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Major info
1. Tommorow FOMC metting and today can be same volatility sideway day with UP potential
2. Yday on ES was Delta divergence day! Becouse ES was near with new year low and i think if price hit them it can be BOOM on US market. Too much stop loss stay under 2530.
3. Today can be volatility day!! Very careful!
Pre market plan
Description: I think no body want same katastrof situation on US market and same Instituonal players can support market today.
Sceanrio1: Key price for this scenrio it 6510 will be looks like suport. And in this case i will be wait same fail under this price and very fast buy back with strong delta
Sceanrio2: Price jump higher after open and hold above 6550. I will be look same delta support area
Sceanrio3: This is BOOM sceanario if price do new year low on ES.
Market recap
Day comment
Market:
1. NQ was stronger then other market;
2. ES go down together with Oil;
3. ES dangerous accept area under 2530. If price fail and hold it will be non stop fail down
4. 6500 area potential support for NQ
Trading:
1. Perfect my Risk Managment "3+1" work! But after theird trade pause must be more then 2-3 min.
2. May be that was loss, but this is loss 2x less then my avarage loss day! Becouse my RM in active mode!
3. It was difficult day becouse no good signal for me
Market view
Description: One moment was perfect like in my sceanrio1, price fail 6510 and faster buy back! Look on day delta and BUY only if same strong buy delta!
Market context
Description: Difficult sideway move during my traing time
Trading statistic PNL: -150$
Win ratio: 25%
Risk/reward: 1,48
Playbook ratio: 75%
Description: Difficult day for me. No more no less. BUT perfect my RM "3+1" work good!
Pre market plan
I`am dont trade but have same plan for today and may be main plan for tommorow.
Description: Strong long idea based on picture what i see on ES around 2530.
Major info
1. ES broke new year low and my Long idea cancel ) 2530 now can be same resistance area on ES
2. I try to think like investior. I will be buy bottom before long holiday! My answer- no.
3. Volatility after FOMC was too strong!! Stay and wait first 30-60 min after open.
Pre market view
Description: FOMC does not support marketю Sell idea will be main idea.
Sceanrio1: Same positive scenario. If around yday low we can see same strong buy delta. If i will be see it that it can be same sideway day 6300-6400.
Sceanrio2: This is scenario too easy. Sell off. No more no less.
Sceanrio3: After same strong sell may be same short players want cover his profit position and price do same PB.
This is post will be short, only with key moment of my trading year.
Negative moment:
1. Iam always prepare my pre-market plan with same level, but time to time does not follow him;
2. Enough days was overtrading days (10+ trades);
3. My trading this is scalping;
4. I has fix stop on different volatility market and too often my stop was in sky without any S/R area;
5. Win ratio is not good
Positive moment:
1. Iam start my first FIO journal;
2. Develop perfect Risk Managment rule "3+1";
3. Develop "Trading zone" and up my skills work with pattern;
4. Find top and bottom of volatility for my trading;
5. I`AM LEARN FROM EACH MISTAKE WHAT I DO ON THE MARKET!!
Summery:
1. Great! Perfect! Continue work in this direction!!
P.S. This is my last post in this journal. In 2019 iam start new journal!
