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2020 vision st.


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2020 vision st.

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  #101 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 96 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

attempt at adding to base, kept the dd low but incr pos
https://imgur.com/a/9oldjQC
even better would be a swing add from prev day, hrly is flag off ma
hovering overnight along vwap too

made an adjustment swing, felt like an early exit
https://imgur.com/a/llsQO37
late on entry, bounced off pvs, safer under vwap
cause last hour, bust downsized to hold through

also observing eur, possible both are LHs
add this to the prev LLs and could stall
temp range high, feeling a fade/drag
degree of pb would say more o/n

but near a poc, and could push, test ath
would be unsteady, prefer 2 step fwd 1 step back

//

take what we can at the open, a little drag felt
https://imgur.com/a/5tETAZT

actually will pause action now for the week
seeing the fade

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  #102 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 96 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

attempting to hodl the dip, took some off

https://imgur.com/a/PtUsOkP

feels early, also seeing crude dip

https://imgur.com/a/2d0F0BO

trying to pick exit, similar to sell entry, runner only

welp, hitting ST div, vwap, pivpt, rolling over.. so out.. cannot hodl, bad at the hodl..

//

instead of the hodl got in lower than exit for another catch-up.. a bit late on entry near pp, vwap

https://imgur.com/a/YLaM3Xo

basically taking in the extra push off the dip that bled from PM to overnight

def not hodl because late, watching the dxy push now

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  #103 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 96 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

feels kinda bleh with vx and yen off, cl too but still pushing with the momo

https://imgur.com/a/F0uAeSd

no adds, maybe trail some

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  #104 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 96 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

felt like ct, but the resist and decay from lack of push made it so

https://imgur.com/a/avEUpdR

trail some under s1.. was preceded yday by strong dxy, fading crude

vx has been bubbling as well, never really settling down

https://imgur.com/a/5olxApP

nothing saying exit but here is a fan, still sellin em.. vol not broken yet

past hi-30s we got a prob..

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  #105 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 96 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

out of tech.. https://imgur.com/a/jnbwV1E, thought vx would be higher, see if crude recovers, risk off

getting close to dropping out, vx is fading though

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  #106 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 96 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

bumped into res, just a bit too far

https://imgur.com/a/Hy7gMu0

pt, no momo day, ct, but still supportive

similar, cr hi

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  #107 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 96 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

so lately, and after many iterations and models, i've been visualizing tides.. you know, those ocean waves that wash ashore and different levels.. almost as if a surfer checking winds and conditions in the contextual current.. to catch the right waves

not that i'm literally syncing with moon phases or watching noaa satellite feeds for storm warnings.. or using lidar to map underwater terrain to pickup reefs and such.. or donning a wetsuit to be one with the dolphins and seals.. and sharks

i'm just picturing how low and high tides form, they are gradual and subtle, but from one extreme to the other in a time lapse, there is a very obvious difference.. like the wave energy that pushes water towards the shore.. surfers want to wake up early to catch those primo waves, sometimes fresh out the winnebago, a meditative experience of oneness with the waves, a bit ritualistic and in the zone paddling out and feeling the waters

and the moment they are prepared, surfers seem to stand out on shore for long periods of time, just watching.. sometimes, they even turn back around to catch some zzz-s either because the action is still too calm, or not feeling the laird hamilton jaws vibe of extreme turbulence.. trying to avoid both the surf doldrum boredom and broken boards simultaneously in order to rip that curl

high tide seems to be an additive series of stronger individual wave pressure that push water closer to shore.. the going is good for a period of time after low tide.. one could say low tides are the opposite, where waves are receding due to lack of energy, with the overall trend of waves diminishing in strength, forming a sort of consensus to pull the water away from shore.. so between each of these extremes is a period of back and forth, since high and low tides take time to form their extremes.. likewise, the exact wave that counts as low or high is not as important as the concluding transition, summarizing the developing reversal..

in the water, the last few runs a surfer may not be so stoked about the action and start paddling back to shore, seeing their session coming to an end, perhaps seeing too many other surfers crowding the spot taking, sure there may still be some extra decent waves but for the most part, the action can wait for another day.. start fresh, wax up the board, get some grub and enjoy the off time.. until word gets out at the local board shop later telling them about the ridiculous series of waves late in the day.. and they realize then why the cove was unusually crowded that day.. must've been some storm or something as they shake it off and get some sleep after finally finding a place to park their wagon cabin to wake up early before the others get to the spot..

the next day, instead of waking peacefully to the dawning morning light, the local dude is shaken up early by several voices passing by on their way to the shore.. looking outside, the surfer can already see the waves forming early than yesterday.. it is then he knows that the high tides will last longer and prime season is on its way, this time the crowds will not go away so easily, until maybe the sharks come through, or red tide or such.. they just set their alarm a bit earlier, grab their board and get in a handful before the area becomes a flotilla of suits and boards trying to catch the same wave..

the surfer heads a bit further away from the hotspot and finds a more peaceful zone, a bit harder to access but still worth the privacy, they are actually trying to observe the wave pattern to figure out the overall status of the tides without the extra disturbance from the populated beaches.. whatever the event that brought that unusual action, they just wanted to confirm whether or not the situation was temporary or part of a larger trend.. they actually enjoy this part of observation as much as being in the waves themselves, though this is less tiresome and risky, being ashore is an opportunity to plan ahead and decide whether to clock in the time for the days ahead..

there was a time, when gromming and grubbing around was fun and just being in the water was an experience, but seeing others get injuries on off days that put them out for the season and also the strange exhaustion and emptiness outside of the pure ripping days of progression left them wanting more, and sitting out to re-charge was def the better decision on days like those.. or if being out of the water was not really going to happen, they could practice other stuff, maybe bringing out the gun and just cruising along, maybe strength training in preparation of the slew of back-to-back days when conditions would be flowing..

if you were to look through their eyes, there is a period when the low tide starts to build into two-way action, and then these lows actually mark higher lows, signaling strength through the wave action, of course the action is still two-sided, but the sentiment is starting to bias and build toward a series of stronger waves, higher highs even.. and they know from that morning on, that the days ahead will be filled with great waves both early and late, so they can avoid the crowds, and hit their favorite spots when all the craziness thins out.. all they do while watching the build of higher tides is to mark when they start fading away, waning into lower highs, and likewise, lower and lower tides.. maybe considerations of booking it down under for the off season to catch the endless summer short board vibe..

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  #108 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 96 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

gotta look elsewhere besides indexes for now, some fx, nrg

overnight in crypto, tp needs to be redefined since continued after exit and needed a stop out during earlier dip, but first tp is fine for now.. maybe later with add can hold for extra target.. actually no, needed to divide and conquer.. by zooming in.. but still tfs that allow breathing room

https://imgur.com/a/HT23J7N

//

on simultaneous attempts, moot because win/fails duplicated.. same consistency.. other acct should not copy, but use diverse ortho inst..

hedging is also not spreading.. where hedge is within same inst. category.. spreading is similar inst. or varied time contract..

for futs, hedge not poss. but fx yes.. spreads are more dangerous, as the length of pb / reversal is actually unknown beforehand.. with spread bias, can become neg

also sim/combines are options that expire on reset or monthly or become exercised upon passing, providers writing them to collect premium

if exercised, they select for higher prob invest to buy into, though fail rate can still be high, this subset is still more likely to succeed than the initial pool.. risk becomes more worth as the subset enriches for better expectancy

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  #109 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 96 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

the surfer knew about when conditions were better, surfs up as they say.. but would sometimes miss the first window..
which would mark the pass of low tide season.. lowest of lows.. so the season there would be better..
but looking closer, the surfer actually saw that these batches of waves themselves also had low points..
these seemed to mark the start of a wave batch.. a sort of reference point..
comparing other batches, the worst wave was actually better than the batch before..

more crowds came in as word spread about the waves, and using this, the surfer could avoid the crowds
especially during the down times when there were too many riders going for sub optimal waves..
the crowds were okay if there were plenty of waves to go around..
and simply avoiding them when the spot could not offer enough.. or the wave batch was too small to session

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  #110 (permalink)
boston ma
 
 
Posts: 96 since Dec 2012
Thanks: 11 given, 26 received

final words..

blast processing, carmack, do with the bare necessities only to not be bogged down by that which can be done without

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fast_inverse_square_root, hacks to get the job done..

similarly, our own fps can get tied down, too much going on.. simplify and do away with the non-sense to reveal..

END. 2020. VISION. ST.. a year of simply seeing past the blinders..

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