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Created: by aquarian1 Views / Replies:46,245 / 753
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Trading

  #251 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
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29 Dec 2011
Here's a stab at an ES estimate for tomorrow
(perhaps a buy caret day?)

(PS ignore the bottom chart that was me fooling around and the red box is the same range as today 18.25 offset.)

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Last edited by aquarian1; December 29th, 2011 at 12:35 AM.
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  #252 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,709 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 913 given, 1,408 received
Forum Reputation: Legendary


aquarian1 View Post
29 Dec 2011
Here's a stab at an ES estimate for tomorrow
(perhaps a buy caret day?)

Here's how we are doing so far...

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Good trading to everyone.
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  #253 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 2,709 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 913 given, 1,408 received
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My estimate for the high was Ok (within 2pts) but the low was too high.
Though I am trying again with the low end it may well be little volume and range being the 30th

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  #254 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,709 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 913 given, 1,408 received
Forum Reputation: Legendary

Happy New Year

I have decided on some New Year Resolutions
1. Stop arguing with people and stop saying anything negative.
2. Eat more vegetables.
3. Go for a walk each day.
4. Drink more water.
5. Have a daily quiet mediative time.

All the best.

Good trading to everyone.

Last edited by aquarian1; January 2nd, 2012 at 02:51 PM.
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  #255 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 2,709 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 913 given, 1,408 received
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Tuesday, Jan 3 2011

Markets look like a pre-opening jump. Will be interesting to see if gap up stays open by close.
I wouldn't fade this move though, the first week of trading is likely to be unpredictable and light volume as people get back into the swing of things.

I'm not sure where the rotation stands - I think the cycle may be broken and will need to re-establish itself.

Good trading to everyone.
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  #256 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 2,709 since Dec 2010
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Guesstimate for today
Tuesday 3 Jan 2012

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  #257 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 2,709 since Dec 2010
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aquarian1 View Post
Guesstimate for today
Tuesday 3 Jan 2012

For RTH:

So we had 1273.50 as the open est - and the open was 1273.50
We had 1278 as the high est and the high has been 1279.50 - so far (11:12 CT)

nap time!

Good trading to everyone.
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  #258 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 2,709 since Dec 2010
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Results of 3 Jan for range est

High est ok (not quite high enough) and range estimate to narrow (i.e my est of the low was too low)

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  #259 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 2,709 since Dec 2010
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up late this morning. I had to sleep in. I don't know how well the New Years resolution of a walk a day is going to work - there doesn't seem to be enough time.

No pre-market estimate for today.

Based on yesterday's action I would expect continued narrow ranges for today and the balance of the week.

Good trading to everyone.
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  #260 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,709 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 913 given, 1,408 received
Forum Reputation: Legendary

estimate for Thurs 5 Jan 2011


Wed Jan 4 at 22:22CT
I'll try to update this estimate before 8:30 opening of the ES.
I'm using a 6.75 drop between Ycls and Open which might be too much.

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