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T's Journal

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  #21 (permalink)
 Tmanbone 
Chattanooga, TN
 
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Kamakazie, small winner.



passed, choppa at the toppa



scratch, looking for afternoon reversal



bad entry, small winner



Internals







"The simplicity of the markets is it's greatest disguise"

T
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Can you help answer these questions
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need help with easy language OR breakout code:)
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  #22 (permalink)
 max-td 
Frankfurt
 
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hi T,

i think your stuff will create a bit more interest / discussion if you explain again what you do here.
maybe mark the trades in the pictures or describe the concept again in the pics.

thanks for sharing here !
max

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  #23 (permalink)
 Tmanbone 
Chattanooga, TN
 
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Hello Max, I first started trying to trade the first and second retraces in the trend, trend being defined as slope of the 50sma on the 133t chart, i.e. long when ma is green and vise versa. The rules being the setup also has to occur on the 400t too, to some extent. Below is a chart of my a.m. trade. The setup is green light, red light. Note the red 50ma on the 133t, price is above, but this is ok. The stochastic %k and the macd histogram are all hooked down and in agreement, on both charts. On this particular setup the stochastic %d is hooked down too. If trading multiple lots I would take off the first lots at a short predefined target, or at the latest, the %d hook and macd histogram change against the trade on the 133t, as the 133t turned against the trade I would hold a percentage till the 400t %d and macd turned against the trade to exit all and look for the next setup. This system keeps me out of some good trades, so I've also been looking at trading reversal price action candles on the 5m, 15m. The latest charts that I posted since the new year show these trades. The line marked -61.8% is my collapsed fib tool marking enties 1 tick above/below highlighted candles, stops being 1 tick above/below swing highs/lows. I'm working on figuring out how to capture some larger moves and decreasing my expectations on what the market is willing to give, looking for the happy median. Thanks for checking in.




I drew the ellipses on the 133t one cycle to the right to far. Can't figure out how to edit a chart after it's posted.

"The simplicity of the markets is it's greatest disguise"

T
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  #24 (permalink)
 Tmanbone 
Chattanooga, TN
 
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Contraction breakout. A little more aggressive but trading within contraction gets you on board before the breakout. Note the 4th tag of bottom trendline.



Exit



A hint of direction.


"The simplicity of the markets is it's greatest disguise"

T
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  #25 (permalink)
 Tmanbone 
Chattanooga, TN
 
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first trade went against 50 ma, knew better, stopped



second trade bailed, didn't break the rules, just wasn't very good




Afternoon was worse, taking a break.

"The simplicity of the markets is it's greatest disguise"

T
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  #26 (permalink)
 Tmanbone 
Chattanooga, TN
 
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Mark Douglas - Mind Over Market.flv - 4shared.com - online file sharing and storage - download

Mark Douglas - Mind Over Market.flv - 4shared.com - online file sharing and storage - download

Mark Douglas June 2005

Mark Douglas June 2005

Mark Douglas August 2005

“Saturday Seminars” – The Dynamics of a Trader’s Mindset : MarketClub Trader's Blog

Mark Douglas Notes from IDaxtrader - Traders Laboratory - Professional Traders Community

Looks like a couple may be duplicate.

What really strikes home after studying Douglas, that I'm personally quilty of.

"When people don't understand that their losses are a result of their attitude, then naturally they think that their losses are a result of what they don't know about the market. So they think if they learn more about the market (by learning more about systems, indicators, variables, etc.) they can avoid losses and avoid being wrong."

"So if you learn more about the market, you can avoid losses and avoid being wrong"
This is what he calls The Black Hole of Analysis.
It doesn't work and it never will.

"The simplicity of the markets is it's greatest disguise"

T
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  #27 (permalink)
 Tmanbone 
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E/U Gap








"The simplicity of the markets is it's greatest disguise"

T
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  #28 (permalink)
 tderrick 
Nashville, Tennessee
 
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It is amazing how many times that gap closes...


AJ
Nashville, Tennessee


"Life On The Edge of SR"
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  #29 (permalink)
 Tmanbone 
Chattanooga, TN
 
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Hey tderrick. Seems like it closes more than it doesn't. It went on up later. lol


trend line trade, bad entry, too impatient

EDIT 1/10/10 @ 7:30 PM flattened trade, amateur entry and price moving against. Wait for price to take out previous high.

"The simplicity of the markets is it's greatest disguise"

T
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  #30 (permalink)
 Tmanbone 
Chattanooga, TN
 
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#1 was textbook entry, signals lined up well on both time frames. First retrace in the trend after the 50ma came from flat @ 9:30 to down at time of trade. The trades where the 400t stochastic cycles are above/below 20/80 seem to be the best setups. After taking a small profit +8 I lost focus and missed the second retrace. I need to pen to paper my exit rules. I've learned to wait for the setup on the 400t, then go to the 133t for entry. In my short trading past I was thinking vise versa.



It went down hill from here, after the #2 missed trade short @ 9:53 I missed #3 the first retrace after price crossed the 50ma to the upside @ 10:21. I took the second retrace @ 10:46. Stopped - 10. Stay focused.



Last trade of the morning @ 11:00 was against my rule of the 50ma being flat on the 133t. I've repeatively done this. This has to stop. Stopped -9. As I type in my journal, this morning, I'm missing a nice 11:34 doldrum trade to the upside.


"The simplicity of the markets is it's greatest disguise"

T
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