5/20 recapvery poor trading today.Todays video is live.It demonstrates how quickly i can make a determination about bias, and then trade the incorrect way.Maybe i need to just keep doing videos in real time,and hear this.You know your entries are bad when you have to go into defensive mode quickly...
Today, i traded the plan,right off the open.I thought before the bell, 2 trades , and im done.2 trades later, trading correctly, and im happily done.I have always known that i would stop by 11am for the cl.I find that , for me, it gets alot harder after that.Im not saying i will always do this, but for now, i need to stop being cute, and get disciplined.I have a tendency to try to trade both sides.There are days where this is ok, but i think most of the time, the tpo/delta will be giving a direction, even if it is rangy.Do not trade the the fade at the extreme vs order flow unless we hit an important level.And , for now, dont even trade that.Stick with ordere flow.Today, the 2nd trade wasnt the best entry, but it was good enough, and i swa my mistake.Even "not so great entries" can work, if they are close enough to the reject areas
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iIn the last few weeks, a few things have started to occur to me.First of all, cl does not respond to strict levels of vwap /trendlines,etc.I have been trying to find the best areas for entries , only to watch my entry get overshot, as the cl reaches for something else.Even vwap, will get undershot/overshot.There are no absolutes, we know this...especially with the cl.It would be easier if there was...too bad.
I have been stepping up the work, doing alot of replays ,each day.Need to be careful not to overdo it.Still , i want to keep it up.
In respect to what cl does observe, sometimes i feel i have a good idea.However, placing naked entries at areas of confluence is not consistently working for me.As i said, cl likes to overshoot.I have always been a believer in volume, and i think a more reasonable approach, is to be aware of the areas of confluence, and wait for volume to come in .This isnt black and white either.Trading in the correct direction of the delta(if there is one)seems to help.
So this video, which i did in replay, is what i will work on for the next month...
Identify areas of interest on tpo, especially single prints, poor low/highs, naked (prominent) pocs, etc
- be wary of the 30 min switch to the next period especially
Identify possible bias on delta
look for areas of confluence off the open
remember to look left for sup/res levels
Areas for trades are exactly that...areas...look for the vol to come in
I have to say, the tpo has become my focal point, the delta and vwap.
Now, my results go up and down, which is why i simulate(and its been quite a while).What i need to do is keep up with the replay, sit for the first 2 hours live every day, and work harder on the focus.Which i shall do...
I havent updated for a while...been trying to work through this stuff......I went back to those minute charts, with all the time frames, and its the same story...Mas work when they do , and dont when they dont.Once again, i am back to just 3 charts.The 5 min eth/vwap/delta,the 500 tick rth vwap/delta/ib, and a 15 second chart to see the volume surges that the cl will often have.I also have the tpo , which i use for structure.
A few weeks ago, i found that using the rth chart with the delta was doing a nice job of pointing out order flow, and i thought that i was finally starting to see order flow correctly.One day, things were just not working correctly, so what did i do?Yup, brought in a bunch of old charts that pointed out quickly , why the day was so weird....Well, that just wasted another 2 weeks.Now, im back to the same simple setup, that is probably good 3-4 days a week.The cl spazzes out periodically..we know that.Like everyone says, stop switching charts.sheez.
ok, thats that...keep this setup....but can i do it?not sure honestly...too many times.Simming forever....
Anyway, i will do a video of today, and yes...in replay.there were so many trades today, its sad i took none...will i ever get out of observation mode?not if i change charts.I honestly feel that i am seeing order flow pretty well in real time....so wtf is the problem?
I really believe that simming until profitable is the only way....and that this is a process that takes time.So what to do?
Stick to the program.My execution is a big issue....hesitancy...but i have to switch gears here,and move myself along to the next level.No more changes, and be aggressive when the trades are there
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