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Analytic Trading Journal-MES Futures


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Analytic Trading Journal-MES Futures

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  #21 (permalink)
New York NY/United States
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS NinjaTrader Jigsaw
Trading: Futures, Options, Stocks
 
Analytic's Avatar
 
Posts: 25 since Dec 2013
Thanks: 1 given, 3 received

6-29-2020

Daily Review:

Didn't trade live today. There was one great short setup on the open that I missed.

Market Condition: Daily Downtrend still fully in place, Seasonality is bullish but news in bearish.
The market is weak below 3075, Uptrend will re-establish after price holds 3100

Action: No live trading.

Comments: I don't like to trade live right on the open. Need to change that. Missed an excellent setup.

3000 level held Friday due I think to put option rolling. MES went down because of MM selling futures due to
new put buying and then up because some of MM hedges were not needed since weekly options expired.

Today the P/C Ratio went down in the afternoon so Puts closed -> MM hedges closed -> MM Futures buying goes up

Daily Momentum starting to turn down for MES and HYG






6-29-2020-Morning short trade setup








2020-06-29 15_45_01-Current Market Statistics


2020-06-29 16_45_55-Chart - ES_Daily_Momentum


2020-06-29 16_43_19-Chart - HYG_Daily_Momentum

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  #22 (permalink)
New York NY/United States
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS NinjaTrader Jigsaw
Trading: Futures, Options, Stocks
 
Analytic's Avatar
 
Posts: 25 since Dec 2013
Thanks: 1 given, 3 received

6-30-2020

Daily Review

Market held 3150 and may be shifting to an uptrend
BO Price for the week is 3132, so if we can break and hold that level then ES has a good shot at 3200 either this week or next week.
For a solid uptrend to be in place ES needs to hold 3100.

ES Levels For 7-01-2020:

Above 3050: Long Bias
Above 3100: Long Trend
Above 3132: Long Momentum Trend
3000-3050: Neutral, Consolidation Zone
Below 3000: Short Bias
Below 2950: Short Trend

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  #23 (permalink)
New York NY/United States
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS NinjaTrader Jigsaw
Trading: Futures, Options, Stocks
 
Analytic's Avatar
 
Posts: 25 since Dec 2013
Thanks: 1 given, 3 received


7-01-2020

Daily Review:

Market Condition: Unstable uptrend. Could NOT hold 3100.

Action: Did not trade live. Traded in Sim only.

Comments: I did not find any positive expectancy trades today. Uptrend was unstable.
For learning purposes I traded sim. The stats show what happens when you take
trades that don't have a long term positive expectancy.

Trade size: 1- 400 MES


MAX DD EOD = 17,365.48

Net Profit/MAX DD = 0.44

Average MFE/MAE = 1.59



2020-07-01 21_30_08-Trade Performance - Report


2020-07-01 21_31_33-Trade Performance - Report

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July 1, 2020


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