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Created: by aquarian1 Attachments:422

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Trading

  #81 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 3,075 since Dec 2010
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Tuesday trade

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

(On the first page in the thread summary I have added an example of the "Sell at/near Open" signal. It is a 5pt signal.)
https://futures.io/trading-journals/7984-trading.html#post93470


Conditions:
Woke up late at 5:27PST - very tired and a big effort to get up.
Gathered O/n data and saw that expected range had contracted from 16.50 to 12.50 -discouraging.
Saw that there would be no news other than consumer confidence - 9am CT

est:
Dir=-1
mid chg=-1
rng=12.50
30min dir,chg down to 1302
(this was correct actual L1300.25@8:46

I spent some time fiddling around reading on net (RFID chips etc)
(I'll see if I can get wallet something like this Identity Stronghold - Seller / Manufacturer of RFID Blocking Wallets, Sleeves and Badge Holders)

Go annoyed at myself and looked see if I could find a trade.

Setup: 3 minute channel with SSO
Result: +2.25

Before the trade:
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After the trade:
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Keep your mind in the future, in the now.
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  #82 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 3,075 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 1,126 given, 1,669 received
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I wrote that adding the 2.50 drop from 1308 to 1305.50 to 1308 could take us to 1310.50. We have been to 1311.
25 @12:04 - so this higher target could have been achieved.

Keep your mind in the future, in the now.
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  #83 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 3,075 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 1,126 given, 1,669 received
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In the HZ


This might be a good trade for someone else.
buystop is 1315.50 target is 1300.25 (set an alert after 6pts profit) and current price is 1311 area.

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Keep your mind in the future, in the now.

Last edited by aquarian1; March 29th, 2011 at 02:19 PM. Reason: typo on buystop 1315.50 vs 1317.50
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  #84 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 3,075 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 1,126 given, 1,669 received
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Breakout or stop run?

They have taken out the triple top.

It could be just a stop-running exercise, however it looks more like a break-out for the old high of 1345.

Tomorrow - ADP at 7:15amCT -likely to be received as positive.

Don't step in front of the printing press.

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  #85 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 3,075 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 1,126 given, 1,669 received
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cost of being tired

This morning (Tuesday) I was very tired and got up late. I've been for a walk and reviewed my notebook.
The "Est Mid , Est Rng" estimate made on Monday night was 1315.50-1299.50. (I used Monday's close as an setimate of Tuesday's opening price until 8:30am CT.)

The close Monday to open this morning was +2.0. Adding this to "Est Mid , Est Rng" is the adj "Est Mid , Est Rng"
= 1317.50 vs actual high of 1317.25
and
=1301.50 vs actual low of 1300.25.

I was so tired I forgot to look at this!

Keep your mind in the future, in the now.
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  #86 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 3,075 since Dec 2010
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For Wednesday

Here's the "Est Mid , Est Rng" range as of close this evening (Tuesday).
1320.50 - 1302.25

I'll try o/n orders to see what happens:

Keep your mind in the future, in the now.
Attached Files
Register to download File Type: doc Overnight order.doc (96.5 KB, 10 views)
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  #87 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 3,075 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 1,126 given, 1,669 received
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Onwards and upwards

I woke up at 1am worrying. It started worrying about my sister in Montreal who has schizophrenia and toxioplasma gondii.and what will happen to her when my mom dies. Then it continued on about my brother who is dying from alcoholism and despair, and the circle widened and widened to friends with problems and then to the world.

At two I put on a tape to try to quiet my mind and get to sleep. At three, the tape ended, and I gave up trying to sleep and got up. I've had my shower, and my first coffee and listening to my tape "Don't worry, about a thing - because every little thing is going to be allright."

Onwards and upwards....

Keep your mind in the future, in the now.
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  #88 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 3,075 since Dec 2010
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Last evening's trade

Well I bet your excited to find out what has happened, hah, hah.

Well I'm in the trade short 1
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  #89 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 3,075 since Dec 2010
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now there is a reason to buy!

"
Stocks Hold Steady to Solid Gains 03/29/2011 4:30 PM

[BRIEFING.COM] In contrast to the prior session, the stock market put together an impressive gain and held it into the close. The action in recent sessions is making for a strong finish to the first quarter.
Stocks are currently up almost 5% year to date. That puts the S&P 500 on track to tie last year's first quarter performance, which was actually the best first quarter that stocks had recorded since 1998. Buying interest in recent weeks hasn't come as a result of any particular catalyst or economic development, rather a fear among participants of missing out on further gains.
Buyers showed their willingness to step in with a bid once it was apparent that an early slip wasn't hit with any kind of follow through selling interest. Participants pretty much shrugged off news that analysts at Standard & Poor's trimmed Portugal's debt rating another notch lower to BBB-, which is barely above junk status. They also cut Greece's rating two notches to BB-.
Participants were also dismissive of the March Consumer Confidence Index, which came in at 63.4 when the consensus among economists was for a reading of 65.0 following the upwardly revised reading of 72.0 for the prior month."


---
buying on a fear of missing gains - ok this is solid !

Please Bennie print some more money - I'm in fear of missing out on gains!

Keep your mind in the future, in the now.
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  #90 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 3,075 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 1,126 given, 1,669 received
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EveryEverybody's doing it. - buying more, more more.


Everybody’s Doing It Lyrics
Artist(Band):Evermore

I've seen your face here before.
You think you've got it all
but there is so much more.
You hit the wall, you fall,
and then you learn to crawl again.
There's a world to explore.

Because there's no danger,
do I look like a stranger?
Just look left, look right, everybody's doing it.

Haven't you seen? Everybody's doing it.
Where have you been? Everybody's doing it.
Everybody's doing it now.
-----------------------------
(i've never downloaded music - is it safe to download this?)
Download MP3 - Everybody's Doing It by Evermore - Music0n.com - Download or listen to your favorite songs online for free!

Keep your mind in the future, in the now.
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