Sim trading continues. More signs that I am taking this seriously is that I have standardized my platform setup. It's nice to know exactly where to look to see things. I will be buying another monitor, a 32". I use a laptop for trading and there just isn't enough real estate for what I want to see. I will get another mouse, too. I have carpal tunnel and want to make things as easy as possible on my hands.
This week's trading has gone OK. I am "profitable" but there are holes in my approach, and I have come to a conclusion. For the time being I need to stop fading session tops and bottoms. I have lost more money trying to do that than anything else. I tell myself I will wait, but then I'll just shout "That's absorption" and put my trade on. In other words, I am guilty of trying to pick tops and bottoms.
I am hard headed but the insanely simple "the trend is your friend" just never caught on with me, until now.
So this week I will be trading with the trend. I hope there is room for me on the bandwagon.
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I have been trading futures for about a year now and just a few weeks ago I started trading in the direction of the trend. Up until then I was buying lows and selling highs and losing plenty of money along the way! Glad you switched, looking forward to see your progress.
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Important update: I traded live for a couple of days, MCL and YM on nights. It didn't go well, thankfully. I went back to the drawing board. I have a nearly unlimited amount of free time and I have done a deep dive into the charts, literally poring over them. tick by tick for 12-14 hours a day. I leaned into the work and really enjoyed it.
I have found my edge, and a system that works. It's an idea that is explained in basic on Youtube but I stripped it down, oiled it, adjusted it, and rebuilt it. It starts and ends with risk management but I sincerely hope that the volatility of the last few years remains for s few more.
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I have wanted to switch from Ninjatrader to Sierra Charts for awhile. I was going to do it a few weeks ago but I decided changing platforms wasn't going to make me a better trader. I've changed my mind...I feel like the time is right to make the switch.
By all accounts Sierra is faster and more adaptable. Ninja has generally been a good platform but it's DOM is terrible and I have started to dislike using Jigsaw as a plugin. Two separate platforms seems unnecessarily complex, especially when both of them are prone to bugs. I still have a funded account at Ninja and it will take a week or so to get a account set up with Sierra with the Teton order routing.
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I have spent a significant part of my life being an arrogant ***. Apparently this will not change. After a couple of successful days paper trading I had already picked out the color for my Lamborghini. Jesus wept.
No I'm not profitable yet, although I haven't even live traded. Being a discretionary trader is hard work and I'll continue to do it.
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The most frustrating part is that I'm such a lunkhead that I still think it's going to be easy. I discover something simple, like a moving average crossover system and immediately think I will get rich with minimal effort.
I did market replay last night and immediately got into two trades against the trend. So even though my knowledge is growing by the day, I will still have to fight those demons. I was in a huge funk by the time I turned off the screen but was amazed to see that I was basically even.
I am putting in massive hours studying charts and the frustration when the paper trading goes badly is awful. i actually think I need to spend more time paper trading, just to get acclimated with the speed of the market and using my new setup, which is kind of complicated.
I need to do a better job seeing the context in the market. Unfortunately I now have 7 charts up. They are all crucial, but if I'm not paying enough attention to the one I am trading I am in deep doo doo.
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Although I made a decision a week or two ago to finally trade with the trend, the paper trading the other day convinced me I still have some work to do mentally. I think about trading all the time now and all I'm thinking about are pullbacks and second entries.
I think I might be getting somewhere. I plan on doing more market replay/ paper trading tonight.
Later:
So, I got the trend following part right tonight. Despite reading the market well enough to get some really good entries, my trade management was so poor that I turned what should have been a very profitable day into a losing one.
One culprit: poor stop placement. On a couple I had too tight a stop, then a couple of other ones it was too loose.
I need to start recording my trading with a screen recording program. My memory is fuzzy but I am relatively sure I turned a = +$1000 day into a -$250 one. It can be fixed and the recording is the best way to review.
The plus side tonight was my entries. It was an easy read but I was able to do it in real time and *not* try for stupid reversals.
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I am waiting for my new trading account to be approved, and don't have CME data on Sierra Chart yet so I am just going through the chart every day looking at the price action. Thursday and Friday were tough reads. I honestly think I might have gotten smoked on a few of the early morning fakeouts.
I did fire up the platform and did some paper trading at about 3:00 EST. Price was in a tight zipper and I went 8 for 8 for 90 points on YM. It seems like short term scalping goes a lot better with a limit order entry. Unfortunately these were 0.5R trades but there's a good chance that I could risk less or even if I was able to keep up a high win rate that this type of trading could work.
I think my new strategy works better in a tight range. I seem to be getting better reads on double tops and bottoms now, too.
My hands continue to hurt a little from all the computer time. I might have to give up Reddit in order to keep up the hours studying and trading. That would really suck but if it helped me be a profitable trader it would be worth it.
Edit: Turns out I don't need a funded account for Sierra Chart intraday data. So I'm in! The next step of my trading journey begins.
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I am finally setting up Sierra Chart. I was unhappy with my old platform and couldn't be happier with Sierra Chart. It is written in C++ which is about a million times faster than C# (the language some in which some other platforms are written. It works more like a machine than a piece of software.
To give an idea about how reliable and precise Sierra Chart is, on the user forum people log in and pose their questions/ problems. The only answer the engineers usually give is posting a link to the instructions.
I understand this journal doesn't really provide trade statistics, setups, etc. It is more of a trader's journey. Still, I feel like the next few weeks could see a change in the way my trading goes.
Until now I have been unprofitable. If I count the money I have spent on Ninja + Jigsaw + training + trading losses, it is probably about $5,000. Ouch. I am willing to change my process to turn that around.
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