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Started:January 30th, 2011 (12:29 PM) by aquarian1 Views / Replies:40,232 / 682
Last Reply:November 25th, 2016 (11:28 AM) Attachments:357

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Trading

Old January 30th, 2011, 12:29 PM   #1 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

Trading

My journal

I wish all traders the very best of success in achieving their goals.

My hope is that something I post may be of benefit to another who might pass this way.

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The following 8 users say Thank You to aquarian1 for this post:
     

Old January 30th, 2011, 12:29 PM   #2 (permalink)
Quick Summary
Quick Summary Post

My "system" is an estimation trading method. I estimate the:
RTH high
RTH low
est range.

Rules include:
  • Waiting for the price to get into the HE or LE zones (which are 3 pts wide)
  • Not trading on narrow range days (est range < 12pts).
  • Always entering a stop-loss at a maximum of 5 pts
  • Never taking a trade without at least a 6 pts profit potential (6PPP).


This example shows the zones and the stops

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

--------------------------------------
Video summary using Wed 30 July 2014 as an example
http://screencast.com/t/ReFehaSSfp

-----
Learning Lessons:
  • Once you've set your target limit order for trade entry, don't mess around with it. Leave it alone unless you want to cancel the trade.(6 April 2011)
  • Check all the time estimates before entering the order. (6 April 2011)
  • Missed o/n trades by 2 ticks and by 1 tick. Put order a little lower. e.g. 0.50 from estimate. (13May2011)
  • For CL wait for it to turn down from resistance (11 May 2011)
  • Don't trade if you have missed the FE of the day
  • If 80% of the range is covered in the opening time window - do not expect an intraday change in trend (24 Jan 2012)
----------
In the posts below the first few refer to a location at doesn't exist anymore.
Jump to post #24

previous signature lines
"and you might strike it rich and get away to a tropical paradise" - Homer becomes a missionary episode.
-the funny part is that they are already in a tropical paradise. How many times in life do we miss we are already there if only we could see it?

"It is the mystery of the dance" - Lisa puts her tap shoes on episode.
In the romantic movie Lisa watches with her mom at the the beginning of the episode, the Latin dancer lead has chosen to dance with plain-Jane from a line of ladies waiting to dance for the Tango del Morte. She is instantly transformed into a breath-taking beauty and dances marvelously with the male lead. At the end of the dance he says

"You are now bearing my child."
- "but how?"
"It is the mystery of the dance"
To me it epitomizes the illogical non-nonsensical clap-trap statements many will accept without question. "It doesn't matter how you enter the trade - with good money management any trade is profitable. Set tight stops and take small losses and large profits - ahhh.. OK.
------------------------------------
Look for God everywhere.
Find Him in places unexpected.

Love is in your heart,
Joy is your Life.

-robert neils
-----------------
I am a magnet for all good. I accept that which is mine.

Louise Hay
-------------
May the Joy that is God's heart fill yours.-Robert Neils
-----------------


Last edited by aquarian1; November 28th, 2014 at 05:53 PM.
     

Old February 7th, 2011, 12:16 AM   #3 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received



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Old February 7th, 2011, 12:25 AM   #5 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

Futures Edge on FIO

Monday, January 31, 2011 Yesterday's drop has been retraced to 54% and it looks as if tomorrow will be a strong down day. double top at 1283.75

(this turned out incorrect!)

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Old February 7th, 2011, 12:27 AM   #6 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received


Monday morning news


I have started clipping the morning news to see if I noticed trends in what they emphasize and how they describe events.
this is an example

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Old February 7th, 2011, 12:28 AM   #7 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

Tuesday Strong upday to 130...

opps!I think I zigged when I should have zagged !

Though I meant February 2 in yesterday's post I typed it so it will stand as an error.In any case I'm thinking there may be some surprises for the bulls tomorrow Feb 2- just a theory.We'll see. I will try to be unbiased tomorrow morning, as I should be every day.

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Old February 7th, 2011, 12:29 AM   #8 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

Nessie Wednesday?


Wednesday, February 02, 2011 nessie Wednesday up and down. 60 min chart ...More

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Old February 7th, 2011, 12:39 AM   #9 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

Red sky in morning

A pic taken from my balcony.

I feel the action in the S&P500 perhaps has some warning of a sharp correction.
The lack of commentary on the big down plunge last Friday was interesting.

However, the market grinds higher and higher with a high of 1308.25 and a close of 1307.50 on the ES for Friday 4 Feb, 2011. I was hoping to do a weekend review -but it's past my bedtime.
My priorities are:
1. get more rest
2. work less hours and if I can find the time get in one walk each evening.
3. even less hours and start back at the gym.

Blessings and good health to you all - may the year of the Rabbit be good to you!

Tomorrow = Monday 7 Feb 2011
Est high 1309.75
est low 1300.
est range 9.75
(adj h/l by difference from close to open tomorrow am)


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Old February 20th, 2011, 12:39 PM   #10 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received


observations:
NR trendless day.
Nt prices unreliable - switch to Sierra
make sure you do a cntrl shift R until then

HL est 9pts - mechanical est 10pt actual rng=6.75
o/n+pre=5.50
make switch to alert for NR (narrow range days).
@if(aver .... < mech est by 3 then ......)

Dir +1 vs +1
MidChg +1 vs +1 (chg +7)


O=1326 L=1324.50 buying at O-1.5 looks good for Zim Ben.




Last edited by aquarian1; February 21st, 2011 at 12:25 AM.
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