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Soumens Journal
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Created: by soumen Attachments:26

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Soumens Journal

  #1 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: mocktrading
Favorite Futures: emini, crude
 
Posts: 28 since Sep 2018
Thanks: 2 given, 8 received

Soumens Journal

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Okay I am not a chart analyst by far but will try to provide some analysis. Last few days for SP. It took me some time to get the ranges and settings to get it right. Friday was interesting and I tried to highlight how market traded compared to last few days. Good luck.


Last edited by soumen; November 3rd, 2018 at 04:42 PM.
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  #2 (permalink)
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  #3 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: mocktrading
Favorite Futures: emini, crude
 
Posts: 28 since Sep 2018
Thanks: 2 given, 8 received


Hong Kong stocks lead Asia lower
https://www.ft.com/content/8c8d5870-e0a2-11e8-a6e5-792428919cee

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  #4 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: mocktrading
Favorite Futures: emini, crude
 
Posts: 28 since Sep 2018
Thanks: 2 given, 8 received

Crude is slightly down so some buy on dip might be good idea. SP has room to go higher.

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Last edited by soumen; November 5th, 2018 at 06:22 PM.
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  #5 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: mocktrading
Favorite Futures: emini, crude
 
Posts: 28 since Sep 2018
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SP 2738 +15
VIX 19.96 +.45

VIX used to go down in an up market and this is the first time I watched it go up in an up market. There is something wrong and makes this instrument less tradeable that others such as SP etc. I mean if they are trying to keep it at 20 or above then checking open interest and comparing it with put vs call might worth checking.


Last edited by soumen; November 6th, 2018 at 01:16 AM.
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  #6 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
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I call this bottom for crude oil. I think I should give up on crude if this wont work.

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  #7 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: mocktrading
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I would rather find out how how it does over the long run. I don't see much problem ahead.

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Finally VIX got down and probably stay around 15 level.

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I just had to throw in Oil as well only chart that is still underperforming.

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Good luck.

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  #8 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: mocktrading
Favorite Futures: emini, crude
 
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Thanks: 2 given, 8 received

I could not delete the previous post so plz ignore it. I could not track the market last several days due to personal reasons. There could be some problem for SP going forward. If you are in the market going out may be good idea. Here is SP chart:

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VIX will move up if SP went down.

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  #9 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: mocktrading
Favorite Futures: emini, crude
 
Posts: 28 since Sep 2018
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I donít deal with currency but judging from lot of people in this forum deals with currency it might be worth considering shorting it since its recent strength against other currencies and that it just may not hold it. Here is a chart:

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  #10 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Dhaka Bangladesh
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: mocktrading
Favorite Futures: emini, crude
 
Posts: 28 since Sep 2018
Thanks: 2 given, 8 received


Barrons article: "Oil Has Fallen 25%. Here’s Why It Could Rise"
https://www.barrons.com/articles/oil-has-fallen-25-heres-why-it-could-rise-1542221105?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo
Despite recent news about CL reaching bottom there could be more downward pressure on CL. There are talks of production cuts but I doubt Saudis will be on board as far as production cuts for Opec is concerned given current political crisis. Besides lot more could happen between now and December. Here is a chart:

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Last edited by soumen; November 15th, 2018 at 12:11 AM.
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