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1Shot2Kill4MES2ES.AnythingGoes!

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  #1 (permalink)
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SHHHT!
Just between us...
"The JOURNEY is always HARD ~ Don't Give Up" ~ Stephen F. Austin
1Shot2Kill4MES2ES.AnythingGoes! The fourth journal series is coming...
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Probability+Predictability= Profitability
The next level of Possibility in Swing Trading by increasing Position Size, aka "adding to winners" using existing "paper-profit".
In addition, effectively identify signals from MES 4M chart to attack the SIX High Probability Trade-able setups with predefined setups, entries, and exits.

Inspirational thought:
"If you're lucky enough to have been rewarded in life to the degree that I have, there comes a point at which you have to decide whether to become a slave to your net worth by devoting the rest of your life to increase it or to let what you're accumulated begin to serve you." -- Beating the Street by Peter Lynch who is an American investor, Mutual Fund Manager, and Philanthropist. As the manager of the Magellan Fund at Fidelity Investments between 1977 and 1990, Lynch averaged a 29.2% annual return.


Favorite songs:
One more try - George Michael 11.23.2009
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It is FATE...
that you found the Journal Series, and learned about my Journey... to become a BETTTER newbie, a SMARTER trader yourself?





QuickSUMMARY:
link2Evernote https://www.evernote.com/shard/s385/sh/979a9da5-f1e4-d9e1-6993-d2f64227e738/fcf0aa33330289dfb9d9014f4c3f8de7

W41FRI.2020OCT09 1Shot2Kill!pWp.TALESofHiddenDragon?T127%3724?
link2Evernote https://www.evernote.com/shard/s385/sh/2f378dcb-5ac1-11b8-8472-35978025af0c/4ad54639a97d3a24b848721c68711f4c


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iTS
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Link to JournalChallenge Introduction1Shot2Kill4MES2ES.AnythingGoes!
https://www.evernote.com/shard/s385/sh/3082fbc9-aa30-446c-a62b-94b5b1e2c11a/4ea6b327938ac9c89dcf57bec8952d39


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Link to JournalChallenge Attack Plan 1Shot2Kill4MES2ES.AnythingGoes!
https://www.evernote.com/shard/s385/sh/9ec26bc0-25bb-46f0-9b67-4c06f627ae57/a8e9c1e75643ed7fb7d06e469543bb84


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Hmmm... no more Calendar because it's hard-wired into my brain; pretty simple to remember... after so many years.

First, deal with the FIRST Friday of Month NFP by trading to "Dtop.return2SOC"@3140-3151 then down to "NFP.return2SOC" @3125-20

Second, be aware of possible TUE FullMoon.CIT (-1 or +1 day off) to change trend or not...

Third, tackle WED FOMC Day for potential Volatility with "Wild-swing" in either direction...

Then here comes "FIRST and LAST Five Days" of Rollover process...

Finally, survive the QWOE.QuadrupeWitchingOptionExpiration, T3200ish by December 20th?

Ready? Let's Roll for "Anything Goes!", next.


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iTS
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When I saw that FIO posting last year, I thought that I've been there and done that exactly by quit trading and using stocks rules in order to learn rules for trading futures successful... but now, am I crazy to think about "UNLEARN WHAT I HAVE LEARNED" in the past eleven years, again?

Hold that crazy thought for now...


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https://www.evernote.com/shard/s385/sh/1a4378e4-f933-4e4b-bc15-f3d106ece9af/21dfbeba7aa9469297ac3359f90eb632

If trading is a journey of ONEself... then how to continue doing it "systematically"... without even think about doing it anymore? The SEVEN Habits of Highly Effective People give direction in a constructive and effective way.


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2019 Q4 cDEC

Bullish case:
WEEKLY Chart from 2018 December's Low setup for violetHwb50%L2550-2375-2240 T127%3257 of "1DirectionalUp" Bias!


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https://www.evernote.com/shard/s385/sh/3bc1542c-6b62-41b5-b375-0488e3859743/65eb2352a92a294800f6fe0e53e2a12c

M#11 + W#49&50
2019 NOV 01-29 + DEC 02-13

Bullish case:
RTH 1440M DAILY Chart for next extended targets T3245-3280ish of "1DirectionalUp" Bias!


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https://www.evernote.com/shard/s385/sh/28548512-5444-411b-aa1d-d51f9f7ad88c/08f4239cbbd414e4ba9e647864c4de00


W#44 - 50
2019 NOV 01-29 + DEC 02-13

Bullish case?
One more leg up for RSI into extreme OB?
DO or DIE? Last year was LOY... so could it be HOY this year?

Will it depend on RTH open today?
Ahhhh... expecting the "unexpected"... for Anything Goes!

Updated after Closing:
W#52
2019 DEC 26
New Moon + Solar Eclipse
OpEx 3150>3225<3265

See last section of Evernote for 240M cMAR2020 Trade Plan & Projection as of today expecting CIT.
If it wasn't for CIT then may have to wait for next Full Moon + Lunar Eclipse in JAN 10th, 2020.

Ohhhh... what's the "unexpected"? Clues were in MES 120M and Intraday charts from MES 4M + ES 10M.


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M#11 + W#49&50
2019 NOV 01-29 + DEC 02-13

Bullish case:
RTH 1440M DAILY Chart for next extended targets T3245-3280ish of "1DirectionalUp" Bias!

W#02
2020 JAN 09 THURSDAY in Overnight

2019's final target T3280ish hit but there is no reaction for CIT when Asia session opens.
2020's TIT[@3069.50-3263.50] 38%L3189 T3316 is in play with @3181 Low as High Probability "Hit & Run" Trade... see more info in next posting.



TraderTS View Post
Updated after Closing:
W#52
2019 DEC 26

Ohhhh... what's the "unexpected"? Clues were in MES 120M and Intraday charts from MES 4M + ES 10M.

Still a work-in-progress for tracking 120M Swing+ (adding2Winners); so if and when it's finished... it will be posted in Quick Summary Post.
However, I am not posting the tracking for the FIRST and LAST Five Days of Quarterly Rollover with Intraday charts from MES 4M + ES 10M, for now... because I am not satisfied with the format... even after three trials.

✳✳✳✳✳✳✳✳✳✳✳
It's time to end Phase One of 1Shot2Kill4MES2ES.AnythingGoes!
Phase One was about tracking The High Probability of Tradeable Setups that hit targets to-the-tick during the Q4 of Rollover Process...
I will have a recap for Phase One as well as an introduction for Phase Two by Lunar New Year on JAN 25th.
In the mean time, just try to catch-up and post "whatever" as needed for AnythingGoes!


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iTS
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W#52
2019 DEC 26
New Moon + Solar Eclipse
OpEx 3150>3225<3265

If it wasn't for CIT then may have to wait for next Full Moon + Lunar Eclipse in JAN 10th, 2020.

W#02
2020 JAN10 FRIDAY
8:30amET MlyNFP - 1st Monthly Report of the Year
Full Moon + Lunar Eclipse

OpEx 3120>3200<3275

2020's TIT[@3069.50-3263.50] 38%L3189 T3316 is in play with @3181 Low as High Probability "Hit & Run" Trade with "V spike-price-rejection" pattern (see Quick Summary Post for more info). Should aim for more than 100 points of 1DirectionalUp.Bias

There is still no evidence of Big Boys taking BIG Profits yet... all intraday targets have been reached in ON session... hedgeShort positions should be in place (at least haft of Long positions) awaiting for next extended intraday T3292-99 beside TIT.T3316... be aware of ticking time bomb, especially in RTH session for AnythingGoes!


If still no CIT by next Monday... then lookout... it's going to the Moon for the extended target(s) as shown in the attached preNFP & post NFP 480M projection charts!

P.S. Don't forget to read... Learn2Lose2WIN by "Learning to LOVE to take a LOSS" in the Quick Summary Post.

Updated after closing:
No wild-swing, only six points range for Monthly NFP... then selling slowly just to fill Gaps... a gap of today @3275.75 and yesterday @3260.25 where the clues were given in RTH with the nested patterns of duo buCypher and buButterfly.

[x] 5M [3252.00-3275.25] buCypher.ptC3281-3284 to ptD3259!
[?] 15M [3231.75-3267.75] buCypher.ptC3277-3283 to ptD3242
[?] 15M {3264.25-3283.75-3268.50}buButterfly.ptD3258

Will see if SUN reOpen with continuing selling to next ptD or not.
It's unusual CALM... make me think of "calm before the STORM"???


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iTS
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https://www.evernote.com/shard/s385/sh/2040b4bb-ae60-46d7-b711-b460c110944e/35d65272210e96fe5483d0fe9eceb6b4

W#03
2020 JAN 13-17
WED 11:30amET Phase One ~ U.S. & China Tariffs sign-off... done without any surprises!
FRI MlyOpEx 3120>3265<3300! next T3315

Hmmmm...
"V spike-price-rejection" pattern TIT38%L3189 T127%3316


Updated after Closing:
THU 2:09pmET U.S. Senators take oath at Trump's impeachment trial


Target(s) hit without any reaction at EOD... and kept going up in ON trading... therefore, just monitor for continuation to keep it as roll.RunnerLong@3185 in mid-March.

Note:
Don't forget to hedgeShort at least half size by EOW in another sub-account... it's Topping Top but without confirmation, yet. Still so Bullish bias with increased "Open-Interested" Volume BUY during Monthly OpEX... before Holiday weekend for the Martin L. King Jr. Day, next Monday.


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W#02
2020 JAN10 FRIDAY

If still no CIT by next Monday... then lookout... it's going to the Moon for the extended target(s)

W#04
2020 JAN 20-24
MON Martin L. King Jr. Holiday

WEEKLY Chart for Projected Target(s) of Inverted H&S T1@3377
IF there is selling... then watch out for NeckLine @3100ish as retesting ptBO
ELSE could be Inverted H&S T2@3717 in the making.
Note:
Selling during Asia session but there was no panic or continuation selling in RTH session... even it's extreme OB and retested prior High @3330 as Double Top

CoronaVirus confirmed infection in Seattle, U.S.
The virus, stemming from Wuhan, China, has killed six people with confirmed cases in China totaling nearly 300 as of Monday, less than a week before Lunar New Year, when millions of Chinese travel at home and abroad.

Paul Tudor Jones says this "crazy" Stock Market run reminds him a lot of early '99
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/21/paul-tudor-jones-says-this-crazy-stock-market-run-reminds-him-a-lot-of-early-99.html


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iTS
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PIG was not getting "slaughtered"! Oops until Lunar New Year's Eve... sneaky RAT!


https://www.evernote.com/shard/s385/sh/7ebf92d0-16fe-477e-9e68-702c868b8cef/efd25728224e5a7c4cb210b4d9b3eea8


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Lunar New Year promotion from P.F. Chang's
Oops, New Moon today... nothing but veggie food but could go for Red Lantern Cocktail... especially for the RED Envelope!


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iTS
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W#04
2020 JAN 20-24
MON Martin L. King Jr. Holiday

..."IF there is selling... then watch out for NeckLine @3100ish as retesting ptBO
Note:
Selling during Asia session but there was no panic or continuation selling in RTH session... even it's extreme OB and retested prior High @3330 as Double Top".

Was it "MouseTrap" on Lunar New Year's Eve, last Friday?
Whatever it was... it's WEEKLY Chart FibsExtensionProjection T-61.8% 3336.50 hit to-the-tick!

W#05
2020 JAN 27-31
WED T3+ FOMC Day

preFOMC Day Updated:
Bullish bias going to FOMC Day + T3 EOM Window Dressing
SELL was last Friday and BUY was Monday with Tuesday to add... but get in-between is just asking for whipsaw with @3300-3306 as LIS.

240M Chart
2020's 2ndExtTIT[@3069.50-3337.50] 38%L3235 T3410 is in play - using the same anchor to new high.

480M Projection Chart
Keep hedgeS3334 at Topping Top for now... Why?
Waiting for the GIFT of potential buCypher.ptD3127 which is where WEEKLY IH&S Neckline retesting @3100ish ptBO.


postFOMC Day Updated:
FOMC Day within 8 points range and failedBO with stopRUN @3292.75 as HOD. So better to cover Intraday Long and add to hedgeShort.
hwb38-61%S3272-3298 [3337.50-3233.00] is inplay T3204-3190-3168

Note:
It's best to look at RTH Intraday chart, next.


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iTS
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FIO posted 2019 DEC 11th


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"... but now, am I crazy to think about "UNLEARN WHAT I HAVE LEARNED" in the past eleven years, again?"

Hold that crazy thought for now...

Introducing PhaseTWO of AnythingGoes!
https://www.evernote.com/shard/s385/sh/ee717cae-45b6-428b-845f-32752aea1f3e/8a98356baa73c81282feb1f01b5e5f8c


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iTS
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Link2Evernote:
https://www.evernote.com/shard/s385/sh/741c3b4c-05b9-429b-b39a-3d0910a5d642/9d5bfeb16f2e11ffe49ae1fcfbb99875


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1440M and 5UniRenko Charts from my mentor at StructuralTrading.com


Fibs don't lie @3350 but WHY ask WHY @3357.75 exactly?
The answer was in 10M Intraday Chart from WED's next Measured Move [3288.25 3331.25] 38%L3314 T-62%3357.75 hit as THU's ONH


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WEEKLY Chart for Projected Target(s) of Inverted H&S T1@3377 is still intact.

W#06
2020 FEB07 FRI
8:30amET MlyNFP
Full Moon = CIT?
OpEx 3175>3250<3300



2020's 2ndTIT[@3069.50-3337.50] 38%L3235 T3400ish is in play using same @3069.50 anchor that retested second time on MON FEB 03 @6:10 pmET reOpen.

480M Projection Chart
Move trailSTOP up depending on preNFP price action, but
Keep 1RunnerL3223 until mid-March for Quarterly Rollover, if at all possible.

What's the problem?
10M Intraday for algoDUET traded THU [3357.75-3340.50] T127-141%3333!hit.LOD as beCypher.ptC to ptD where it has been holding down @3349-52 all day and all night, yesterday. Oh oh, potential H&S?

postMlyNFP updated:
Yoyo up and down just trying to fill Top & Bottom of Gaps... see better in RTH 5M and 15M Charts.
Will see if SUN reOpen with continuing selling or not.


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W#04
2020 JAN 20-24
OpEx 3250>3325<3365

Link2FIO previous posting:


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W#05
2020 JAN27-31
WED FOMC Day
EOM.WindowDressing/Breaking?
OpEX 3200>3300<3355

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W#05
2020 JAN31 FRI.CD3.SSD
LDOM.LastDayOfMonth=WindowBreaking
?Impeachment Vote (for additional witnesses)
?BREXIT Vote
OpEX 3200>3300<3355

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W#05
2020 JAN 31 FRI.CD3.SSD
LDOM.LastDayOfMonth=ahaLongTrade
?CIT.failedBD
OpEx 3200>3300>3355

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W#06
2020 FEB 03-07
MlyNFP + Full Moon ?CIT.failedBO
OpEx 3175>3250>3300

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WEEKLY Chart for Projected Target(s) of Inverted H&S T1@3377 is still intact.

W#06
2020 FEB07 FRI
8:30amET MlyNFP
Full Moon = CIT?
OpEx 3175>3250<3300



2020's 2ndTIT[@3069.50-3337.50] 38%L3235 T3400ish is in play using same @3069.50 anchor that retested second time on MON FEB 03 @6:10 pmET reOpen.

480M Projection Chart
Move trailSTOP up depending on preNFP price action, but
Keep 1RunnerL3223 until mid-March for Quarterly Rollover, if at all possible.

W#07
2020 FEB10-14
No major events
OpEx 3220>3325<3365

WOW, OpEx T3365 hit within 24 hours from SUN reOpen!
WEEKLY Chart for Projected Target(s) of Inverted H&S T1@3377 was within 2 points yesterday, but no cigar...
Going to the MOON with 1Runner left for Quarterly Rollover.

BTFD was there to lift it up again... Hmmm, the multiple setups were there as shown on chart.
It's not IF but WHEN? T3400ish likely hit as long as @3300ish LIS is holding up.

Updates:
YAHOO! Limit order for hedgeS@3376.75 filled to-the-tick, WED morning.
No more buyers? Not until bears let go of 9:40amET RTH Hammer candlestick... until then tight up stopLoss for Intraday Long positions.

SHHHH!
By 6pmET reOpen, the musical-chair stopped? or the recipe "M" for Murder is being served?
Whatever it was... algoSELL is running during Asian and European sessions.

Therefore, monitor for a continuation of selling or NOT during NYSE session, especially @3337.50 prior High--see much better in 90M Chart.


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TraderTS View Post
W#04
2020 JAN 20-24
MON Martin L. King Jr. Holiday

WEEKLY Chart for Projected Target(s) of Inverted H&S T1@3377
IF there is selling... then watch out for NeckLine @3100ish as retesting ptBO
ELSE could be Inverted H&S T2@3717 in the making.

W#07
2020 FEB 14 FRI
OpEx T3420?

... from previous statement of WEEKLY Chart for Projected Target(s) of Inverted H&S T1@3377
... to revising statement for current tradePLAN as follows:
IF not breakout of T141%@3420 THEN watch out for:
1. NeckLine @3100ish as retesting ptBO
2. buCypher.ptD70.7%2142
ELSE could be Inverted H&S T2@3717 in the making.
Quote from my first mentor: "The lack of safe investment alternatives will continue to bring new international buyers into the US market.
The dip buyers will continue showing up to slow any decline. At the same time, sellers will continue fighting for the index to make new highs — again."


It's up to us to place the necessary hedgeShort position(s) using safeStopLOSS as Risk Management that almost always giving 10 points in profit to fund the stop-loss.
Notice that chasing from the last two dips would have to be 20 points between the last candle low to the next candle as lower high.

It's up to OpEx Players to make their moves for T3420 today!
Nope, no BO of @3384.75 YH during RTH but BTFD buyers again at another Long setup near EOD.

Note:
TUE & WED Fed Chair Powell Testifies
FED announces that they are cutting REPO and the markets are starting to sell off, but still holding up @3357.75 prior High, yesterday.
https://www.screencast.com/t/6bxXO7q0R


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Let finish what I started and from now on... Let it be "fate" in posting WHATEVER, WHENEVER for AnythingGoes!

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SHHHHT!

Go2NextJournalSeries...1Shot2Kill4MGC2GC.betweenROLLOVER!
Attachment 309321Attachment 309321


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