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Started:January 30th, 2011 (12:29 PM) by aquarian1 Views / Replies:40,295 / 683
Last Reply:22 Hours Ago (01:27 PM) Attachments:357

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Trading

Old December 29th, 2011, 01:21 AM   #251 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 2,199 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

29 Dec 2011
Here's a stab at an ES estimate for tomorrow
(perhaps a buy caret day?)

(PS ignore the bottom chart that was me fooling around and the red box is the same range as today 18.25 offset.)

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Good trading to everyone.

Last edited by aquarian1; December 29th, 2011 at 01:35 AM.
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Old December 29th, 2011, 01:52 PM   #252 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 2,199 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received


aquarian1 View Post
29 Dec 2011
Here's a stab at an ES estimate for tomorrow
(perhaps a buy caret day?)

Here's how we are doing so far...

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Good trading to everyone.
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Old December 29th, 2011, 06:12 PM   #253 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 2,199 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received


My estimate for the high was Ok (within 2pts) but the low was too high.
Though I am trying again with the low end it may well be little volume and range being the 30th

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Old January 2nd, 2012, 03:26 AM   #254 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,199 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

Happy New Year

I have decided on some New Year Resolutions
1. Stop arguing with people and stop saying anything negative.
2. Eat more vegetables.
3. Go for a walk each day.
4. Drink more water.
5. Have a daily quiet mediative time.

All the best.

Good trading to everyone.

Last edited by aquarian1; January 2nd, 2012 at 03:51 PM.
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Old January 3rd, 2012, 09:14 AM   #255 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 2,199 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

Futures Edge on FIO

Are you a NinjaTrader user?

 
Tuesday, Jan 3 2011

Markets look like a pre-opening jump. Will be interesting to see if gap up stays open by close.
I wouldn't fade this move though, the first week of trading is likely to be unpredictable and light volume as people get back into the swing of things.

I'm not sure where the rotation stands - I think the cycle may be broken and will need to re-establish itself.

Good trading to everyone.
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Old January 3rd, 2012, 10:14 AM   #256 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 2,199 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

Guesstimate for today
Tuesday 3 Jan 2012

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Old January 3rd, 2012, 01:13 PM   #257 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 2,199 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received


aquarian1 View Post
Guesstimate for today
Tuesday 3 Jan 2012

For RTH:

So we had 1273.50 as the open est - and the open was 1273.50
We had 1278 as the high est and the high has been 1279.50 - so far (11:12 CT)

nap time!

Good trading to everyone.
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Old January 4th, 2012, 01:27 AM   #258 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 2,199 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

Results of 3 Jan for range est

High est ok (not quite high enough) and range estimate to narrow (i.e my est of the low was too low)

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Old January 4th, 2012, 03:54 PM   #259 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,199 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

up late this morning. I had to sleep in. I don't know how well the New Years resolution of a walk a day is going to work - there doesn't seem to be enough time.

No pre-market estimate for today.

Based on yesterday's action I would expect continued narrow ranges for today and the balance of the week.

Good trading to everyone.
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Old January 5th, 2012, 12:20 AM   #260 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 
Posts: 2,199 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 696 given, 970 received

estimate for Thurs 5 Jan 2011


Wed Jan 4 at 22:22CT
I'll try to update this estimate before 8:30 opening of the ES.
I'm using a 6.75 drop between Ycls and Open which might be too much.

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