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Daytrading ES & NQ


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Daytrading ES & NQ

  #101 (permalink)
 kazbek966 
Turku , Finland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Trading: Futures
Posts: 76 since Oct 2021
Thanks Given: 9
Thanks Received: 20

Gents, anybody was actively using PnF charts in their trading ?
I can see a lot of additional value but looks like it really became domain of very few old-timers.
Though I did see some excellent work by Sody Texas providing plethora of information.
And mind you it was what Wyckoff used by himself.

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  #102 (permalink)
 ragic 
N. Yorks, UK
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NT8
Trading: ES
Frequency: Never
Duration: Seconds
Posts: 58 since Jun 2011
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No, but I do use 15 min footprints to show up liquidity areas, that are too vague on my 5 min Footprints. On NQ I compress by 4 ticks per price level. Even though I'm only looking to scalp.

Axia use Reversal bars on their footprints to show these liquidity areas, but Ninja doesn't offer this bar type, so I stick with time based 15min for a bigger picture

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  #103 (permalink)
 Rcap 
Frankfurt Germany
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Sierra Chart
Trading: MES, MNQ
Frequency: Several times daily
Duration: Minutes
Posts: 505 since Oct 2019
Thanks Given: 10
Thanks Received: 686


I can not say much to pnf or footprint as i have not much experience with it.

I try to use as less as possible because every information has potential to trigger overtrading, especially when i am emotional.


When i have a reason (in this case: continuation of covering) and a location (in this case: vwap) i would use anything or even go without any trigger. Here we had a little increase in speed which i interpreted as a "shi*, get me out-liquidation" which can be the end of a move and the start of a new move.

To not make a false impression: My first trades today were loosers, as i tried shorts earlier



eth trade

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  #104 (permalink)
 kazbek966 
Turku , Finland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Trading: Futures
Posts: 76 since Oct 2021
Thanks Given: 9
Thanks Received: 20

Very interesting situation on daily VOLUME ORDER FLOW as price meet stacked imbalance.
lets see the result.
DAILYTPOs

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  #105 (permalink)
 Rcap 
Frankfurt Germany
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Sierra Chart
Trading: MES, MNQ
Frequency: Several times daily
Duration: Minutes
Posts: 505 since Oct 2019
Thanks Given: 10
Thanks Received: 686

20231004 pre market


  • we come in a littler higher with a non true gap up
  • asia session explored lower but since eu open we are covering for more than 200P now
  • we took out the afternoon rally high. This makes the overnight high (onh) an important reference for me
  • Acceptance above onh questions the short bias and could trigger more covering
  • we have semi important news at 9:15 and 9:30 eastern

Thoughts
  • Do not be too agressive with more covering. We are already up >200P from the low
  • The bias is still bearish
  • Let things shake out a bit
  • After the ism at 10:00 is enough time left

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  #106 (permalink)
 kazbek966 
Turku , Finland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Trading: Futures
Posts: 76 since Oct 2021
Thanks Given: 9
Thanks Received: 20

Do we need to care about Lagarde as well ?
NEWS

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  #107 (permalink)
 Rcap 
Frankfurt Germany
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Sierra Chart
Trading: MES, MNQ
Frequency: Several times daily
Duration: Minutes
Posts: 505 since Oct 2019
Thanks Given: 10
Thanks Received: 686

I do not care much about her when it is in the rth session. But you never know ...

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  #108 (permalink)
 Rcap 
Frankfurt Germany
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Sierra Chart
Trading: MES, MNQ
Frequency: Several times daily
Duration: Minutes
Posts: 505 since Oct 2019
Thanks Given: 10
Thanks Received: 686

"Dear higher timeframe seller, i am a little hedgefund and have to cover 100.000 contracts. Would you please let me out?"

"No"

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  #109 (permalink)
 kazbek966 
Turku , Finland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Trading: Futures
Posts: 76 since Oct 2021
Thanks Given: 9
Thanks Received: 20

MORNING MUSINGS ( 5 October 2023 )

MARKET WISE
  • In Grand view of things we are oscillating between 14660 (give or take) and 15000, which is hell of oscillation allowing for bread, butter and a bit of caviar on top of that. So nothing to complain about
  • We are still in downward channel that started on the 19 of July
  • Daily candle wise we are still inside bearish candle formed on the 3.10.2023
  • Yesterday action resulted in pushing back right towards weekly/monthly VWAP on huge VOL and huge CUMDElta , implying energetic smart money involvement
  • Looks like respecting VWAP is the name of the game, that is untill it will be disrespected in a big way, which may come today or tomorrow
  • Yesterday move was nice example on the power of coming out from downward channel, which is by itself quite powerfull pattern
  • Today news may provide a guidance in case there will be relatively big discrepancy between actual unemployment data and projections
  • As usual in this sick world less than projected unemployment is bearish signal and more than projected bullish
  • It will be interesting to evaluate dependence of the size of the market move on the % deviation from the projected data.
  • What would happen if actual data meet projected expectations is anybody guess

PERSONAL
Where do I start ?
  • It is a fact that coming out of downward channel is one of most profitable patterns one can find
  • It is a fact that Wednesday and Thursday are most profitable days for at least 5 of my algos
  • It is a fact that I have them
  • It is fact that use of any of them yesterday would have left me with big grin on my face
  • It is also a fact that I did not use them , because ....
  • It is fact that I like hypothesis driven approach and like to watch things on the sidelines
  • Thats why I develop algo strategies in the first place
  • But somebody needs to push the button





05102023

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  #110 (permalink)
 Rcap 
Frankfurt Germany
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Sierra Chart
Trading: MES, MNQ
Frequency: Several times daily
Duration: Minutes
Posts: 505 since Oct 2019
Thanks Given: 10
Thanks Received: 686


20231004 post market


trades 10 4


  • we opened 200P higher compared to the eth low
  • The central question for me was: Do we continue covering or do we roll over to short?
  • I waited until the news were out (good)
  • For me it looked twice as if it would roll over. ES was also weak
  • I would take these shorts again as they were great asymmetric opportunities (risk/reward) and they were executed good (not too early)
  • Before midtime i had an unnecessary exit (it is normal to spend some time there) (i sometimes think that it must work faster)
  • This made me emotional which resulted in poor entries in scalping long inside the established move. Location was ok but execution was bad
  • I was very convinced that the path of least resistance is more covering
  • Market spent two hours balancing at the top
  • What is the rhythm?
  • Where can i be sure to be on board and still have risk/reward? Answer: Not possible
  • Finally you do what you operating system (your believes) make you do
  • I work on my believes regularly and have to do it even more
  • It is a 24h market, that is slippy, very speculative, dominated by market makers and as a consequence operates in a 2-way-auction
  • The most expensive phrase is: This time its different

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