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TF day trading
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TF day trading

  #681 (permalink)
Elite Member
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HighRise1202 View Post
Hmmm. This is good. Please explain how the FED influences TF (other than a FED news event day; there was no Fed news Friday).

Trick number 2 Friday was this, IMHO. The Asian markets were up that morning. The European markets were up that morning. So I was looking for a long, knowing that TF would likely go down first (to gather the herd). The market came down and then went sideways for 6-7 minutes. That lulled me into forgetting about looking for a long. Very clever. (The herd is still thinking short because the first 5 minutes were down.) Then up we go.

If you waited for 1597 and 987 to turn up, you still could have caught that huge wave. They turned up sharply with strong V's.

Yes, interesting. I typically don't look at Asian and European market conditions as I used to trade FOREX and it came down to meaning very little in my opinion. There were a lot of people who trade systems like that, but I didn't find an edge.

Good logic, but not sure on viability long term. Have you done a lot of thinking on the previous market conditions and gap fills, etc..?

FED has had a MASSIVE impact over the last 9 months! Who do you think has been buying all of these stocks?

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  #682 (permalink)
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-.4 points today per contract

I took 5 trades. I am switching from 3 contracts to 1 contract so I can do more trades.

This will make it harder to get back to profit if I make a few gifts. If I make all 5 gifts, then I will be at -2.5 points for the day. However, my focus will be on the bigger pivots and I will make at least 2.5 points per run or I will not exit.

I was unclear today. I was thinking short because of previous 4181 action, but the market has a bit of strength. Had I just taken trades off of DB/DT, 76, and 440 tick charts as Horst says, I would have been very profitable. For some reason I must do poorly today.

I also didn't wait for the pullbacks and I did two short trades that were breakouts...

Video

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  #683 (permalink)
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Quoting 
FED has had a MASSIVE impact over the last 9 months! Who do you think has been buying all of these stocks?

OK, yes, the Fed buys back U. S. bonds and that is supposed to stimulate the market.

The DOW peaked today at 10 AM Eastern Time, just after the DAX did.
The DOW dipped today at 11:15 AM, about the same time the DAX did.

Hmmm.

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  #684 (permalink)
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HighRise1202 View Post
OK, yes, the Fed buys back U. S. bonds and that is supposed to stimulate the market.

The DOW peaked today at 10 AM Eastern Time, just after the DAX did.
The DOW dipped today at 11:15 AM, about the same time the DAX did.

Hmmm.

I don't know exactly what they have been 'buying', but I know they have been buying and it has been putting upward pressure.

When I did my 10 year investment plan, the one GAPING thing I missed was FED/GOV intervention. It totally screwed up my timeline and process and gosh, had I just kept my darn stocks from 2+ years ago, I would be up a Million right now.... I bought super low and was going to hold, then I got into this day trading and Henry said, "Only fools trade for long term"... haha... I sold sold sold... However, if the FED had not intervened, that would have been very good advice...

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  #685 (permalink)
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Danielle Caught It


HighRise1202 View Post
The trick Friday, it seems to me, was fib placement. When price broke the day's low 6 minutes after the opening bell, the bottom fib became the last lower pivot at 821.9. It occurred on Thursday. The top fib became the last high pivot at 825.8. With that fib, price tapped 76 and then rose. 377 and 610 reversed nicely one bar before the mother load takeoff up. How sweet is that? I didn't catch it...but next time!

Danielle caught that motherload. She made 6 points on that one.

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  #686 (permalink)
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RosDaBoss View Post
Danielle caught that motherload. She made 6 points on that one.

Good. She deserves it! That was worth it!

Today I was all mixed up. How did you do?

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  #687 (permalink)
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+2.2 points today per contract

Finally a nice smooth day!

Something I haven't shared is using FatTails Session movement and volume indicators shows that all the volume and points have been gained at the 10EST - 10:30EST period.

Took 1 trade, and actually had one other good trade for the long that went for 8 points had I taken it. I would have only gotten 2 points and that is the value of a runner. I think trading 1 contract will be good for me because it will push me to extend my run on the first contracts. This is good practice to push my numbers some.

Good stuff...


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  #688 (permalink)
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+.2 points today per contract

Well, I am glad I didn't participate too early. I did put in one stupid trade that I goofed on and quickly exited.

Wow, what a challenging couple of weeks to make big point runs. Had I taken a long that would have been nice!

Market just cruised up... I saw that though...


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  #689 (permalink)
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-2.4 points today

Ouch...

6 trades, all 5 ticks almost for the stops.

I could have chosen not to trade today as I have a meeting and it was just too short of a time period to throw this in. I had to do a speed up for my last trade and it didn't work out.


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  #690 (permalink)
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Riddle Me This, NFT Fans



bluemele View Post
Ouch...

6 trades, all 5 ticks almost for the stops.

I could have chosen not to trade today as I have a meeting and it was just too short of a time period to throw this in. I had to do a speed up for my last trade and it didn't work out.

At 8:25:38 AM Eastern Time Friday, 987 reversed down sharply. That was three bars before the employment news and price reversal! 610 reversed sharply 2 bars before news and price reversal. How did they know?

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