Watch Me Win - futures io
futures io



Watch Me Win


Discussion in Trading Journals

Updated
      Top Posters
    1. looks_one asyx with 53 posts (8 thanks)
    2. looks_two lightsun47 with 2 posts (0 thanks)
    3. looks_3 SomePsychoDude with 2 posts (1 thanks)
    4. looks_4 tr8er with 1 posts (0 thanks)
    1. trending_up 2,076 views
    2. thumb_up 9 thanks given
    3. group 4 followers
    1. forum 58 posts
    2. attach_file 24 attachments




Welcome to futures io: the largest futures trading community on the planet, with well over 125,000 members
  • Genuine reviews from real traders, not fake reviews from stealth vendors
  • Quality education from leading professional traders
  • We are a friendly, helpful, and positive community
  • We do not tolerate rude behavior, trolling, or vendors advertising in posts
  • We are here to help, just let us know what you need
You'll need to register in order to view the content of the threads and start contributing to our community.  It's free and simple.

-- Big Mike, Site Administrator

(If you already have an account, login at the top of the page)

 
Search this Thread
 

Watch Me Win

(login for full post details)
  #21 (permalink)
 asyx 
not important
 
Experience: None
Platform: not important
Trading: not important
 
Posts: 187 since Mar 2011
Thanks: 406 given, 142 received

I consider them Value-Stocks. Hence, I am willing to hold them for longer, if necessary.
With my remaining capital I day-trade or swing-trade mainly ETFs based on the NQ100.
In the past I held ETFs based on the NQ100 for a longer period, too.
Nevertheless, I see signs that it could get a bumpy ride.
I do not want to be trapped all in, in case the markets correct 20-30 % once again at some point in time.



asyx View Post
I hold the following positions at the moment:

Atkore: Valued at 7 EV to Earnings and 1,7 EV to Revenues. Electrification/ EVs is the driver. The company is cheaper to buy than Emerson or Schneider Electrics and like that.
Supernus: pretty profitable and a lot of cash -> Think acquisitions on the radar
Photronics: Valued at 13 EV to Earnings and 1,6 EV to Revenues. Revenues, Cash and margin improving. I think they finally hae their cost management under control.
Westlake: Valued at 9 EV to Earnings and 1,4 EV to Revenues. profiting from supply chain diversification. Margin inprovement impressing. Lots of cash -> Think acquisitions on the radar
Jetblue: very strong business execution but hated by investors
Alaska Air: very strong business execution but hated by investors
iRobot: bashed down, but there is a high probability that 4th quarter is quite strong
Juniper Networks: lots of Hedge funds gave in on this one...but it is still moving higher
Alibaba: tons over tons of cash, develops sucessfully semiconductors now, only bashed because of Chinese Government crack down...

....to be continued...


Visit my futures io Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote

Can you help answer these questions
from other members on futures io?
Tick counter that works with directions?
NinjaTrader
Take Profit/ Tpx during crypto futures trading
Crypto Futures
Emini Trading Levels
Emini and Emicro Index
 
 
(login for full post details)
  #22 (permalink)
 asyx 
not important
 
Experience: None
Platform: not important
Trading: not important
 
Posts: 187 since Mar 2011
Thanks: 406 given, 142 received

NQ 100 vs central banks assets held vs US10y interest rate - source YCHarts:


Visit my futures io Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
 
(login for full post details)
  #23 (permalink)
 asyx 
not important
 
Experience: None
Platform: not important
Trading: not important
 
Posts: 187 since Mar 2011
Thanks: 406 given, 142 received


It is not possible to forecast which level Gold reaches in the next 12 month or the S&P 500 or any other stock or market. All the institutions do it...but that's just for fun.

It is different with inflation-rates. It is proved that forecasting or estimating inflation is much easier. And it is also proved that (almost) no one is better at it as the FED.

The FED has 400 people and some to dig through the data. And one of few aims of the FED is to understand inflation.

The FED is setting interest rates and pumping money into and out of markets. Therefore, listening to the FED and following its actions very closely makes a lot of sense.

This is not only important for long-term positioning but also for day-trading. For example the days before an FOMC announcement and/or on that day and/or the days after there is usually a lot of volatility and extended moves. Personnally I do best under such and similar circumstances.

Visit my futures io Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
 
(login for full post details)
  #24 (permalink)
 asyx 
not important
 
Experience: None
Platform: not important
Trading: not important
 
Posts: 187 since Mar 2011
Thanks: 406 given, 142 received

source - bloomberg:

"Last week, when the S&P 500 closed at a 52-week high, 334 companies trading on the New York Stock Exchange hit a 52-week low, more than double the amount that marked new one-year highs. Thatís happened only three other times in history -- all of them in December 1999, according to Ramsey, who is chief investment officer for Leuthold Group. "

Visit my futures io Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
 
(login for full post details)
  #25 (permalink)
 asyx 
not important
 
Experience: None
Platform: not important
Trading: not important
 
Posts: 187 since Mar 2011
Thanks: 406 given, 142 received

source - Bloomberg:


Visit my futures io Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
 
(login for full post details)
  #26 (permalink)
 asyx 
not important
 
Experience: None
Platform: not important
Trading: not important
 
Posts: 187 since Mar 2011
Thanks: 406 given, 142 received

I buy some VIX the next couple of days for a short-term rebound.

Visit my futures io Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
 
(login for full post details)
  #27 (permalink)
 asyx 
not important
 
Experience: None
Platform: not important
Trading: not important
 
Posts: 187 since Mar 2011
Thanks: 406 given, 142 received

...you do or you don't do...



lightsun47 View Post
Can I join your mighty side, Master?



Sent using the futures.io mobile app


Visit my futures io Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
 
(login for full post details)
  #28 (permalink)
 asyx 
not important
 
Experience: None
Platform: not important
Trading: not important
 
Posts: 187 since Mar 2011
Thanks: 406 given, 142 received

...If, at all, I was logged in here in the last 2 years then only for minutes....
...I registered 2011 and when I first started to be interest in markets that was even another 10 years earlier...

...How people approach markets and "trading"... it is (almost) always the same way...

...what young traders do right now, thousands of others (including me) tried to do before...

...analysing candle stick pattern, crossing of moving-averages, what did the market do yesterday, decision-making based on "intuition", you name it...

Damn - even PHDs and institutions with access to PCs 40-50 years ago did all that kind of stuff "everybody" is doing till today because it looked/looks as the easiest way...
Perhaps decades ago you could squeeze out something from the markets that way , but if everybody has easy, low cost access to Charting-software and backtesting tools?...



SomePsychoDude View Post
it's sad to see what market can do with people's brains


Visit my futures io Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
 
(login for full post details)
  #29 (permalink)
 asyx 
not important
 
Experience: None
Platform: not important
Trading: not important
 
Posts: 187 since Mar 2011
Thanks: 406 given, 142 received

Regarding ARK Innovation:

The famous technology fund is now down 22% in 2021, heading for its worst annual performance since its inception in 2014. That comes in stark contrast to last yearís rally of almost 150%. (Source: Bloomberg)


... I am not sure why such things happen, but statistics show that funds which outperformed for 1-2 years in a row, have a very high probability to underperform significantly in the second and/or third year.

My assumptions:

people get to attached to a stock/trade if it is a suprisingly big win and therefore still keep it even if things change.
"Hot money" moves on if a good trade/idea seems to be obvious to everyone...


Visit my futures io Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
 
(login for full post details)
  #30 (permalink)
 asyx 
not important
 
Experience: None
Platform: not important
Trading: not important
 
Posts: 187 since Mar 2011
Thanks: 406 given, 142 received


regarding crude oil - source Bloomberg:

Mexico plans to halt crude oil exports in 2023 as part of President Andres Manuel Lopez Obradorís nationalist goal of self-sufficiency in fuel production.

Petroleos Mexicanos, the Mexican state-owned producer known as Pemex, will reduce daily crude exports next year by more than half to 435,000 barrels before phasing out sales to foreign customers the following year, Chief Executive Officer Octavio Romero said during a press conference in Mexico City on Tuesday.

The ambitious -- and some say improbable -- endeavor is part of Lopez Obradorís drive to expand homegrown production of gasoline and diesel that Mexico now mostly buys from U.S. refiners. Like many major oil-producing nations, Mexico lacks the processing capacity to convert its oil bounty into fuels and other end-products.

If fulfilled, Pemexís pledge will mark the exit from international oil markets of one of its most prominent players of the past decades. At its peak in 2004, Pemex exported almost 1.9 million barrels a day to refineries from Japan to India, and participated in OPEC meetings as an observer. Mexican crude also had a major influence on the U.S. oil refining heartland along the Gulf Coast where plants were configured to handle heavy, sulfur-rich oil.

Visit my futures io Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote


futures io Trading Community Trading Journals > Watch Me Win


Last Updated on January 9, 2022


Upcoming Webinars and Events
 

NinjaTrader Indicator Challenge!

Ongoing
     



Copyright © 2022 by futures io, s.a., Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada), info@futures.io
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice.
There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
no new posts