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1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen
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1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen

  #31 (permalink)
Dallas, TX USA
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker/Data: AMP Futures
Favorite Futures: ES GC CL
 
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Posts: 346 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 178 given, 237 received

1S2K4ES.AwaitingFOMC Minutes

W#48 WED &THU
11.28-29.2018


WED
Retested Tuesday's OverNight High @2684, addSwingL2686.25 TrailStop @2717 awaiting Thursday FOMC Minutes

THU
No wild-swing after FOMC Minutes, took profit @3pmET Pop2Sell


Find missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
Attached Thumbnails
1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-3.1-revdly.w48thu.es-12-18-60-minute-2018_11_29-12_11_52-pm-addswingl2686.25-awtg2pmet.fomc.png   1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-3.2-revdly.w48thu.es-12-18-60-minute-2018_11_29-12_11_52-pm-addswingl2686.25-awtg2pmet.fomc.png  
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  #32 (permalink)
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Thanks: 178 given, 237 received

1S2K4ES.EOM WindowDressing

W#48 THU & FRI
11.29-30.2018


THU
Took pullback iSwingL2728 T2761 with tight stop pre-FOMC Minutes; would take profit depending on PA in OverNigh or European session.
Note: @2727.50 2018's POC has to holdUp for higher high.

FRI
Took profit when failedBO @2743 ONHigh

Re-entered (near VAL and preMarket's low 2729) iSwingL2731.50 with stop below 2727.
Will hold as swing position for next Monday with bullish bias for 1stDoM.FirstDayOfMonth.
(see Intraday charts)


Find missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
Attached Thumbnails
1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-4.1-revdly.w48thu.es-12-18-60-minute-2018_11_29-7_21_48-pm-nmml2728-t2761.png   1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-1.1-revintraday.w48fri.es-12-18-4-minute-2018_11_30-8_22_31-am-7.20amet.revswingl2731.50-.png   1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-1.2-revintraday.w48fri.es-12-18-512-tick-2018_11_30-8_22_46-am-7.20amet.revswingl2731.50-.png   1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-1.3-revintraday.w48fri.es-12-18-4500-tick-2018_11_30-5_12_14-pm-7.20amet.revswingl2731.50-.png  

Last edited by TraderTS; November 30th, 2018 at 09:08 PM. Reason: Updated for iSwingL2728 and added Intraday charts
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  #33 (permalink)
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Thanks: 178 given, 237 received

1S2K4ES.@3pmET "Reversal"!


W#48 THU & FRI
11.29-30.2018


THU
The "counter trend" that counted and allowed... iSwingS2753.50
1. Failed BO of 2755 previous High after FOMC Minutes pop, similar to last FOMC selloff day.
2. Purple ABC triangle T161.8% @2749.50 hit
3. Potential H&S is forming
4. Potential retesting point BO @2692 of Wednesday's squeeze, near hwb50%L2680 T2788
5. @3pmET Reversal time frame

FRI
LDOM.LastDayOfMonth bullish bias when preMarket bought VAL and NYSE Open with Buyers grind price higher--
@9:35amET Increased selling volume but price not going down lower (see Intraday charts).

Always treat "counter trend" trade as scalp instead of swing until proven otherwise...
Signal was given, no choice but to abort this potential "counter trend" failure even though Asia and European sessions were selling;
NYSE session was still The "Boss" with BIG Money...

As a newbie, take action... take it quickly without hesitation!


Find missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
Attached Thumbnails
1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-es-12-18-60-minute-2018_11_30-5_28_15-am-revswings2753.50-3pmet.sellof.png   1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-1.1-revintraday.w48thu.es-12-18-4500-tick-2018_11_29-3_22_35-pm-3pmet.selloff.revs2753.50.png   1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-1.2-revintraday.w48thu.es-12-18-4-minute-2018_11_29-3_57_01-pm-3pmet.selloff.revs2753.50-2.png   1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-2.1-revintraday.w48fri.es-12-18-4-minute-2018_11_30-9_35_35-am-iswingl2731.50-nyse.open-ld.png   1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-2.2-revintraday.w48fri.es-12-18-4-minute-2018_11_30-9_50_01-am-iswingl2731.50-nyse.open-ld.png  

Last edited by TraderTS; December 1st, 2018 at 08:41 AM. Reason: Updated & Added Intraday charts
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  #34 (permalink)
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Favorite Futures: ES GC CL
 
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Thanks: 178 given, 237 received

1S2K4ES.@3:45pmET MOC.MarketOnClose

It's when Big Boys rebalancing and hedging at MOC=Market On CLose.

I learned about it from Marlin Cobb at mrtopstep.com
"Accumulation of the MOCs.
At 3:45 pm ET, the NYSE broadcast the stock imbalances for the pending MOC order. For us MiM traders, we refer to this time as the Reveal. For the previous hour and a half, we have been predicting how this number will look by adding up early imbalance indications which only become real orders and announced at that time. "


However, I started tracking at 3pmEST when Bond Market Closed to see which direction Bond traders push last hour of trading in ES Market (see intraday chart attached).

As a newbie, always remember that Markets will usually have big moves or higher volatility on the last and first trading days of the month.


Find missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
Attached Thumbnails
1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-revintraday.w48fri.es-12-18-10-minute-2018_11_30-11_52_34-am-3.45pmet.moc.volbuy.iswingl273.png  
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  #35 (permalink)
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Thanks: 178 given, 237 received

1S2K4ES.DoNothingDay!

Saturday 12.01.2018
What the heck is "DoNothingDay"?

"Nothing" in term of trading related activities, tasks... It's alright to sleep all day; but do enjoy a McDonald's McRib instead of a usual Jimmy Dean's frozen Croissant breakfast.
The McRib Is Back and You Can Have It Delivered
https://www.foodandwine.com/news/mcrib-return-2018-delivery-ubereats

Do clean house, laundry, and take time to cook a gourmet meal.
Don't cook? Don't have a thoughtful sister who does groceries shopping and preparing home-cooked meals for next week?
Have no fear, check out this link for CHEF-COOKED, DELICIOUS MEALS DELIVERED TO YOUR FRONT PORCH.
https://frontporchpantry.com/

As a newbie, be sure to take a "DoNothingDay" to rest and re-charge, and be ready for weekend homework, next.


Find missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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  #36 (permalink)
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Thanks: 178 given, 237 received

1S2K4ES.Weekend Homework?

SUNDAY 12.02.2018

Start with one hour of walking and listening to:
1. 20 Habits of Highly Successful Traders - Dave Westgate
Published on 8 Nov 2016
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=el10dgDa2Do

2. Best Moments In November - Anthony Crudele
https://futuresradioshow.com/podcast/bestmomentsnovember/

Take a long bath, have a good breakfast with tea, or cappuccino.
Begin by viewing Calendar Events for December weekly & monthly
https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php
https://ninjatrader.com/blog/trade-desk-calendar/
Write major events down and think about a trading plan with those events in mind.

Check emails, surf social media, catch-up with recorded webinars.
Skim through headlines but don't read the news.

Update & redraw Fibs retracements or ABC triangles for all charts--how many charts would depend on how many instruments.
Could be a time-consuming task before lunch; so have a good lunch before reviewing weekly chart-journals, next.

As a newbie, make a good habit of doing weekend homework for weekly & monthly routinely. --Do listen to music, or music video as well.


Find missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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  #37 (permalink)
Dallas, TX USA
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
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Favorite Futures: ES GC CL
 
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Posts: 346 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 178 given, 237 received

1S2K4ES#7.Review.Weekly.Summary

W#48
As of 11.29.2018


Chart #1 preFOMC Minutes with 200SMA @2723 holdingUp
Chart #2 postFOMC Minutes failed BO of @2755 previous High
Chart #3 bearish Gartley pattern is in the picture with higher target. Therefore, blue Bearish Cypher pointD @2775 would be a potential failure, especially on last and first trading day of the month.


Find missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
Attached Thumbnails
1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-1.1-revwly.w48thu.es-12-18-240-minute-2018_11_29-11_43_28-am-awatingfomcminutes.png   1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-1.2-revwly.w48thu.es-12-18-240-minute-2018_11_29-06_35_00-pm-failedbo-2755-post2pmet.fomcmi.png   1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-1.0-revwly.w48thu.es-12-18-240-minute-2018_11_28-11_24_32-am-12pmet-shortsqueeze-2retested-.png  
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  #38 (permalink)
Dallas, TX USA
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker/Data: AMP Futures
Favorite Futures: ES GC CL
 
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Posts: 346 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 178 given, 237 received

1S2K4ES#7.TradingPlan.Weekly

W#49
Weekly Back-up Trading Plan


Just read an article from TopStepTrader stating that Tracy Shuchart, a long-time oil trader, says frequently that you need a plan, a back-up plan and a back-up to the back-up plan.

Perfect for this Sunday GapUpOpen 30 points that passed bearish Cypher ptD T2775 in nano-second. No surprise, right?
Friday's Daily chart is confirming the break-out of DTL.DownTrendLIne, not to mention all green candles since Double Bottom with potential "W" pattern in the making to retest @2820-2825 NeckLine.

Notes:
As of MON 12.03.2018
rollSwingS2812.50 Trail Stop above 2825 NeckLine
iSwingL2731.50 Took Profit when too Overbought & Failed BO & SellOff @4amET and @9:30amET
iSwingL2775.75 hwb50%L2772 T2837 (anchor @2729YLow)


Scheduled Events:
SAT
G20 Meeting with Trump & Xi

WED
NYSE session will be closed for Funeral of Former U.S. President George H.W. Bush
https://www.cmegroup.com/media-room/press-releases/2018/12/02/cme_group_u_s_equi...efornationaldayofmo.html
Wednesday OpEx expires on TUE instead

THU
OPEC Meeting [MENTION=13208] in Vienna, Austria https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/multimedia/349.htm
Crude Oil Inventory EIA report changed to THU @11amET

FRI
OpEx 2655>2750<2825
NonFarm Payroll Monthly report
New Moon

One heck of a week to start a new month... the last month of the year.
Get ready for "Algos on the run" again!

As a newbie, always have ONE trading plan, at least!


Find missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
Attached Thumbnails
1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-tpwly.w49mon.es-12-18-240-minute-2018_12_02-6_51_47-pm-iswingl2731.50-failedbecypherptd2775.png  

Last edited by TraderTS; December 3rd, 2018 at 05:10 PM. Reason: Updated & Corrected date for OPEC Meeting
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  #39 (permalink)
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Favorite Futures: ES GC CL
 
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Posts: 346 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 178 given, 237 received

1S2K4ES#7.TradingPlan.Monthly

M#12 DECEMBER
MON 12.03.2018

Monthly TradingPlan for MAR2019 Rollover

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=16TAJsiAxHg
Enjoy this What's Up song...
"Hey, Hey... and I said: Hey, what's going on?"

Just early plan for Quarterly Rollover.
THU 12.06.2018 DoR-5
THU 12.13.2018 DoR
THU 12.20.2018 DoR+5
I trade five days before and five days after Rollover Day aggressively.
Total concentration and focus--meaning no phone, no social media, no emails. no happy hours... during RTH.RegularTradingHours.
Just "Eat, Sleep, Homework, and Trade" - everyday is a groundhog day!
Therefore, may not able to update daily, but will take time to document this quarterly rollover process and post results over the weekend.

As a newbie, do practice in SIM to gain experience because it's definitely a confusing rollover process.
Hope that this song is really perfect to "lift" yourself up!


Find missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
Attached Thumbnails
1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-tpmly.m12mon.es-03-19-240-minute-2018_12_03-6_16_00-am-6pmet.sungapupopen30pts.png  

Last edited by TraderTS; December 4th, 2018 at 06:37 AM.
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  #40 (permalink)
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1S2K4ES#8.Review.Daily.cDEC


Let's go back to cDEC contracts for Daily Review in details with 60M chart and intraday charts first.

SUN 12.02.2018
GapUpOpen 30 points

MON 12.03.2018
Failed BO
Pop2Sell @4amET & 9:30amET

60M Chart
Ambushed ABC Triangle to reTest @2692 BO point

10M Chart
@4amET & 9:30amET Pop2Sell
@10amET Counter trend scalpL2787.25 to reTest OpenRangeHigh

4500T Chart
Potential BullTrap because unFillGap @2764
but it's favorite bearish Cypher ptC L2775.75 setup and it's holding so far

4M Chart
@3pmET Higher on low volume, so trail stop


Find missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
Attached Thumbnails
1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-revdly.w49tue.es-12-18-60-minute-2018_12_04-4_47_52-pm-ambushs2791-2775-t200-2692-soc-retest.png   1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-1.0-revintraday.w49mon.es-12-18-10-minute-2018_12_03-10_29_22-am-4amet-9.30amet-pop2sell-.png   1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-2.0-revintraday.w49mon.es-12-18-4500-tick-2018_12_03-12_32_18-am-11amet.becypher.ptc.il277.png   1Shot2Kill4ES.DramaQueen-2.1-revintraday.w49mon.es-12-18-4-minute-2018_12_03-3_21_29-pm-2il2775.75-3pmet.higheronlo.png  
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