NEVER LOSE AGAIN!! - TheRumpledOne

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sam028

That's right, and the guy who wrote a genetic optimizer for NT is for sure a newbie in backtesting stuff, that make sense...

"I am not forcing you to accept my concepts. I only request the traders to review the market from time to time keeping in mind my concepts and if found suitable use in the trades or just ignore. Thanks for your opinion."

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TheRumpledOne

I ONLY GO LONG!

ok, long it is. i doubt it'll make much difference (in the long run). we'll see.

TheRumpledOne

Second thing I mentioned, MORE THAN ONCE, I know what the STATISTICS and FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION tell me about the instruments I trade.

and what do those statistics tell you?

i'm guessing they help you pick your trigger distance (20 pips), and your profit target.

i backtested this over a large set of trigger distances, profit targets, stop losses, MM strategies (since you don't suggest one - 'take what you can'/'let it run' aren't MM strategies). over 9 months of data, over multiple timeframes, over multiple instruments.

TheRumpledOne

Apparently, your trigger is TOO FAR WAY FROM THE HIGH OF THE DAY.

actually, in that chart, the maximum trigger distance is ZERO.

apart from being short, what's wrong with this picture?

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TheRumpledOne

I only request the traders to review the market from time to time keeping in mind my concepts

oh, so remind me again. what was all that crap about the rats?

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I for one am finding the RAT strategy quite helpful.

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dsherman

I for one am finding the RAT strategy quite helpful.

great! what instrument/timeframe are you trading?

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piersh

ok, long it is. i doubt it'll make much difference (in the long run). we'll see.

and what do those statistics tell you?

i'm guessing they help you pick your trigger distance (20 pips), and your profit target.

i backtested this over a large set of trigger distances, profit targets, stop losses, MM strategies (since you don't suggest one - 'take what you can'/'let it run' aren't MM strategies). over 9 months of data, over multiple timeframes, over multiple instruments.

actually, in that chart, the maximum trigger distance is ZERO.

apart from being short, what's wrong with this picture?

Backtesting is a waste of time.

Instead, calculate the statistics of the instrument.

Find the (daily/weekly/monthly) min, max, mean, mode and median for:

a) the wicks ( high - top and bottom - low)

b) net change ( high - open ) and ( open - low )

c) range ( high - low )

Then run a frequency distribution for "a" and "b".

Then you will know where the triggers are and where to look to take profit.

Each instrument you trade needs to be analyzed.

For example:

1) I know to look for a reversal when GBPUSD has a daily net change of 200 pips.

2) I know to look for a reversal when GBPUSD is within 20 pips of the daily low.

If 2 occurs before 1, it is riskier.

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piersh

oh, so remind me again. what was all that crap about the rats?

If you want an intelligent answer then ask an intelligent question.

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dsherman

I for one am finding the RAT strategy quite helpful.

Obviously, you have an open mind and you will benefit.

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piersh

great! what instrument/timeframe are you trading?

I first looked at applying this to ES, however ES is a beast with a mass psychology that requires its own set of rules. I then looked at the currencies that TRO trades. Just doing this a few days now, with range bars and with 5 minute timeframes. The fun part is creating a Ninja Strategy that runs in real time SIM mode. I think the RAT strategy is very helpful.

NEVER LOSE AGAIN!! - TheRumpledOne

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NEVER LOSE AGAIN!! - TheRumpledOne

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