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My journaled journey to success


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My journaled journey to success

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  #181 (permalink)
 gordo 
Tonganoxie, Kansas
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: Mirus Futures/Zen-Fire
Trading: CL,6E
 
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Posts: 160 since Nov 2009
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NJAMC - First let me point out that I wash my kids mouth out with soap when they use four letter words around me...

That being said, I don't have a clue what you asked me.

I wanted to predict the future (crystal ball and all). I saw some work on Artificial Intelligence and started to learn more about it. Then I ran into this website with free source code (Encog) and I took a whack at it. It's C# programming so I taught myself how to do that (fit really well with the NinjaTrader indicators). Now I am trying to piece the puzzle together.

What attracted me to this program was the two books Heaton wrote that had stock market prediction chapters. This seemed like a good start. Although his program works, he is no trader so that part didn't work. He used to have a forum up but has taken that down (along with all of the work I poured into it...sigh....) and is just working on his own stuff.

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  #182 (permalink)
 gordo 
Tonganoxie, Kansas
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: Mirus Futures/Zen-Fire
Trading: CL,6E
 
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Posts: 160 since Nov 2009
Thanks: 129 given, 401 received

I've slept now and had time to think/refocus. So if I look at the program in C#, the system develops a Training Table like this:



The pattern moves the data up with each iteration. What does that mean? What is going on? How was it formed? How does it work? How do I understand exactly what this is doing?

Time to go back to the begining and walk myself through the process. I don't have to reinvent the wheel here, but I do have understand how the wheel works in order to use the tool most effectively. In addition, I have to understand what I am doing in order to build this into an indicator that actually works and isn't just snake oil.

I press on...

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  #183 (permalink)
 gordo 
Tonganoxie, Kansas
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: Mirus Futures/Zen-Fire
Trading: CL,6E
 
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Posts: 160 since Nov 2009
Thanks: 129 given, 401 received


After looking at @NJAMC's thread, I decided to take the Machine Learning course from Coursera. NOT FUN! Python is written for half crazy people (I might qualify). The class will take me into the fall. What I am getting is a good look deeper into what I had in encog world....maybe. I have to do something or I am insane (doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results). I am not getting any younger either!

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  #184 (permalink)
 NJAMC 
Atkinson, NH USA
 
Experience: Intermediate
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Trading: Futures, CL, ES, ZB
 
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gordo View Post
After looking at @NJAMC's thread, I decided to take the Machine Learning course from Coursera. NOT FUN! Python is written for half crazy people (I might qualify). The class will take me into the fall. What I am getting is a good look deeper into what I had in encog world....maybe. I have to do something or I am insane (doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results). I am not getting any younger either!



Nil per os
-NJAMC [Generic Programmer]

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