempts to come back into value, and rolls over, finding some support at sd-1,which indicates buyers again want to be back in value.
At this point , it starts to wedge out, so no more to be done.
So going forward, i intend to keep the 8range DDT /DDB,and also try to understand the flow dynamically, not static.
continue to use 8range for execution to avoid chop.Besides, there will always be a buy or sell candle on 8r, so keep it simple

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  #705 (permalink)
 cory 
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[..
So going forward, i intend to keep the 8range DDT /DDB,and also try to understand the flow dynamically, not static.
continue to use 8range for execution to avoid chop.Besides, there will always be a buy or sell candle on 8r, so keep it simple

market is so choppy that it's not a clear DT/DB, only "looks like" DT/DB now.

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  #706 (permalink)
 bobarian 
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cory View Post
market is so choppy that it's not a clear DT/DB, only "looks like" DT/DB now.

this is a merged tpo of this weeks rth trading so far.Depending on the time frame, there are different setups.The DB i marked today at the lows is a stretch,because the ensuing LL was exaxtly that, a LL.However, it penetrated ylod and got into the sd-2, which makes it worth a shot.SL is just below LOD

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 bobarian 
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sept 28
YM opens in range/value.The first trade of the day should have been the DDB at 9:38...no fill here.
1.8r extended,/nhod/30min5/4r DT,a bit early on this -8
2.8r DDT/sd1/nhod/30min5 test/4r /1min e -8
3.8r e/nhod/sd2/ONH/4r/1min div -8

all shorts, 3 full stops in a row means i am done for the day all in sim until 2 weeks positive . I want to focus on the launch today off the rth mid.It spent some time there accumulating ,and has been going up since.I would like to participate in these plays.Also, as mentioned before, my best percentage is a simple 8range DDt/DDb.-$135 sim



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  #708 (permalink)
 bobarian 
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Oct 2 monday..open above range /above value...Ym shot up to new highs
trade 1..DDT short , which had plenty of room to vwap and 30min 5,both trending for support.I did not take this.I have been using the macd forever, with only the histogram.This gets me into trouble when we go into exploration mode.So I decided to just try the stock macd,and it might help.However, today i got jammed up on a trade i would always take..
trade 2..oh man, a short into support...that about says it all....When we are trending on 30 min, look to enter at support.Over lunch I thought about this, and I was kinda like,"what the heck happened?"Context is everything.
-$50 todayvideo shortly

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 bobarian 
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oct 2.mp4

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 bobarian 
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oct 19
cl opens below value/range.off the open a buy signal on 1st 1min candle..too crazy for the 1st few minutes in cl.Took a

1)short,2nd hit of vwap...-10 on QM could have beeen silly slippage with that vol spike.1st hit is the money shot.I even have it marked,just organizing my 2 instruments onto 1 monitor because im looking around too much and missing signals.

2)long ym.2nd attempt to break vwap,target was sd1.I forgot to adjust the target, triggered at +15...+14 on that..oh well.
+$10 on 2 trades..all sim till I get 2weeks positive.

The cl trade was not a good trade.2nd hits are iffy.The ym ,was much better, he

nce the reason for the larger target

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