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E3rcís Journal, The Road to Success
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E3rcís Journal, The Road to Success

  #21 (permalink)
Elite Member
Thurmont, MD
 
Trading Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader, TOS
Favorite Futures: Emini ES
 
E3rc's Avatar
 
Posts: 39 since Jan 2019
Thanks: 4 given, 8 received

Pre-Market
Market took a dive last night looks like. Down to levels from a few days ago, I should probably start looking at the larger time frame chart to get some more insight into what the market could be doing. Seeing the drop it looks like some of the support levels did get respected like the 2725 area and the 2715.75 line I have drawn. Every time I see this, it does remind me of Adam Grimes, but at the same time it looks like even if they are perceived that way trades can possibly be made from them. Another thing for me to keep in mind is Thursdays and Fridays are days i generally lose money. So hopefully I can keep that in check. *Bows to the market* Show me what I need to learn. Taking away the line at 2728.5, looks like nothing of significance at this point. Keeping my others ones, but adding one at 2713.50 as the market seems to be bouncing a bit at that area this morning.

Trades
1) (0937) Off to an anemic start looks like, missed an opportunity with a second entry short about 8 bars after the opening bell. Right now just watching it go for the low and trades to touch the middle line now. Watching the interaction with the low line now, price is on it while showing a tick above and below once in a while. Touching the middle line, placed limit at line to catch second bar if it happens. Limit Filled.

2) (944) Broke below support line, testing resistance and not holding, back above. Line is now losing meaning and removing it. Going for another short if there is a second touch of the middle. Limit filled.

3) (1002) Watched attempt to reverse and trend upward, failed and is now below middle and ema, now into bear market territory. Retesting the line and going for a short off the second test. Limit filled.

4) (1006) Having hard time with the low of the day. A few wicks touching the Middle line, possible touch and go, trying for another short. Filled and stopped, still doing the same thing,

5)trying again and stopped both times. Hmm...

6) (1016) Possible start of a new trend, made HH waiting for the HL, keeping the order out of the way at the moment. Watching for a middle line touch to see valid move. Touched, and moving down, moved to middle line. Limit Filled. - Thought about chasing the candle bottoms...got scared and took the +2 points.

7) (1024) New trend confirmed, looking for another entry point. Resistance line ignored, possibly no longer valid. Watching pullback action, small and could have been an entry off the EMA. (1030) Sliding along the top ATR line, just watching at this point. (1036) Middle line touch, going to watch to see if it possible to enter. Filled.

8) (1040) Stopped, going back in, going for scalp. I think it will still go back up. Stopped. - Dumb trade, ema was pointed down, as well as the slow MACD line. Should have not forced trade.

Done for the day $187 Profit (win-loss 4/8 50%)
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End of Day
Uhh...note to self, do not leave a limit on the screen and walk away from the screen, unless there is plan to use it. Killed my gains for the week from being stupid in that regard. Think the last few hours was basically, HULK TRADE!!! *Finds center* Okay, though when I did regain my brain, it seemed like the trades I was going for just failed. That or I was trying to take too much profit, where I would go for 3 points instead of 2. So at a certain point nothing logically worked for me. So lets bask in this failure.

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Last edited by E3rc; February 7th, 2019 at 05:05 PM. Reason: Posting Trades
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  #22 (permalink)
Elite Member
Thurmont, MD
 
Trading Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader, TOS
Favorite Futures: Emini ES
 
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Posts: 39 since Jan 2019
Thanks: 4 given, 8 received

Pre Market
At this point I am unable to tell what is going to happen with the market. Looks like it could be a range day and the chop might get me. I am wondering about the method I have chosen to trade and how to improve it. I think I have a good trade then it devolves, spikes and then changes direction. The more I look at my trades and how I enter them, I am beginning to wonder if it is just luck.

Trades

1) (0939) Looks like an opening reversal is happening, in a bearish movement now, looking for an entry along the middle line. Filled and stopped

2) (0950) It has not moved higher than the spike that took out my trade. Looks like it is going back into a bearish move again. Going for a short. Filled -

3) Made a whoops in my favor, added another short and am now +2 contracts, placing stop at 2 Point limit and going to ride down candle tops

4) (1003) Testing middle line a few times, going to see if it test a 3rd time and take a short. Filled

- Done for the day +350 Profit trading, +322.48 in the account (win-lose 3/4 75% Win) -

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Last edited by E3rc; February 9th, 2019 at 09:51 AM. Reason: Math Error
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  #23 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Columbus OHIO
 
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Broker/Data: NInjaTrader Brokerage
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E3rc View Post
Pre Market
At this point I am unable to tell what is going to happen with the market. Looks like it could be a range day and the chop might get me. I am wondering about the method I have chosen to trade and how to improve it. I think I have a good trade then it devolves, spikes and then changes direction. The more I look at my trades and now I enter them, I am beginning to wonder if it is just luck.

Trades

1) (0939) Looks like an opening reversal is happening, in a bearish movement now, looking for an entry along the middle line. Filled and stopped

2) (0950) It has not moved higher than the spike that took out my trade. Looks like it is going back into a bearish move again. Going for a short. Filled -

3) Made a whops in my favor, added another short and am now +2 contracts, placing stop at 2 Point limit and going to ride down candle tops

4) (1003) Testing middle line a few times, going to see if it test a 3rd time and take a short. Filled

- Done for the day +350 Profit trading, +379.36 in the account (win-lose 3/4 75% Win) -

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good job keep it up!!

-P

"Truth is not what you want it to be; it is what it is, and you must bend to its power or live a lie"-Miyamoto Musashi
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  #24 (permalink)
Elite Member
Thurmont, MD
 
Trading Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader, TOS
Favorite Futures: Emini ES
 
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Posts: 39 since Jan 2019
Thanks: 4 given, 8 received

Pre-Market
Market looks like it is continuing its bull trend from Friday. The support/resistance lines that I have marked in the 2713.50 and 2716 do not seem to be respected that much, though there is movement about those levels as I write this. Consolidation seems to be happening around the 2716 level at this time. I will add a new line at the overnight high and see if anything happens.

Trades

1) (0942) Missed a trade that was on the upside retest, now back on the downward side. Now testing middle line, looking for a second entry. Found a test and second entry short, was not filled 1 tick higher than candle retested. Another entry presented itself, enter short and filled.

2) (0949) Noticed a level of resistance at 2717, seems to be more respected as there are multiple candle tops at that level this morning, marking as an area. (0951) Down trend angle has become sharper, watching for test along line created for resistance. (0954) Testing middle line, waiting for candle to finish, possible entry point. Short on second candle.

3) (1000) Broke trend line, moving above middle line, sitting on hands at the moment. Price is chopping/consolidating, noticed a wick line test of the 2713.25 line, looks like there was a valid trade from that line as it hit close then moved downward. (1030) Price had a sharp move downward, making LH and some LL. Possible test of middle line here soon, watching for a possible entry, broke above yet still touching, watching action to see if it rolls over. Looking like a down move again, entered on a short of the following candle.

4) (1038) Spike stop on last trade, watching price movement seems to be coming back down. Going for a short.

5) (1041) Lots of wicks to the downside, trying for a long as price seems to be above the middle line. Long filled.

6) (1044) Price action seems to love my stops. Wondering if this is the pattern at this point, a sharp downward thrust and a consolidation. (1048) Price moving up, looking to the resistance for possible short scalp. I thought I had a good trade, but got stopped out.

Need to slow down and fish, not jump at every opportunity that looks like it will be good.

7) (1103) Limit placed at created resistance line from peaks. Waiting for possible fill, really choppy today, but overall in a downward trend, possible wait longer after entries for prices to develop. (1118) Entered short, letting it play out past 1 Point stop. Fail Stop placed above resistance line, which is about the old price peak. Ouch, that didn't work...hmm.

Done for the moment. -$137.50 loss for the day. (win-loss 2/7 28% Win)

Aww boo...respected the trend line and it did go down. Guess I need to have more faith and not rush like I did.

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End of Day
Think I have said this once before, I think my strategy works well in the AM and then when there is a definable trend to the day or when there are long legs where it clearly bounces to the areas where I like to enter my trades from. Seems like after 1030 I need to change into something that is different or look to take less profit and go for maybe a 1x1 or 1 Point risk/reward.

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Last edited by E3rc; February 11th, 2019 at 08:41 PM. Reason: Charts and adding more thoughts.
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  #25 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
New york
 
Trading Experience: Intermediate
Favorite Futures: Nq
 
Posts: 3 since Feb 2019
Thanks: 0 given, 4 received

commissions

Not sure what broker you are using but your commissions look high.
I use AMP and pay $4.10 for a round trip. This is on the high side for amp as if you have larger deposit or higher trade frequency it goes down to like $3.20 per round trip maybe even less. I can't vouch for how safe your money is there but the margin requirement and commissions are good.

Also, how did you go from putting your chart pictures as an attachment to inserting the picture into the thread itself? Do you host it somewhere else and use the URL?


Last edited by 5percent; February 11th, 2019 at 05:08 PM.
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  #26 (permalink)
Elite Member
Thurmont, MD
 
Trading Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader, TOS
Favorite Futures: Emini ES
 
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Posts: 39 since Jan 2019
Thanks: 4 given, 8 received


5percent View Post
Not sure what broker you are using but your commissions look high.
I use AMP and pay $4.10 for a round trip. This is on the high side for amp as if you have larger deposit or higher trade frequency it goes down to like $3.20 per round trip maybe even less. I can't vouch for how safe your money is there but the margin requirement and commissions are good.

Also, how did you go from putting your chart pictures as an attachment to inserting the picture into the thread itself? Do you host it somewhere else and use the URL?

I am just using SIM trading, and not really worried about the commissions at this moment. The thing that I am more focused on is am I executing my trades properly. Did I follow my rules. Stuff like that, yea it is nice to see an account grow but learning is where I am at now.

Now for embedding the pictures instead of attaching them, when you uploaded them, under the manage attachments in the advanced section of the reply (the paperclip). Once you upload an attachment in that section, there will be a button to embed. Then it will tag it for use in the forum. It will look something like this:

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Code
//Replaced the <> with []
//The attchmentid=XXXXXXXX part will vary and be part of the upload
<IMG>https://futures.io/attachment.php?attachmentid=262621</IMG>


Last edited by E3rc; February 11th, 2019 at 08:38 PM.
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  #27 (permalink)
Elite Member
Thurmont, MD
 
Trading Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader, TOS
Favorite Futures: Emini ES
 
E3rc's Avatar
 
Posts: 39 since Jan 2019
Thanks: 4 given, 8 received

Pre Market
I didn't get much of chance to get in before the market opened. Dealing with weather and setting up my workstation to work from home. I was able to start tracking the market a little after the opening bell.

Trades

1) Still in a uptrend and believing my edge works during the 0930-1030 hours, looking for a touch of the middle line, then will enter when it touches again. Filled with my limit set at the que of people at the 2735 area. Good trade +2

2) Again still moving upward, look for another long, though it seems to be slowing on the upside. Filled and limit +2

3) Moving in a downward area, possible reversal, looking for a second test on the short side. Filled and Limit +2

-Done for the day +$337.50 (Win-Loss 3/3, 100% accuracy) - I didn't track on my excel sheet as it is on a different machine. Though I will post the chart.

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  #28 (permalink)
Elite Member
Thurmont, MD
 
Trading Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader, TOS
Favorite Futures: Emini ES
 
E3rc's Avatar
 
Posts: 39 since Jan 2019
Thanks: 4 given, 8 received

Pre-Market
Made a new high last night, going to mark that as a resistance area now. Current movement looks like it is back in a small uptrend as the last peak is now higher than the last one. Though over all, the current movement hasn't challenged the over night high. Market the low of the night at 2744ish and an area that it bounced around at around the 2748 level. Made my support of the uptrend as well and the two peak for the over all down trend. Going in with my same plan of trading off the middle line for the morning area of 0930-1030.

Trading

1) Lots of test off the mid line at open, had a fear of taking them since I wasn't sure if my trend line was going to be respected. Now at high of the overnight and testing a few times now. Broke out of the resistance level, and making new highs. Consolidating and maintaining between the EMA and Outer Kelter, made a new high, though only 1 tick, can almost see this as a double top. Testing middle line, looking for second candle action. Filled. Watching the action it seems there is bias change. Just noticed the divergent in the MACD tops and the price action. Yep, stopped.

2) Taking the reverse off the middle line. Wondering if I should move my line for profit. It looks like it is trying to move down, a few wicks to the downside, almost respecting the trend line and not breaking it. Being patient paid off. +2

3) (1007)Watching the action off the support line, still seem like it wants to move down as there are a few test now. Broke though and is showing resistance , placed short limit off line. Filled and stopped. Blah, touched middle line then reverted.

4) (1016) Down Trending now, looking for another entry off middle line. Looking for 2nd entry off the line now. Filled and waiting. Stopped. Looking like my normal way is done for the day.

Done for the day -$50 (win-loss 1/4 25% win)

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End of Day
I really didn't get much in the way of chart time today. I got in about 9 am and did my trades, not very well from the look of it. Then had to do some stuff for my normal job where I couldn't see my screen. Which turned into my downtime being spent reading things online. Doing that opened all kinds of mental tangents. Such as thinking - what is a reasonable income for day trading. One post I came across kind of stated it is up to the person trading, which makes sense. Made me think of all the other information out there where one person says one thing and someone else says other. Then I thought of where I would like to be, which of course lead me to research into those who are millionaires that traded. Which didn't seem like many, but then came across Timothy Sykes, who links to his students and their profit charts. One key is having multiple revenue streams, which is something I think about too, but figure trading first then the others. Then I stumbled onto something I thought I learned, but I guess was never really shown - day trading strategies that were not behind a paywall. It was a good find and makes me want to go back with that info and see if I can use it with what I currently know. Oh, and here are those links (working as of Feb 12, 2019), also take with a massive block of salt lick, these just made my mind think:

Top Day Trading Entry Strategies
Trading tips from millionaire traders
5 Millionaire Traders on the Biggest Mistakes You Can Make in the Stock Market
Why Day Traders Can Make Big Returns, But Aren’t Millionaires


Last edited by E3rc; February 13th, 2019 at 08:01 PM.
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  #29 (permalink)
Elite Member
Thurmont, MD
 
Trading Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader, TOS
Favorite Futures: Emini ES
 
E3rc's Avatar
 
Posts: 39 since Jan 2019
Thanks: 4 given, 8 received

Pre Market
Doing a bit of review and looking over my charts and action from the previous day. Still on the getting more information kick from last night and reading what a lot of people are saying on these forums and searching about what I posted. Like searching for Timothy Sykes and see what others have said. My morning chart, I have marked the overnight high and the low that was started, watching it now, well it is just going down. After peaking at the news, I wonder if the article on retail recession being mentioned might be causing this. If that is the case, I wish I knew how the market moved during a recession at least in the context of a candle movement I am use to now. Anyways, if that is the news, guess it is time to just short today.

Trades

1) (0934) Looks like the angle of which the downtrend was moving has evened out. (0935) Touched Middle line, entry set for second short. And stopped.

2) (0939) Moved above middle line, touched middle line again and going for the reverse. Entry set for long. Stopped

3) (0941) Consolidating into a range possibly. (0948) Ack! What was that, had my short Limit at the middle line and was going to wait, price moved quick to fill, then it got stopped out. Uhh, hmm...not good on that.

4) (0952) Created a new downward trend line based off the LL made during market hours, copied and moved to top, seems to be the range as the bar at (0951) touched it and came back down. (0957) Broke resistance level at ~2738, filled waiting order. Stopped

5) (1003) Looking like we are moving upward, realized there was a better trade off the middle line that I didn't focus on ~1000 bar. Watching for a better entry. (1020) It is a nice lovely uptrend, am I trying to rush these? As I am sitting here thinking about trades shown from others, Mack usually marks only a couple. I have already done 4, think what I need to do is compare the entries marked as good trades to what i see and hopefully get a better line-up for the 3/10 I have setup. (1026) Filled - Limit reached +2

Done for the day -$100 and an account loss of $134.34 (win-loss 1/5 - 20% Win)

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End of Day
Since I will be out enjoying a movie tonight, I won't get a chance to post my trades. Though in the process of learning, I have observed something I found odd and makes me think about the data set and data flow. I was comparing my trades yesterday to the ones Mack outlined. I think I am close to his setup, candles, 21 EMA (my middle keltner is set to 21 as well). Any ways, I see that I have less doji candles and the candle formations are different. Part of me is wondering if you can use data from one and trade another. Seriously doubt it though the difference here is interesting to me. Also keep in mind I am using ToS, I am told it is live data too. Anyways here is what I am seeing:

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Last edited by E3rc; February 14th, 2019 at 01:38 PM. Reason: Data
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  #30 (permalink)
Elite Member
Thurmont, MD
 
Trading Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader, TOS
Favorite Futures: Emini ES
 
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Posts: 39 since Jan 2019
Thanks: 4 given, 8 received


Pre Market
Nice uptrend for the most part of the night, looks like it is getting more energy as we get close to the opening bell. One thing that is still sitting in the back of my mind the appearance of a discrepancy between the two systems of NT and ToS. I will more than likely go further in depth on this and use Photoshop to see if it is truly there, that way I can mess with opacity on layers and truly see the differences and such.

Also took the day off from my normal work. Just to have a mental health day and goof off, though I am trading cause I want to know, how to play this game and win.

Trades

1) Angle really changed on the opening bell, though still going up. Think I can grab a trade off EMA. Nope that is not going well. Stopped.

2) Entered again, it looks like it still wants to go up and there seems to be a bit of a push still. Long, Filled and Limit. +2

3) Looking for a trade off middle line as it continues going up. Filled and Limit +2

4) Had order waiting below Middle line, got filled...seems to be testing that support line at 2766.25 I have drawn. Stopped.

5) Look like a possible reversal, below the middle line though the wicks are testing both the support and middle line. Trying something new, have a stop limit at candle top of downward trend and limit order at where I want to take profit at. Stop Limit filled (so this is how you catch a trade from the other direction). Now I wonder how to use that properly . Market continued down, and I got stopped out.

I might be done, at this moment I am +12.50 for the day (win-loss of 2/5 40% win)

Watched the charts off and on and saw a couple of opportunities, managed to close the day out on a high green note than I did. So with that here are my final numbers:

+$337.50 Profit for the day (win-loss 5/9 55% Win)

End of Day
I tried some new trades and was happy to see they turned out good. One was a three test or 3 wicks on the same area, limit filled and was able to take +2 profit and at the end of the day, I was able to play the range what was developing throughout the day. Now I am off to read more on Al Brooks site and think more about, is putting money here a good investment for me. There is as discount that could be used, but still, is it money that could be spent elsewhere if needed.

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Last edited by E3rc; February 15th, 2019 at 03:35 PM.
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