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Watch Me Win


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Watch Me Win

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  #31 (permalink)
 asyx 
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source: tradingeconomics.com


Euro Loans to Companies year-on-year at 2.9%




Euro M3 Money Supply year-on-year at 7.3%


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  #32 (permalink)
 asyx 
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But keep in mind - slowing earnings growth & PE compression additional to interest rate hikes could cause some volatility.
This is not a bad thing per se. Actually that would provide some additional opportunities to generate Alpha:



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  #33 (permalink)
 asyx 
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I add Siltronic to my long-term positions.

Regarding EV to Revenue and EV to Earnings, I would not say that this company is a bargain. Nonetheless, it is also not priced expensive. The company is profitable and has lots of cash. The semiconductor sector overall is doing quite well for the foreseen future and this company is profiting additionally from other companies diversifying their supply chains.


With Darktrace I go for short-term rebound:

If there is a story close to what Microsoft did 20-30 years ago, then Cyber-Security would be one of my favorites. Nevertheless, most of the companies are already valued very rich. Darktrace is not profitable yet, but it is one of the fastest growing companies in the cyber security industry. The stock price was only hammered down because one analyst said that the software was a gimmick. In the last weeks the Market cap was below 4 B $. In contrast, for Crowdstrike you have to pay 47 B $

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  #34 (permalink)
 asyx 
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Crude Oil:

It moved faster up than expected.

I take some of the table in hope to buy it back later, for example after a retest of the break-out.

This actually is a multi-month-position. If it provides 20-30 % that would be fantastic.
Remember average annual performance of stock indices is 8-9 % (?)

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  #35 (permalink)
 asyx 
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Times when Bitcoin deliveres uncorrelated performance seem to vanish.
Bitcoin seems to morph into something that has very high Beta and lots of ugly drawdowns :-(



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  #36 (permalink)
 SomePsychoDude 
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asyx View Post
Regarding ARK InnovationSource: Bloomberg)

When the media covers it and screams "we are dead", usually it's a great time to buy and hold, especially the great Cathie Wood's fund
+
Technically it's Elder's classic regular divergence, but I do not specialize in that kinda setup, can't tell more.
I think it's a great opportunity for long-term investors with big capitals



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  #37 (permalink)
 asyx 
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I close the remaining NatGas-Position. It does not gain traction and I do not want to hold it over Silvester.

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  #38 (permalink)
 asyx 
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Soon I buy some back....



asyx View Post
Crude Oil:

It moved faster up than expected.

I take some of the table in hope to buy it back later, for example after a retest of the break-out.

This actually is a multi-month-position. If it provides 20-30 % that would be fantastic.
Remember average annual performance of stock indices is 8-9 % (?)


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  #39 (permalink)
 asyx 
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The NQ is sold quite good at the moment.

But if the ES is not following the way down, then the VIX is not going to kick in. In such a case I have to close my VIX position - probably with a loss.






asyx View Post
I buy some VIX the next couple of days for a short-term rebound.


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  #40 (permalink)
 asyx 
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NQ:

I would not be surprised if 16.300 is taken out today.

16.350 is good for a scalp after we retest 16.400 and then get momentum on the way down again. Otherwise not so much.

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