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  #891 (permalink)
 aquarian1 
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JP Rodrigue

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  #892 (permalink)
 aquarian1 
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I was posting some thoughts on an ABCD trade in another post and have realized 2/3 of the est day's range would be the 50% retracement cut-off and above this the trade is likely to fail.

On 15 pts 2/3rds = 10pts.



So leg one should be 10 points or less for a 15 pt day
and
12 points for an 18 pt day

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  #893 (permalink)
 aquarian1 
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The Wall Street Crash




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  #894 (permalink)
 aquarian1 
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2532.50


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  #895 (permalink)
 rintin2x 
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Will bounce but wonít hold...i donít have a warm feeling about it. Really hope iím wrong.

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  #896 (permalink)
 aquarian1 
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rintin2x View Post
Will bounce but wonít hold...i donít have a warm feeling about it. Really hope iím wrong.

I agree.

I'm not even sure if it will bounce or not - just a level to be aware of.

With Amazon falling and Facebook I would imagine the Fang long time holders may think of stepping to the sidelines.

There are a lot of fund managers who haven't been around long enough to be through a big melt-down (those who have only traded since Mar 2009) with the govt buying all the 10% drops since that time. Even that low was only made through govt buying that stopped it from going lower.

They may have trouble switching to the short side.

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  #897 (permalink)
 aquarian1 
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I better get some push-ups in - haven't done any sets yet today.

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  #898 (permalink)
 rintin2x 
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The last time I checked, both ‘98 and ‘08 most of stocks went to around 50% or more discount. If we actually going to have a crash, it might not be another 50% discount but for sure drooling thinking about it. Myself been saving money to get ready if we have another housing bubble, not hoping too much also since i’m ok with rental now.

Edit: look a bit similar like end of 2015 now?

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  #899 (permalink)
 aquarian1 
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Lots of stocks went very low.

I think the thing is to be able to make some money on the downside to have to buy stocks (and a place in the country to grow your own food! )

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  #900 (permalink)
 aquarian1 
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56.00 <=ATR,
/6
56/6=9.33
9.5 pt stop (1/2 of 5.5 reg channel on 15 min)

$475*50=$23,750

--------- in reverse ------------------
$250 = 5 pts
5*6=30 pts max 3day ATR (or 3 Day MA =usually about the same)

\======\

For 5 min 8pts=1/2 channel (first HL after 8:30)
56/8=7pts
5pt stop * 8=40 pts max range

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