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Trading

  #81 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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Tuesday, March 29, 2011

(On the first page in the thread summary I have added an example of the "Sell at/near Open" signal. It is a 5pt signal.)



Conditions:
Woke up late at 5:27PST - very tired and a big effort to get up.
Gathered O/n data and saw that expected range had contracted from 16.50 to 12.50 -discouraging.
Saw that there would be no news other than consumer confidence - 9am CT

est:
Dir=-1
mid chg=-1
rng=12.50
30min dir,chg down to 1302
(this was correct actual L1300.25@8:46

I spent some time fiddling around reading on net (RFID chips etc)
(I'll see if I can get wallet something like this Identity Stronghold - Seller / Manufacturer of RFID Blocking Wallets, Sleeves and Badge Holders)

Go annoyed at myself and looked see if I could find a trade.

Setup: 3 minute channel with SSO
Result: +2.25

Before the trade:


After the trade:

..........
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  #82 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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I wrote that adding the 2.50 drop from 1308 to 1305.50 to 1308 could take us to 1310.50. We have been to 1311.
25 @12:04 - so this higher target could have been achieved.

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  #83 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
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Posts: 4,034 since Dec 2010
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This might be a good trade for someone else.
buystop is 1315.50 target is 1300.25 (set an alert after 6pts profit) and current price is 1311 area.


..........
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  #84 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
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Posts: 4,034 since Dec 2010
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They have taken out the triple top.

It could be just a stop-running exercise, however it looks more like a break-out for the old high of 1345.

Tomorrow - ADP at 7:15amCT -likely to be received as positive.

Don't step in front of the printing press.


..........
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  #85 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker: IB
Trading: ES
Posts: 4,034 since Dec 2010
Thanks Given: 1,509
Thanks Received: 2,593

This morning (Tuesday) I was very tired and got up late. I've been for a walk and reviewed my notebook.
The "Est Mid , Est Rng" estimate made on Monday night was 1315.50-1299.50. (I used Monday's close as an setimate of Tuesday's opening price until 8:30am CT.)

The close Monday to open this morning was +2.0. Adding this to "Est Mid , Est Rng" is the adj "Est Mid , Est Rng"
= 1317.50 vs actual high of 1317.25
and
=1301.50 vs actual low of 1300.25.

I was so tired I forgot to look at this!

..........
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.........
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  #86 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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Here's the "Est Mid , Est Rng" range as of close this evening (Tuesday).
1320.50 - 1302.25

I'll try o/n orders to see what happens:

..........
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Attached Files
Elite Membership required to download: Overnight order.doc
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  #87 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker: IB
Trading: ES
Posts: 4,034 since Dec 2010
Thanks Given: 1,509
Thanks Received: 2,593

I woke up at 1am worrying. It started worrying about my sister in Montreal who has schizophrenia and toxioplasma gondii.and what will happen to her when my mom dies. Then it continued on about my brother who is dying from alcoholism and despair, and the circle widened and widened to friends with problems and then to the world.

At two I put on a tape to try to quiet my mind and get to sleep. At three, the tape ended, and I gave up trying to sleep and got up. I've had my shower, and my first coffee and listening to my tape "Don't worry, about a thing - because every little thing is going to be allright."

Onwards and upwards....

..........
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  #88 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
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Well I bet your excited to find out what has happened, hah, hah.

Well I'm in the trade short 1

..........
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.........
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  #89 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
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Trading: ES
Posts: 4,034 since Dec 2010
Thanks Given: 1,509
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"
Stocks Hold Steady to Solid Gains 03/29/2011 4:30 PM

[BRIEFING.COM] In contrast to the prior session, the stock market put together an impressive gain and held it into the close. The action in recent sessions is making for a strong finish to the first quarter.
Stocks are currently up almost 5% year to date. That puts the S&P 500 on track to tie last year's first quarter performance, which was actually the best first quarter that stocks had recorded since 1998. Buying interest in recent weeks hasn't come as a result of any particular catalyst or economic development, rather a fear among participants of missing out on further gains.
Buyers showed their willingness to step in with a bid once it was apparent that an early slip wasn't hit with any kind of follow through selling interest. Participants pretty much shrugged off news that analysts at Standard & Poor's trimmed Portugal's debt rating another notch lower to BBB-, which is barely above junk status. They also cut Greece's rating two notches to BB-.
Participants were also dismissive of the March Consumer Confidence Index, which came in at 63.4 when the consensus among economists was for a reading of 65.0 following the upwardly revised reading of 72.0 for the prior month."


---
buying on a fear of missing gains - ok this is solid !

Please Bennie print some more money - I'm in fear of missing out on gains!

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Thanked by:
  #90 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker: IB
Trading: ES
Posts: 4,034 since Dec 2010
Thanks Given: 1,509
Thanks Received: 2,593


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Just look left, look right, everybody's doing it.

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