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My path of becoming a trader


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My path of becoming a trader

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  #71 (permalink)
 kingich 
Zagreb, Croatia, Europe
 
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AUD/CAD have missed its weekly pivot point ~ 0.9755 and have touched his R3 point in Friday.

NZD/USD missed its weekly pivot point ~ 0.7300

AUDJPY missed its weekly pivot point ~ 79.50

AU/USD missed its weekly pivot point ~ 0.9955 and its currently @ top 800 bollinger band. Quite extended if you ask me.

USD/CHF have been outside lower 800 bollinger band and returned outside the bands. Possible continuation upward.

The markets are non-linear, dynamic systems. Chaos analysis has determined that market prices are highly random with a trend component. The amount of the trend component varies from market to market and from time frame to time frame.

Manus J. Donahue III
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  #72 (permalink)
 kingich 
Zagreb, Croatia, Europe
 
Experience: Beginner
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thinking something about correlations ... hm. Not smart enough to take advantage of it.

The markets are non-linear, dynamic systems. Chaos analysis has determined that market prices are highly random with a trend component. The amount of the trend component varies from market to market and from time frame to time frame.

Manus J. Donahue III
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  #73 (permalink)
 kingich 
Zagreb, Croatia, Europe
 
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I have been short EUR/CHF and NZD/USD this morning. My regular 4h trades. I will provide my charts later.

The markets are non-linear, dynamic systems. Chaos analysis has determined that market prices are highly random with a trend component. The amount of the trend component varies from market to market and from time frame to time frame.

Manus J. Donahue III
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  #74 (permalink)
 kingich 
Zagreb, Croatia, Europe
 
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I still owe you charts of my short trades.

Just one trade idea. It's cable, on weekly chart. Huge triangle, I'd love to go short, but already have much position opened.

The markets are non-linear, dynamic systems. Chaos analysis has determined that market prices are highly random with a trend component. The amount of the trend component varies from market to market and from time frame to time frame.

Manus J. Donahue III
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  #75 (permalink)
 Eric j 
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kingich View Post
thinking something about correlations ... hm. Not smart enough to take advantage of it.


Correlations look interesting . Ive been reading this thread from FF for a while but havent tried any of these ideas yet .

Pair Divergence Method @ Forex Factory

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  #76 (permalink)
 kingich 
Zagreb, Croatia, Europe
 
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What a strongish of Aussie. I'm lack of ideas for my swing trading this week.

Eventually I've taken long at AUD/JPY, looking at 100 pips profit for now, this is the position trade I'm planning to build.

Still holding EUR/USD short, was twice + 200 pips and back, picture on the weekly haven't changed, so I'm having the same view on that.

Expect GBP to gain a little bit strenght, after much weakness this week.

The markets are non-linear, dynamic systems. Chaos analysis has determined that market prices are highly random with a trend component. The amount of the trend component varies from market to market and from time frame to time frame.

Manus J. Donahue III
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  #77 (permalink)
 kingich 
Zagreb, Croatia, Europe
 
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Hi everybody!

It's 31st, last day of the competition :-) Wish you luck!

EUR/USD went north again, on higher inflation in Eurozone. I'm still sitting in it, now around break even, after beeing 3 times 200 pips in profit. This is insane now.

It looks like the market waits for ECB decision, and expectation of increasing interest rates by 25bp.

Alghough I thought this is already priced, it seems that it could push euro up and not good for me. I hope interest rates will stay at 1 pct.

I know trading is not about hope and pray, but at this moment technicals tell me different story, fundamentals different - and I'm kind of influenced on fundamentals lately.

The markets are non-linear, dynamic systems. Chaos analysis has determined that market prices are highly random with a trend component. The amount of the trend component varies from market to market and from time frame to time frame.

Manus J. Donahue III
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  #78 (permalink)
 kingich 
Zagreb, Croatia, Europe
 
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One more long term analysis

Possible trend reversal?

The markets are non-linear, dynamic systems. Chaos analysis has determined that market prices are highly random with a trend component. The amount of the trend component varies from market to market and from time frame to time frame.

Manus J. Donahue III
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  #79 (permalink)
 kingich 
Zagreb, Croatia, Europe
 
Experience: Beginner
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Hi guys!

I've had an active weekend with my son, wife worked so I took care of him all day long.

Now back to business, looking for another adventure in the far right!

I've changed my charts a little bit, as I find more suitable for me. On my charts you can see 800 SMA black (slash), 62 EMA (orange) and 200 SMA (blue). Also, regular bollinger bands 1 and 2 SD, and regular MACD. Nothing special.

I'll pay more attention to the candles themselves, then to the indicators and things on my chart - they should come second. I guess when we put them on the chart, we forget about the price. Indicator becomes most important thing on the chart. So we get a dizzy picture.

For this week, I found something that I will be checking.

AUD/CHF is forming a huge triangle. Also, he totally missed it's last weekly pivot. Break above or below the triangle will be the entry trigger.

GBP/CHF is also in a ascending triangle, pushing the price slowly up with higher lows. For entry, I will wait for price to break the triangle, targeting 1,53.

AUD/CAD I've marked a pin bar, which we could see as a trend exhaustion. Nevertheless, price is consolidating in a broadening formation. A break above or (as I personally think) below formation will trigger my entry.

EUR/CAD - If we put this two candles I've marked together, it would be a pinbar, also right on the trend support line and 200 SMA. I think this could be a reversal point, also looking that the pair have totally missed it's last weekly pivot, I would be entering long targeting 1,3850 and above, when I see MACD line above 0.

Wish you luck

The markets are non-linear, dynamic systems. Chaos analysis has determined that market prices are highly random with a trend component. The amount of the trend component varies from market to market and from time frame to time frame.

Manus J. Donahue III
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  #80 (permalink)
 kingich 
Zagreb, Croatia, Europe
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Dukascopy
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Posts: 110 since Jan 2011
Thanks: 55 given, 71 received


Addition.

AUD/NZD : Think sell is an option on this pair.

The markets are non-linear, dynamic systems. Chaos analysis has determined that market prices are highly random with a trend component. The amount of the trend component varies from market to market and from time frame to time frame.

Manus J. Donahue III
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