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Started:January 30th, 2011 (12:29 PM) by aquarian1 Views / Replies:40,232 / 682
Last Reply:November 25th, 2016 (11:28 AM) Attachments:357

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Trading

Old June 25th, 2012, 03:27 PM   #341 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

The Great Depression (10.25 min)
1929 Wall Street Stock Market Crash - YouTube

Peak Aug 27, 1029
Thursday panicky selling Oct 24 1929
Tuesday collapse Oct 29, 1929 "Black Tuesday"

Good trading to everyone.
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Old June 25th, 2012, 03:34 PM   #342 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

25 June 2012
1:30CT

Heading down

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Nothing posted here is trading advice. Everything posted is educational information only. Futures and other trading involve the risk of loss. yada, yada, yada....

Good trading to everyone.
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Old June 25th, 2012, 04:06 PM   #343 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

one closed one "runner" left


25 June 2012


+3pts - sim

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Nothing posted here is trading advice. Everything posted is educational information only. Futures and other trading involve the risk of loss. yada, yada, yada....

Good trading to everyone.
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Old June 25th, 2012, 04:08 PM   #344 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

ETF trading instead of Futures

25 June 2012
Looking at ETFs for Oil

Oil is in a downtrend.
You could buy one of these at a pullback to the trendline and then close the position at the resistance.

This is NOT to say that it WILL fail at the resistance only that resistance is a point of POTENTIAL trend change.
The way i play this is to sell, stand aside and what to see what happens at these points.
Clearly, we are far into the downtrend of oil and a better buy would be earlier, but I am looking at ETF versus futures in regards to a recent thought posed. I want to do trades in ETFs one for the ES one for CL and one for GC but in ETFs with an I of demonstrating chart reading and the potential of ETFs for traders with less time for trading.

My idea is to show that you could place trades about each three-four weeks and do very well.

I have created a shadow portfolio of $100,000 and placed $30,000 in each pot with $10,000 reserve.

----------
Chart of HOD
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Chart of SCO
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Nothing posted here is trading advice. Everything posted is educational information only. Futures and other trading involve the risk of loss. yada, yada, yada....

Good trading to everyone.
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Old June 25th, 2012, 04:22 PM   #345 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

Futures Edge on FIO
25 June 2012
resold one at 1307

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Nothing posted here is trading advice. Everything posted is educational information only. Futures and other trading involve the risk of loss. yada, yada, yada....

Good trading to everyone.

Last edited by aquarian1; June 25th, 2012 at 04:47 PM.
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Old June 25th, 2012, 04:50 PM   #346 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

It's dipsy - dodiling around the 1307 line so the last two are not looking so good.

I've put a but-to-close at 1306.25 for 2
and one at 1304.25

manipulators are in full control.

taking a break ....

Good trading to everyone.
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Old June 25th, 2012, 05:06 PM   #347 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Closed them out.

Lazy L day confirmed.

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Good trading to everyone.
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Old June 26th, 2012, 02:15 PM   #348 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

Progress so far this week

Tuesday, 26 June 2012
Time 12:03CT

In the wrap-up and preview of the upcoming week, done on Sunday night June 24, I say:


aquarian1 View Post
...
Next week:
I'm looking for possible bounce to 1337 area - if it fails here go short
Possible levels to bounce off of:
Then down to 1307 area - if it bounces close short. I don't think it will so in that case stay short. There is a trendline there and its about 50%.
It could find a place to bounce at 1298 to1300 level - which is old lows and 5/8 retrace level - if it bounces close short.
.....
Basically stay short green downtrend line.

Here you have been shown once again tradeable levels forecasted with precision coming to fruition.

Chart reading takes practice and skill. But as with any craft it can be mastered. Beginners will read a little article and then try it and fail. This is somewhat like reading a book on playing the piano and then trying it without practising and failing and then saying "playing the piano doesn't work." Anything skill worth acquiring usually takes practise.

So we saw last week the estimation of the high at 1355.50 the 5/8 level and the high made at 1357. We have demonstrated it is tradeable with a 24% profit on SPUX in one week with 3 trades (https://futures.io/trading-journals/7984-trading-34.html#post234285). Buying on Monday's open selling and reversing at the estimation level and closing at the low. (SPUX is reversed so above is in terms of ES).

Now we have said a fall to 1307 level and possibly 1298 to 1300. You can see this happen on the chart.
(and yesterdays low of 1302.5). Very tradeable at the open was 1314.75. MFbreakout did trade it. Once you are short the second end is only a question of how much profit. You can see in yesterday's intraday posts I first idneitfied that the low was approaching (fan forming: https://futures.io/trading-journals/7984-trading-34.html#post234377) I identified when the Low of the day was in place (https://futures.io/trading-journals/7984-trading-34.html#post234382). So you recoginized the low was 1307 to the 1300 and then during the trading day you can identify the low more precisely (using indicators and speed lines.)

There are none so blind as those who will not see.
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Yesterday, Monday 25 June 2012, it:
opened gap down (-5)
fell from 1315.50 at 8:30 to 1302.50 @ 11:01
bounced to 1310.25 at 14:26
and drooped off to the close at 1306.75

Open: 1314.75
Close: 1306.75

Nothing posted here is trading advice. Everything posted is educational information only. Futures and other trading involve the risk of loss. yada, yada, yada....


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Good trading to everyone.
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Old June 26th, 2012, 04:42 PM   #349 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

bot 1/3 of line for ETF example

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Nothing posted here is trading advice. Everything posted is educational information only. Futures and other trading involve the risk of loss. yada, yada, yada....

Good trading to everyone.
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Old June 27th, 2012, 11:24 AM   #350 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,198 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

Spxu last part of line


Wednesday 27 June 2012 9:20CT

Bot 1000 more

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Nothing posted here is trading advice. Everything posted is educational information only. Futures and other trading involve the risk of loss. yada, yada, yada....

Good trading to everyone.
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