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"1Shot2Kill"!


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"1Shot2Kill"!

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  #1 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

Hello everyone.
I apologize for being "missing in action" last week.
I wanted to register my entry by 7/11 midnight, so I did it first and intended to post my journal tomorrow morning after a good night sleep and after learning my way around Futures.IO
But "tomorrow" never came because my computer CRASHED! More about it later as I'll post my journal soon.

Trade Smarter!

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Journal Challenge February 2021 results:
Competing for $1500 in prizes from Topstep
looks_oneSBtrader82 's Trading Journalby SBtrader82
(173 thanks from 31 posts)
looks_twoJust BEING a Trader: Letting Go!!by iqgod
(120 thanks from 33 posts)
looks_3Wisdom is Emptinessby Mtype
(68 thanks from 25 posts)
looks_4Deeteeís DAX Trading Journal (time based)by Deetee
(35 thanks from 17 posts)
looks_5Journal for peanuts1956by peanuts1956
(23 thanks from 13 posts)
 
 
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  #3 (permalink)
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker: IB
Trading: ES
 
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Too bad about your computer crash

Looking forward to your journal
From your word doc on the contest entry page:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------



More importantly, how I finally found my "missing piece of the puzzle" after many years of painfully and unsuccessfully trading futures without Harmonic patterns; thus I want to forward- test and uncover my "aha patterns" which were the combination of "Shark" and "Cypher" patterns that were in play together during Contracts Rollover.
I like to call it the "SingleEntry==>MultiTargets<>ContractsRollover" strategy.

I trade less during NYSE session but more during the Asia, European, pre-Market, and last hour of trading day to find "1Shot2Kill" trades that could turn into Swing trades. I have 30 Shots per trading day... 2 Bullets for each Product in each Session; but allow "unused bullets" to other product or session if no setup presented itself. I take 15-30 minute naps and manage current positions during "long lunch no trade zone" from noon until 1:30 or 2:30pm EST when the Gold and Oil Market are closing. I pay attention to volume when the Bond Market closes at 3pm EST and then 4pm EST MOC-Market On Close looking for ES spiking volume.

---------------------------------------------------------------
BTW to vote for TraderTS's journal click on Thanks at this link

..........
peace, love and joy to you
.........
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  #4 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

First thing first, I would like to thank FIO member Aquarian1 who has offered his expertise and his times to help out a newbie who is lost in the world of posting...

I feel sadness whenever I login and see this message: "Hello TraderTS, you've been a member of our community for 1079 days but haven't posted anything yet."
Pardon me, I didn't even have enough time to sleep last several years, but I am here now... so watch out FIO!

Be sure to read the following attachments: my Introduction, my Experience, and my Journey; if you have not read them from Journal Challenge Entry.
Also, watch this video from Trade Empowered.com
Cypher, 2618 Strategy, and Fib Inversions
Published on 10 May 2015



This video has changed my trading direction to a very different level for years later that I didn't even know at the time.
In fact, Gold has the perfect "aha patterns" Shark and Cypher in play together during Contracts Rollover and after US Presidential Election Incident in December 2016...
You can find that chart in "myJourney... Learning Harmonic Patterns" document.
Most people are waking up and smelling the coffee, but I am waking up and smelling "Shark, Cypher, and McDREAMY patterns.
What the heck is "McDREAMY" pattern? Let's leave it alone for now and I will post it tomorrow morning after a good night sleep.
If "tomorrow" never came... then you know what? "Oops, I did it again" - MIA!

Trade Smarter!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
Attached Files
Register to download File Type: docx doc myJournal.Introduction.docx (120.5 KB, 27 views)
Register to download File Type: docx doc myFuturesTradingExperience.docx (57.9 KB, 21 views)
Register to download File Type: docx doc myJourney.LearningHarmonicPatterns.docx (65.1 KB, 32 views)
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  #5 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
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Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

Good morning,
"Tomorrow" is here... wake up and smell "myMcDREAMY Pattern" for FOMC Day July 26th.

Trade Smarter!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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  #6 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

FYI
Sunday is New Moon so Astrology Finance is expecting Wild Swing in one direction or both on this Friday or Monday.
"Drama Queen" is already in ONE direction since July 7th. Going to the MOON... anyone? Or lost your Swing Long in between Yellen's testimonies and Fund Managers' "Shake&Bake" moves after the holiday short trading week?

Last day to trade Crude Oil CL cAUGUST by 2:30pmEST today; it may not even worth it to get out of bed next week and trade the European session because of very narrow range and slow volume trading so far.

Therefore, I will focus trading Gold GC and do more analysis on cDECEMBER Contracts Rollover that Ninja Trader 7 scheduled to roll on July 31st (last day of Journal Challenge, yahoo!").

Enjoy and Trade Smarter!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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  #7 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

TGIF,
Don't forget to make a decision to hold or take profit on your GC Swing Long, if you still manage to avoid the Summer Holiday Shake-out.

Just 40 points for a week and haft but still pretty good to call it "Cypher pattern of the week"!

It already failed beCypher at ptD 1239 therefore, it became McDREAMY pattern for next week.
So how high will it go? Well, at least to retest break-out point 1260 at Monthly PVT... but think higher, ok?
It's New Moon and pre-Contracts Rollovers into cDECEMBER... Looking forward to it?.

Have a fun summer time with family!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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Name:	GC 08-17 (4500 Tick)  7_12_2017 W28.preROLL.GCcAUG beCypher ptC T1204 heldUp T1240.jpg
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  #8 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

FYI
Let's take it easy on Crude Oil CL because buCypher ptC T127% 47.80 traded THU 7/20 and on its way to ptD T78.6% 44.72 if hwbLong at 50% cannot holding it up.
Can you "smell" cOCTOBER Contracts Rollover already started?

Trade Smarter!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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Name:	CL 09-17 (90 Min)  7_21_2017 W29.RevWly buCypher ptC47.74 2ptD44.72.jpg
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  #9 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

Hello everyone,
I feel blessed that because of my computer "crashed" last week that I have a chance to re-think of how I am going to "present" my journal since I could not post it daily. I apologize for taking this long but there is so much I can do during RTH-Regular Trading Hour... before Ninja Trader 7 freezing up and having to reboot because of "low memory".

My journal is up-to-date and should be posting daily this week.
Enjoy and Trade Smarter!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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  #10 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
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Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received


https://www.screencast.com/t/NhB803sud1YO

Enjoy and Trade Smarter!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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  #11 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

Enjoy and Trade Smarter!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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  #12 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

T1 - Target hit!
Ready or not here comes potential retest of prior month high for cOCTOBER Rollover... after Monday OPEC Meeting and this afternoon API report.

Enjoy and Trade Smarter!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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Name:	2.0.0 CL 09-17 (4500 Tick)  7_25_2017 hwbL38.2% 45.40 T-23.8% 48.50 hit go4 reTest PM High.jpg
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  #13 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
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Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

McDREAMY Pattern, anyone?
Failed buCypher ptD at hwbLong 45.50 so go4 T161.8% 48.40 which is the next likely target for broken ptC 141% 47.80
Prior Month Close 48.60 and prior month haft way back are holding it down for now...
Of course, Monday OPEC Meeting and TUE API report helped it getting there during this summer slow volume trading.

Enjoy and Trade Smarter!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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  #14 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
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Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

Bored?
Awaiting 2pmEST FOMC Meeting?
ES haft way back Long 2462 Target 2483-87-92 still not hit after three days...

Just do it in SIM money, and let's blow-up three sub-accounts at the same time on FOMC Day today.
Mission accomplished? Feeling the pain or having fun?
I know, itís not the same as in real money but the experience of losing it all is somewhat there, right?

Enjoy and Trade Smarter!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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  #15 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

FYI,
I have been so busy with CL since Monday OPEC Meeting and Wednesday Oil Inventory Report... such a WILD SWING, huh?
Have not done much analysis for GC cDECEMBER Contracts Rollover yet. Will do it next!!!

Enjoy and Trade Smarter!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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  #16 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

Hello everyone,

As promise here is my Gold GC pre-Rollover Analysis after FOMC Day; however, you have to promise me to go back and review chart with what I wrote
from "1Shot2Kill.Journal#4 Cypher pattern of the week"... Otherwise, you may not understand what I am trying to explain: "what the heck is going with Gold".

Oh, I loaded up the boat for 11 Contracts after 3amEST but GC was going no where slowly for 5 hours (just 3 points total)... so I have to scaled out and ended up with only 1Runner... CryOL!
It started to break-out around 1pmEST even before the announcement... but not until Bond Market closed; then Pop, Pop, and Pop right at 3:01pmEST.
If you are not already in it, then you missed the boat! Overall, 20 points ATR for FOMC Day is "nothing" compare to past history... Think triple or double it!
I am going to reward myself with a nice dinner and LIME-a-RITA now.

Enjoy and Trade Smarter!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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  #17 (permalink)
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker: IB
Trading: ES
 
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Target 2483-87-92

What does this mean?

are you targe
ting 2483 for ES?

87?
92?


Thanks!

..........
peace, love and joy to you
.........
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  #18 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received


aquarian1 View Post
Target 2483-87-92

What does this mean?

are you targe
ting 2483 for ES?

87?
92?


Thanks!

Yep, Fibonacci Ratio of half way back Long 2462 from 2448 to 2476 Targeting T1 -23.8% 2483 T2=-38.2% 2487 and T3=-61.8% 2492.

Hope that helps!

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  #19 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

Ohlala!

Slept well last night after drinking LIME-a-RITA
Woke up and realized that today, July 27th is my third year Anniversary with FIO
"Smelling" Cypher or McDREAMY pattern today? Any guess?

Note to self: don't forget to attend "An Afternoon with FIO member Softsoap" at 4:30pmEST this afternoon.



Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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  #20 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

FYI
While you were sleeping...
GC 3M traded buCypher ptC 1260.50 at 6amEST (about the same time as cousin CL traded ptC 48.54--must be algos at work). However, they are both struggle to break out of Over Night High right now.
In the meantime, ES wants nothing but going higher since 2471 YLow was holding up at closing.
So who is going to give up? CL or GC?

Here is GC 90M preRollover Duo Chart for cDEC vs cAUG contract.
Just be ready for Bears or Bulls attack, huh?

Enjoy and Trade Smarter!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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Name:	3.0.0 GC ##-## (90 Min) _ GC 12-17 (90 Min)  7_27_2017 W30.preROLL.Duo.GCcAUG vs cDEC M90.jpg
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  #21 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

FYI
Here is an updated 240M Rollover Duo Chart between CLcSEP and GCcDEC.
Be ready for Bears or Bulls attack, huh?

Enjoy and Trade Smarter!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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Name:	0.0.0 ROLL.Duo CL 09-17 (240 Min) _ GC 12-17 (240 Min)  7_27_2017 W30.preRoll.GCcDEC vs postRoll.jpg
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  #22 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

Thought you survived Wednesday FOMC Day, and Thursday T+3, huh?

I have a hard time sleeping last night because I didn't know what or how to say... to cheer you up. I kept thinking when was the last time I got run-over?
Don't get me wrong... I have done the exact same thing so many times that I lost count and I didn't even remember how I was feeling each time.
So write yours down, ok? I am sure that one day soon... you would laugh thinking about it.

However, I remember exactly when was the first time I've avoid being run-over; it was Lunar New Year of 2016 with over 68 points drop!
I was so thankful that I've already started to learn Harmonic Patterns and purchased lifetime license OFA-Auction Dashboard. Now, I cannot trade ES effectively without using OFA.

As of 6amEST this morning, the monthly ATR for ES is 75 points, CL is little bit over 5 points, and GC is 67 points. Pretty good for slow summer volume trading and if you manage to keep your swing intact. I think yesterday was just "Window BREAKING" T+3 Day that Mutual Fund Managers usually do to take profits and re-balance their portfolio at the end of month. Therefore, it could be "Window DRESSING" for EOM-End of month and FDOM-First day of month this coming Monday and Tuesday when more money being put to work... especially now that Gold rolled to new December contracts today--Let's "dump" Gold in order to "pump" ES again, shall we?

FYI, 4pm EST MOC ES @2469 10.1K Bid ==>Smelling Trending Day Bulls attack?
I have been busy since Wednesday FOMC Meeting, Oil Inventory Report and Thursday T+3... The good news is I managed to avoid being run-over... The bad news is I traded 11+ contracts that were going nowhere slowly for more than 5 hours in overnight session.

Let me have a good sleep tonight and I will show you how I did it after finishing my weekend review.

TraderTS


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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  #23 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Trading: ES GC CL [4MES2ES as of 2019MAY] and [4MGC2GC as of 2021JAN]
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 440 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 253 given, 365 received

FYI
I have a "hang-over" on Sunday and was unable to do much Monday.

How to avoid being run-over on ES 7/27/2017?
Clue #1 Target 2483 not hit for 4 days, plus Price is moving up since holding 2472 but on lower volume before and after FOMC Day.
Clue #2 Failed Break-out, 9:30amEST NYSE Open 1Tick above YHigh, plus OFA Footprint @2477.75 14.1K but price is not moving up... hmmm!
Clue #3 TTT-Taylor Trading Technique hinted CD3 "Sell Short Day" Thursday creating "panic selling" setting up for CD1 "Buy Day" on Friday.
Clue #4 Today is T+3 Day for Mutual Fund Managers to take profits and rebalance their portfolio.
Clue #5 3M Chart setting up buCypher ptC T127% 2479.50 that traded in European session, retested and traded T141% 2480.50 at NYSE Open, then retested again and again after 10:30amEST.
Clue #6 Market Profile hinted potential retest 2461-59 GapUp from July 19th.
Clue #7 Got exhausted trying to hold up 2475 OpEx Mean Line to go higher?

Take action by Go4 Initial Short at buCypher ptC and below 2480 NYSE Open THEN place SELL Stop Order below 2477-2475 for potential break down of beABC ptC which is also POC.


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
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  #24 (permalink)
Texas, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
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FYI,
ES traded 2nd extLong2459 [Fibonacci pull from 2437-2476 with T2485-2492-2502] on Thursday T+3 Day Window BREAKING.

go4 1C RunnerL2462 @38.2% of extLong [Keep until Target(s) hit]
go4 2C SwingL2463 @beABC [Keep until EOM-Monday or FDOM-Tuesday]
go4 11C IntradayL2464 @beABC retested 7/27 @9.36pmEST. Going no where slowly over 5 hours in overnight*. However, I want to scalp until retest of 2468 near PVT to bail out those OFA Footprint 5.9K Bid who got stuck from Thursday. At the end, 1C left for PVT and Gap play that hit 2471 by 4pmEST closing.

_________________________
* I fell asleep for 4 hours while the Algos' Robot was holding 12T Range Consolidation.

Enjoy and Trade Smarter!

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  #25 (permalink)
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FYI
While you are asleep... another Cypher pattern is developed!

First-thing-first, you have to go back and review chart with what I wrote from "1Shot2Kill.Journal#4 and #13 Cypher pattern of the week"... Otherwise, you may not understand what I am trying to explain: "what the heck is going with Gold".

Clue#1 cAUG T1279 hit in cDEC Should be taking profit even though can trade until end of August.
Clue#2 cDEC Potential buCypher ptC T127-141% 1278-81 traded and retested before 1:30pmEST Closing
Clue#3 DoR+3 TUE 8/01 newHigh but SellVolume increased
Clue#4 DoR+4 TUE 6pmEST reOpen "Pop 2Short" retested #ptC 1278
Clue#5 Asia session holding Short
Clue#6 European session is a coin-flip after retested YLow

If you are not in this train for buCypher ptD T1257... then you can fight scalping Long & Short until one side gives up.
Me? I am holding a SwingS1279, plus a SwingL1272, an add Sim101 S1274. In between is just scalping for dinner money.

Enjoy and Trade Smarter!

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  #26 (permalink)
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FYI
While you are having dinner...

Gold DROP within minutes!
I left notes on charts, see if you can figure out what to do and take action to protect Swing Short.

Going to bed now, will wake up for breakfast and write analysis at midnight.

P.S.
Woke up at midnight, ate breakfast... but Gold is still asleep and not moving much so I am going back to bed.
Woke up for European session... but Gold is still in consolidation at low. Oil is retested yesterday hwbL49.10 and attempted B/O so took trade and go4 GapPlay.
Ninja Trader 7 warned of "low memory" and needed to shut down again... going back to bed and left trades alone.

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FYI
Analysis from Chart-Journal #20

Clue #1 SwingS1279 not breaking above ptC T141% 1281 therefore, buCypher ptD T1257 is still valid.
Clue #2 DoR+4 Double Top, Buy Volume increased but Price NOT moving up; therefore can add to Short or get on the train if not in it previously.

Voila, the 3M DROP at 7.01pmEST! Not sure why? Asia not open until 8pmEST... Ah, must be Tokyo Open then--aggressive Bears!

Clue #3 cDEC buCypher ptD T1257 hit in cAUG which was B/O level on 7/26 FOMC Day after 3pmEST Bond Market Closed (see Journal #13) so think REVERSAL!
Clue #4 The 3M DROP stopped at Monthly PVT and Prior Week 38.2% haft-way-back Long.

Here is what I did last night to protect Swing Short...
1. Hedge 4C L1268.10 @9:13pmEST; then Took 2C off near 1270 before going back to bed.
2. Added 2C L1266.90 @3:30amEST go4 PVT & GapPlay
3. Trail Stop 1C L1266.90 below Prior Week High 1271.50 and 2ndC go4 GapPlay T1278.30
4. Leave 2C L1268.10 as Hedge to protect Swing Short 4potential B/O to newHigh.

Gold broke out before premarket after retesting 1266 low. Resistance 1274 after 8:20amEST Open is holding it down...
Now it's up to NYSE 9:30amEST Open to POP or DROP. My guess is to POP but they like to retest ptB/O level at hwbL1269 from 7:20amEST this morning; else PM High 1271.5 is aggressive Bulls attack!

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  #28 (permalink)
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FYI
Nothing much going on in Overnight! Awaiting 8:30amEST Monthly Non-Farm Payroll report--could be "Wild-Swing" for ES and GC.
However, if ES is being push-up for Weekly OpEx 2385>2450>2510 then GC is likely being push-down which is not happened yet.

Here is what I should have done better for Gold GC yesterday...
1. Use 5M vs 3M chart because it's much better and easier to view overall picture.
2. Marked potential T1264 but didn't place limit order there.
3. Too determine waiting 4GapPlay to fill when I could have paid more attention to OIL CL and not missed a perfect buCypher pattern.

See Journal#23 next.

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  #29 (permalink)
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FYI
Here is what I missed while day-dreaming with Gold...

Oil CL 3M buCypher ptC T127% 49.95 traded and retested two times for more than two hours... I am having to chase it by placing Sell Limit order.
In overnight, it already hit ptD T78.6% 48.94 and failed to hold up; therefore, it has potential becoming McDREAMY Pattern by retesting low or going for T-61.8% 47.94 as new low.

Don't forget cOCTOBER Contracts Rollover is under way.

BTW, if you don't know "what the heck is McDREAMY Pattern?" then go back and read Journal#2. Enjoy!

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It's TGIF!

Almost four days, but GC buCypher S1279 not hitting target ptD 1257; so taking profit here at 1261 which is PW 50% and previous B/O point.
GC cDEC Contracts Rollover is considered done even though cAUG still can be traded toward end of August.
CL buCypher S49.65 hit ptD T48.92 but failed to B/D further; so taking profit at 48.78 as well.

Sunday is Lunar Eclipse Full Moon... Friday or Monday could be the Low or the High; therefore, not a bad idea to go Long in QM or YG... just in case can't get back in at today LOW next week.
Will watch ES this afternoon if there will be a new high by 4pmEST for Friday OpEx.


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FYI
Here is the weekend homework review of 240M charts...

ES 240M buCypher ptC T127-141% 2480-96 go4 ptD T78.60% 2378
CL 240M retested PM High 50.43 vs 48.50 as Support or 48-47 as 2nd Support
GC 240M buCypher ptC T127-141% 1279-88 go4 ptD T78.60% 1250

Wly OpEx
MON & WED 2410>2460<2500
FRI 2395>2455<2510

US Dollar Rally BIG on FRI
GC Daily L/T Triangle Resistance @1280

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  #32 (permalink)
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Watch out!
Could it be just a "DeathCatBounce"? Especially with GC? US Dollar rally BIG on Friday and still holding up at high.
Lunar Eclipse Full Moon was on Sunday... are you holding Low vs High Friday and Monday? Having fun with the "Whipsaw"?
How many times CL L48.50 or 48.80 traded? I lost count.

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  #33 (permalink)
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"Whipsaw" on Lunar Eclipse Full Moon?

Hardly any... for ES with NR Day with 4 points range; think it's just holding up for MON OpEx... to kill time.

On Friday GC was sold in Asia then European and finally NYSE session; so how low did it go?
Well, just to retested previous 1260 resistance and now as support which just happened to be 3rd measure move L1262 with T1290-94-1302.
Bouncing was very weak yesterday... and Asia bought in overnight so far...
Last week buCypher ptD T1257-50 is still valid, so keeping Swing Short 1279 intact.

Cannot avoid the "Whipsaw" in CL if you have not seen the same pattern previously.
On Friday CL was bought by NYSE with increased volume... you think it would B/O of 50 again and hit T51 at least. But it was a "Bulls trap" set up on SUN reOpen where Asia & European sold, then NYSE "Pop to Sell" at PW hwbS49.40 level. Here we go again... just to retested 48.50 near PW Low 48.37 which just happened to be new beCypher ptC T127% with ptD T49.49
Where to from here? My guess is up... if PVT 49.20 holds up after 3amEST European Open. Thus, if you are still holding Swing Short, then better watch out... if not as high as 50.40 because of potential being run-over by Swing Long 48.50 with T51.75! When? Could be Wednesday if not sooner.

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  #34 (permalink)
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Are we playing "musical chair"? Did you switch or still thinking"What the heck..."?
Perfect "Hit & Run" trades in ES and GC yesterday... Type of trade that "Just close 1Eye & Hit button"!
It was a "DeathCatBounce" last few days because of US Dollar rally and not until ES hit new High and reversed.

GC 15M SwingShort 1279 buCypher ptD T78.6% 1257 hit finally in cDEC contract @Mly PVT in 240M
Now what? What else, retest previous High or to new High; but at least 1290 where it broke down from middle of JUNE.
If not break-out, then look out below... nope, much lower!

Oops, almost forgot... I do have a very long analysis of "Hit & Run" trade 4ES, next...

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  #35 (permalink)
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That's what Lunar Eclipse Full Moon Day should be... *Wild Swing that resulted in an extreme Low or High for ITP-InflectionTurningPoint!
Another perfect "Hit & Run" trade... so "Just Close 1Eye & Hit the Button"!

Let's begin by going back to previous posts, shall we?
1S2K.Journal #25 240M chart has buCypher ptC T127% 2481 2ptD T78.6% 2377 almost 100 points down...
I knew I was early and 2481 not even trade yet but I was greedy and jumped on S2474 after the weekend review, and added S2477--just scalping in/out but always kept 1C as Runner to hedge my 1C Runner Swing Long from weeks ago.
However, I took off my "Short" when I saw what is going on in OFA-Auction Dashboard day before as NR Monday, and after NYSE Open Tuesday (see attached PaF charts).
8/01 PaF Footprint @2473.50 with 8.6K Ask vs @2471.50 with 8.4K Ask [maybe this is root cause of NR day for weeks]
8/08 PaF Footprint after NYSE Open @2473.25 3.9K Bid + @2473.50 5.9K Bid [new high is in the picture?]
In the meantime, Dollar Index continued to rally after asleep yesterday, and Gold is dropping fast now after a break-out in preMarket.--ah, must be "Pop2Sell" fake BO move!

1S2K.Journal #18 & 19 Keep 1C as Runner Long until Target(s) hit ===> Target hit! TakingProfit and Reversed when it's at new high and at R3 level.
I did a counter trade L2477 at previous High but ended up with small loss because it's not holding and I knew I should get out of Long and keep 1Runner Short overnight.

1S2K.Journal #16 On July 28th, after Gold cDEC rolled, I suggested... Let's "dump" Gold in order to "pump" ES again, shall we?
... I forgot about timeline, that August was/is the "slowest" month since 1920, that it's tick-by-tick movement then "BOOM" out of nowhere... Squeeze, squeeze and more squeeze!
It took more than two weeks for my 1Runner Long to hit tatget; lucky me, I am too busy to even intraday trade, to watch "paint dry" and to go "nuts".

P.S.
Larry Pesavento's radio show on 8/8 has three very interesting charts. Catch it on replay at TFNN.com or find it on YouTube.com

_____________
* This is not really a wild swing compare to 30-40 points swing in the past.

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  #36 (permalink)
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Going down is faster, huh? Just about 40 points ETH and 27 point during RTH.

Perfect symmetry and a Harmonic DREAM came through for T138.2% 2437 which is also S3; but not many buyers there... only good for scalping at best.

Take a look at 240M chart from 1S2K.Journal #29 again... buCypher ptD T2375 is on the way. Will it get there by tomorrow?
Maybe not, but Weekly OpEx Strike Price 2395 is in the picture because Bears managed to hold down 2455 MeanLine today.
Let's wait and see who is going to show up at 6pmEST reopen and in overnight.

P.S.
Gold retested B/D point 1290 as expected; but I am not sure WHY it is just holding a consolidation range all afternoon-- only 13.5 points ATR today.
What is up with that? Hope I don't lose any sleep tonight thinking about WHY?

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  #37 (permalink)
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... I forgot about timeline, that August was/is the "slowest" month since 1920, that it's tick-by-tick movement then "BOOM" out of nowhere... Squeeze, squeeze and more squeeze!

I have to "quote" at myself, because of 5 points NR in overnight... feel like another squeeze is coming; it's up to premarket and NYSE Open now--Don't forget Unfilled Gaps are 2471, 2423, 2377 (round-up).
However, enough is enough... it's TGIF, and it's Weekly OpEx Friday's "Anything goes!"; time to think about taking profits and protect Swing Short S2486.75 go4 240M buCypher ptD T2375.
After all, it's T224% at 2432 as of last night.

Just be ready for Bulls or Bears attack!

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  #38 (permalink)
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FYI
Crude Oil failed to BO of 50.50 all week and didn't get to T51-51.75 by Wednesday with Oil Inventory report. If it's B/D of 48 LIS-LineInTheSand, then look out below... yep, much lower for cOCT Rollover next week.
Enjoy!

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FYI
On Friday afternoon, CL held up as 50% hwbL48 with T51.70 and with potential buCypher ptC T127-141% 51.85- 52.55
Buyers volume increased when touched at 38.2% 48.50 previously; very likely that it would hit target, retest previous High or BO to new High.
Don't forget WED 8/16 Inventory report and THU 8/17 NT7 scheduled for cOctober Contracts Rollover.

Enjoy!

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FYI
It was a "manipulation" that I have seen many times before where WED OpEx @2460 MeanLine... held up like the Great Wall of China until 4pmEST when option expired. Therefore, don't load up the boat yet... just scalp in/out during the consolidation until confirmation of a break down failure after retesting low; then Gap Fill destination where hwbS2474 near by as seen in the attached charts.

You should know which direction it would move after closing, in overnight, and on Thursday, right?

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Name:	1.4WED.MOC ES 09-17 (1 Tick PaF)  8_9_2017 2472.50 GapFilled OFA@2473 4K Bid @2470 3.5K Bid @246.jpg
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  #41 (permalink)
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Hmm...
Short nothing but Sell Short on Thursday!
Orderly selling in Asia, European, preMarket, then "Boom" in heavy volume after NYSE Open.
Only one decent counter trend Long after hwbS2474 T2452-48 hit during Initial Balance first hour.
Selling continued at 10amEST and 3pmEST in afternoon.

Have no fear, tomorrow is TGIF! Bears should some take profits before weekend.

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Name:	1.5THU 0.1M03 ES 09-17 (3 Min)  8_10_2017 hwbS2474 @6pmESTreOpen AddSwingS2473.25 T2456-52.jpg
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Name:	1.5THU pic3 3pmEST ES 09-17 (1 Tick PaF)  8_10_2017 OFA@2450 2.4K Ask@2.30pm +2.9K@3pm=2newLow.jpg
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Wow!
Do you see that the same Fibonacci draw that predicted 2430 LOW=Low of week?
Hint: go back to Journal 7/26 @9:45pm, Journal #18, Journal #29.

If you find it, then that is very good... but now can you find the upside target if it's rally straight up from this LOW? Think "Symmetry"!

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Voila, perfect Symmetry!

From 7/26/2017 9:45pm
Same "Fibonacci Ratio of half way back Long 2462 from 2448 to 2476 Targeting T1 -23.8% 2483 T2=-38.2% 2487 and T3=-61.8% 2492".

8/08 Hit T-38.20% 2487
8/11 Hit T161.80% 2431
About to Hit T-61.80% 2492?

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FYI
Here is the weekend homework review of ES 240M chart...

FRI 8/11 nmmL2432.50 [Fib 2342.75 to 2488.50] T2522.75
TUE 8/8 buCypher ptC T127-141% 2480-96 go4 ptD T78.60% 2375 {Failure if broke T141% 2496}


Wly OpEx
MON & WED 2390>2450<2500
FRI 2350>2450<2510

MON 8/14 No news event
TUE 8/15 French & Italian Bank Holiday [sleep in, no need to get up for European session]
WED 8/16 2pmEST FOMC Minutes

Enjoy!

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Name:	RevWly D.SS ES 09-17 (240 Min)  8_11_2017 buCypher ptC T2481-96 ptD T2375 #SwingS2486.75 T2460 2.jpg
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FYI
Here is the weekend homework review of GC charts...

Broke-out of Weekly L/T Triangle Resistance @1280
1440M Triple TOP and needs to hold 1277 PM High to go higher by breaking out of 1300-1360 ptBD from 11/08/2016 US Presidential Election.
240M Broke out of 1280 and retested ptBD 1298 -- RSI at Over bought zone. If ES trending up on SUN and MON then GC should be in retracement mode.

Enjoy!

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Sorry...
Here is the correct weekend homework review of GC 1440M and 240M charts...
I was so sure that I attached the right charts and not bother to double check after posting... I must be so tired at the time and yes, getting old too.

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Name:	RevWly BO.SL GC 12-17 (240 Min)  8_11_2017 hwbL1257 @MlyPVT SwingL1259.50 T1331.jpg
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ID:	240201  
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What the heck is Parabolic-curve?


Looks like "Hit & Run" trade L1257 could become "Parabolic Curve Step-like Formation".
Here is the updated 60M and 15M charts for Swing Long 1259.60 from cDECEMBER Contracts Rollover.
Interesting Volume accumulated everyday last week!

Enjoy!

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Did Gold woke up on TUE 8/15 during NYSE Open?
Interesting volume accumulation vs price action on 5M chart.

Added SwingL1274.70 T1314 #Double Bottom @61.8% @OC & VAL with RSI Divergence.

BTW,
ETF's GDX and NGD broke-out as well.

Enjoy!

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Name:	3.4WED 1.2.1M05 GC 12-17 (5 Min)  8_17_2017  #DBottom @POC&VAL +RSI Div SwingL1274.70 T1314 adde.jpg
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Name:	3.4WED 1.2.3R10T GC 12-17 (STRange 10 Tick)  8_17_2017 #DBottom SwingL1274.70 T1314 added.jpg
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Got shaken-out of intraday L1277 twice previous two days...
But got back in L1278.60 after Double Bottom during NYSE Open yesterday.

What a rally after that, huh?

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@aquarian1
Thanks for helping me... the beginning of my own journal!

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