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Soumens Journal

  #1 (permalink)
soumen
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Posts: 50 since Sep 2018
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Okay I am not a chart analyst by far but will try to provide some analysis. Last few days for SP. It took me some time to get the ranges and settings to get it right. Friday was interesting and I tried to highlight how market traded compared to last few days. Good luck.

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  #3 (permalink)
soumen
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Posts: 50 since Sep 2018
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Hong Kong stocks lead Asia lower
https://www.ft.com/content/8c8d5870-e0a2-11e8-a6e5-792428919cee

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  #4 (permalink)
soumen
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Posts: 50 since Sep 2018
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Crude is slightly down so some buy on dip might be good idea. SP has room to go higher.




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  #5 (permalink)
soumen
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Posts: 50 since Sep 2018
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SP 2738 +15
VIX 19.96 +.45

VIX used to go down in an up market and this is the first time I watched it go up in an up market. There is something wrong and makes this instrument less tradeable that others such as SP etc. I mean if they are trying to keep it at 20 or above then checking open interest and comparing it with put vs call might worth checking.

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  #6 (permalink)
soumen
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Posts: 50 since Sep 2018
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I call this bottom for crude oil. I think I should give up on crude if this wont work.


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  #7 (permalink)
soumen
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Posts: 50 since Sep 2018
Thanks Given: 6
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I would rather find out how how it does over the long run. I don't see much problem ahead.



Finally VIX got down and probably stay around 15 level.



I just had to throw in Oil as well only chart that is still underperforming.



Good luck.

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  #8 (permalink)
soumen
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Posts: 50 since Sep 2018
Thanks Given: 6
Thanks Received: 24

I could not delete the previous post so plz ignore it. I could not track the market last several days due to personal reasons. There could be some problem for SP going forward. If you are in the market going out may be good idea. Here is SP chart:



VIX will move up if SP went down.


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  #9 (permalink)
soumen
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Posts: 50 since Sep 2018
Thanks Given: 6
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I don’t deal with currency but judging from lot of people in this forum deals with currency it might be worth considering shorting it since its recent strength against other currencies and that it just may not hold it. Here is a chart:


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  #10 (permalink)
soumen
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Posts: 50 since Sep 2018
Thanks Given: 6
Thanks Received: 24


Barrons article: "Oil Has Fallen 25%. Here’s Why It Could Rise"
https://www.barrons.com/articles/oil-has-fallen-25-heres-why-it-could-rise-1542221105?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo
Despite recent news about CL reaching bottom there could be more downward pressure on CL. There are talks of production cuts but I doubt Saudis will be on board as far as production cuts for Opec is concerned given current political crisis. Besides lot more could happen between now and December. Here is a chart:


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Last Updated on February 6, 2019


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