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2020 vision st.


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2020 vision st.

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  #21 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 81 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

Ncov stuff

https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2020/01/27/coronavirus

https://mobile.twitter.com/harmlessyarddog/status/1222540821016326145

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  #22 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 81 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

feels like both sides represented, balanced but still pushing, kinda reluctant so nibbling with the tide away from VWAP, pivot

seems confused, like if not down then up, but if not up then down, but ok then neutral and sit on hands

almost like calculating for NFP scenarios, PMI did not bump CL, GC rising a bit, NKD settling in

chip chop, UK close along with another CDC update, last time was kinda volatile BTD

at resistance from last week, but also attracted to R1, filling a bit more

wonder if the intraday gap offers support, like a "hey, wait for me" moment

some test trades do not remain or get whipped immediately, not ideal for holding

CL tantrum continues, flows going negative toward EU close, Shanghai still digesting

going back to gap and pivot, VWAP, some might like this area, patient fishing type, flagging deep

CDC unable to offer certainty, uncertainty breeds fear of the unknown

on the other side of the coin, being over prepared is not necessarily a bad thing

near monthly POC, kinda in neutral mode, waiting for global health

waiting on CL to turn around instead of going to $40s, kinda dragging

something about an ISM revision to historical data, though came in higher, weird

that was the last straw for today, had enough of the strangeness

someone requested, CDC, report earlier so there is time to adjust before earnings

last time was way to close to the close to load enough

still feels like an indecision tree, trappy, volume fell off, molasses flows

//

Mahome is pretty inspirational, took some hits but just kept going, led the team in spirit, they had the heart to finish strong and just break SF even with early jitters, kinda felt they found SF needed structure, zoned them and brought them back to school, playbook cannot react fast enough, adapting to new conditions is key

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  #23 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 81 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received


Above S2, gotta wait until everyone is finished buying, but at extension target

can try, blew off a bit, however strong bias, volume lower, squeezing, DOM balancing out

momo still feels strong, flipping both ways, not going to give much either way

small dips will be reluctantly bought, with punishment for not doing so, the rise of the machines

interesting that the big round number blasted through, wants to revisit sometime

EU felt happy today without the UK, AUD/JPY, risk on since last night, non-stop

interesting that CL just paused, GC down but in range, turning a bit

when S2 broke, target now searching for extension off larger flag, S3

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  #24 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 81 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

everything's kinda stuck, BTC is not though, YM interesting

TSLA influence on NQ is kinda largish, trying to use indexes in parallel, but kinda misaligned

spread might work, but don't do those

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  #25 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 81 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

NFP unknown, light exiting, GC higher, CL lower

staying away from the immediate reaction

like a triple test of resistance, pausing at buildup

coiling since start of week, upside just waiting, baking some in

still on journey to extension target, but maybe a detour first

something strange about NFP event, if built up into news

dip extended lower, support as resistance, GC up, CL down

tried to take support earlier, but broke, so targeting S2 instead

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  #26 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 81 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

risk is not on, GC, ZN bid while 6A/6J lower, CL too, still see visit to S levels

lower range hit, too much work to get to next support without retrace, risk still not on

learned to use levels w/ range to lower risk and stay out of trouble, i.e., chasing, YM a good reference

bonus, levels are not a lagging indicator, but not absolute either, just a good way point to analyze

chasing can foul entry, out of range movement can add to the fear, inside range can be confirmation

being in a trade, was able to observe and have a better feel, still early, on both entry and exit

confirmation gives some reason to stay in, but confirmation does not mean chasing either, wait, fibs

this wavering push lower will hopefully be saved by the bell, range boundary, lower volume, friday

possibility of a high volume flush to S2 since previous support is now resistance

shaved a little off a big weekly candle, and those dips keep getting bid up

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  #27 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 81 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

trees for the forest problem, too much precision, not enough accuracy

trees are the ST, the forest the LT, top down from forest and then the trees

never focus solely on the trees, will lose precision but gain accuracy

filter out the noise, which is a range and affects time based strats

the method becomes more like fishing, wait there with your setup

and take action when you see the move, though the catch is variable

//

the area outside of north china, with beijing being HQ historically has been more independent

west China is less of a concern, controllable and less populated desert region

however, southern areas, Wuhan, Taiwan, Canton, Chengdu, Chungking, Shanghai, HK

have historical events of nationalist, KMT, independence uprisings, colonialism, etc.

Wuhan is a central location to southern China, disabling a large portion geographically

HK protests, Taiwan Independence re-election, and possibly other growing issues

causing a more democratic lean to southern china, harder to crack down upon

may have been a breaking point, added a yellow circle of north china vs southern

https://ibb.co/z5qvN4T


//

crude taking the escalator down, sometimes a leader, the fight for 50

HG, 6A not budging higher, GC grinding up but 6E falling

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  #28 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 81 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

Finding the meat of the move and believing it

Enormous leeway there, can go with first target

Take some extra or just walk away and wait

Agreeable simplicity, very clear instructions to execute

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  #29 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 81 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

asymmetry on sell side, less patience here, CL supportive but risk hit pause button

BTC anticipating halvening, decrease in supply, also from forgotten wallet passwords

AM topping, with a slow PM trickle, not the best pie to slice up, cannot fathom pivot target

should imagine this possibility since last PM session was a bump up from this pivot

CL also drifting down, profile is gappy below, but near POC, the gravity is getting stronger

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  #30 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 81 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received


euro dippin, R1 testing, resting, VX sliding, EUR/JPY widened, $TICK lows

waiting out the tide, needs to adjust here from overnight

near yday's close, maybe pause, let it do its thing, confusing now

if held from lower, a little holding risk might be okay, flows positive

kinda neat: COV data

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