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"1Shot2Kill"!
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"1Shot2Kill"!

  #31 (permalink)
Dallas, TX USA
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
Broker/Data: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Favorite Futures: GC CL ES + MES as of MAY 2019
 
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1Shot2Kill.Journal#25 Weekly Review 240M Charts

FYI
Here is the weekend homework review of 240M charts...

ES 240M buCypher ptC T127-141% 2480-96 go4 ptD T78.60% 2378
CL 240M retested PM High 50.43 vs 48.50 as Support or 48-47 as 2nd Support
GC 240M buCypher ptC T127-141% 1279-88 go4 ptD T78.60% 1250

Wly OpEx
MON & WED 2410>2460<2500
FRI 2395>2455<2510

US Dollar Rally BIG on FRI
GC Daily L/T Triangle Resistance @1280

Attached Thumbnails
&quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-revwly-1.0.0-es-09-17-240-min-8_4_2017-bucypher-ptc-t127-141-2481-96-2ptd-t78.6-2376.jpg   &quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-revwly-2.0.0-cl-09-17-240-min-8_4_2017-beabcd-t161.8-52.40-ptx.jpg   &quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-revwly-3.0.0-gc-12-17-240-min-8_4_2017-bucypher-ptc-t127-141-1279-88-2ptd-t78.60-1250.jpg  

Last edited by TraderTS; August 7th, 2017 at 08:54 AM. Reason: Attach 240M Charts
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  #32 (permalink)
Dallas, TX USA
 
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1Shot2Kill.Journal#26 Lunar Eclipse Full Moon...

Watch out!
Could it be just a "DeathCatBounce"? Especially with GC? US Dollar rally BIG on Friday and still holding up at high.
Lunar Eclipse Full Moon was on Sunday... are you holding Low vs High Friday and Monday? Having fun with the "Whipsaw"?
How many times CL L48.50 or 48.80 traded? I lost count.

Attached Thumbnails
&quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-2.6fri.1-cl-09-17-15-min-8_4_2017-wly-38.2-hwbl48.74-t127.2-51.82.jpg   &quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-revwly.duo-cl-09-17-5-min-_-gc-12-17-5-min-8_7_2017-cl-retested-1stl48.80-vs-gc-fri-ylow-1.jpg  

Last edited by TraderTS; August 7th, 2017 at 09:14 AM. Reason: Forgot to attach charts again.
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  #33 (permalink)
Dallas, TX USA
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader 8
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Thanks: 226 given, 340 received

1Shot2Kill.Journal#27 Avoid being "Whipsaw"...


"Whipsaw" on Lunar Eclipse Full Moon?

Hardly any... for ES with NR Day with 4 points range; think it's just holding up for MON OpEx... to kill time.

On Friday GC was sold in Asia then European and finally NYSE session; so how low did it go?
Well, just to retested previous 1260 resistance and now as support which just happened to be 3rd measure move L1262 with T1290-94-1302.
Bouncing was very weak yesterday... and Asia bought in overnight so far...
Last week buCypher ptD T1257-50 is still valid, so keeping Swing Short 1279 intact.

Cannot avoid the "Whipsaw" in CL if you have not seen the same pattern previously.
On Friday CL was bought by NYSE with increased volume... you think it would B/O of 50 again and hit T51 at least. But it was a "Bulls trap" set up on SUN reOpen where Asia & European sold, then NYSE "Pop to Sell" at PW hwbS49.40 level. Here we go again... just to retested 48.50 near PW Low 48.37 which just happened to be new beCypher ptC T127% with ptD T49.49
Where to from here? My guess is up... if PVT 49.20 holds up after 3amEST European Open. Thus, if you are still holding Swing Short, then better watch out... if not as high as 50.40 because of potential being run-over by Swing Long 48.50 with T51.75! When? Could be Wednesday if not sooner.

Attached Thumbnails
&quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-2.2mon.1.0.1-cl-09-17-15-min-8_7_2017-becypher-ptc-t127-l48.55-2ptd-t49.45-5thl48.72.jpg   &quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-2.3tue.1.0.2-cl-09-17-strange-10-tick-8_8_2017-retested-pm-low-48.38-failed-bd.jpg   &quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-3.3tue.1.0.1-gc-12-17-90-min-8_8_2017-pm-hwbl1262-t1289-lis-bucypher-ptd-t1227.jpg  

Last edited by TraderTS; August 8th, 2017 at 07:20 AM. Reason: Add CL 10T Range Chart.
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  #34 (permalink)
Dallas, TX USA
 
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Posts: 413 since Jul 2014
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1Shot2Kill.Journal#28 Hit & Run Trade 4GC...

Are we playing "musical chair"? Did you switch or still thinking"What the heck..."?
Perfect "Hit & Run" trades in ES and GC yesterday... Type of trade that "Just close 1Eye & Hit button"!
It was a "DeathCatBounce" last few days because of US Dollar rally and not until ES hit new High and reversed.

GC 15M SwingShort 1279 buCypher ptD T78.6% 1257 hit finally in cDEC contract @Mly PVT in 240M
Now what? What else, retest previous High or to new High; but at least 1290 where it broke down from middle of JUNE.
If not break-out, then look out below... nope, much lower!

Oops, almost forgot... I do have a very long analysis of "Hit & Run" trade 4ES, next...

Attached Thumbnails
&quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-3cdec3tue-1.1.0-gc-12-17-15-min-8_8_2017-bucypher-ptc-swings1279-2ptd-t1257-finally-hit-.jpg   &quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-3cdec3tue-1.0.0-gc-12-17-240-min-8_9_2017-tradehit-run-l1261.80-aftert1257hit-reverse-mly-pv.jpg  

Last edited by TraderTS; August 9th, 2017 at 07:41 AM.
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  #35 (permalink)
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1Shot2Kill.Journal#29 Hit & Run Trade 4ES...

That's what Lunar Eclipse Full Moon Day should be... *Wild Swing that resulted in an extreme Low or High for ITP-InflectionTurningPoint!
Another perfect "Hit & Run" trade... so "Just Close 1Eye & Hit the Button"!

Let's begin by going back to previous posts, shall we?
1S2K.Journal #25 240M chart has buCypher ptC T127% 2481 2ptD T78.6% 2377 almost 100 points down...
I knew I was early and 2481 not even trade yet but I was greedy and jumped on S2474 after the weekend review, and added S2477--just scalping in/out but always kept 1C as Runner to hedge my 1C Runner Swing Long from weeks ago.
However, I took off my "Short" when I saw what is going on in OFA-Auction Dashboard day before as NR Monday, and after NYSE Open Tuesday (see attached PaF charts).
8/01 PaF Footprint @2473.50 with 8.6K Ask vs @2471.50 with 8.4K Ask [maybe this is root cause of NR day for weeks]
8/08 PaF Footprint after NYSE Open @2473.25 3.9K Bid + @2473.50 5.9K Bid [new high is in the picture?]
In the meantime, Dollar Index continued to rally after asleep yesterday, and Gold is dropping fast now after a break-out in preMarket.--ah, must be "Pop2Sell" fake BO move!

1S2K.Journal #18 & 19 Keep 1C as Runner Long until Target(s) hit ===> Target hit! TakingProfit and Reversed when it's at new high and at R3 level.
I did a counter trade L2477 at previous High but ended up with small loss because it's not holding and I knew I should get out of Long and keep 1Runner Short overnight.

1S2K.Journal #16 On July 28th, after Gold cDEC rolled, I suggested... Let's "dump" Gold in order to "pump" ES again, shall we?
... I forgot about timeline, that August was/is the "slowest" month since 1920, that it's tick-by-tick movement then "BOOM" out of nowhere... Squeeze, squeeze and more squeeze!
It took more than two weeks for my 1Runner Long to hit tatget; lucky me, I am too busy to even intraday trade, to watch "paint dry" and to go "nuts".

P.S.
Larry Pesavento's radio show on 8/8 has three very interesting charts. Catch it on replay at TFNN.com or find it on YouTube.com

_____________
* This is not really a wild swing compare to 30-40 points swing in the past.

Attached Thumbnails
&quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-1.3tue-1.0.0-es-09-17-1-tick-paf-8_1_2017-moc-2473.50-8.6k-ask-vs-2471.50-8.4k-bid-nr.jpg   &quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-1.3tue-1.0.0-es-09-17-1-tick-paf-8_8_2017-nyse-open-2473.25-3.3k-bid-2473.50-5.9k-bid-bo.jpg   &quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-1.3tue-1.1.1-es-09-17-15-min-8_8_2017-beabcd-t127-2488.75-bo-2480.jpg   &quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-1.3tue-1.2.1-es-09-17-30-min-8_9_2017-hwbl2462-t2487-hit-after-2weeks.jpg   &quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-1.3tue-1.2.2-es-09-17-30-min-8_9_2017-retested-2460-prevsupport-opex-meanline.jpg   &quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-1.09csep-1.0.0-es-09-17-240-min-8_9_2017-hit-run-swings2486.75-4cdec.rollover.jpg  
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  #36 (permalink)
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1Shot2Kill.Journal#30 Perfect Symmetry 4ES...

Going down is faster, huh? Just about 40 points ETH and 27 point during RTH.

Perfect symmetry and a Harmonic DREAM came through for T138.2% 2437 which is also S3; but not many buyers there... only good for scalping at best.

Take a look at 240M chart from 1S2K.Journal #29 again... buCypher ptD T2375 is on the way. Will it get there by tomorrow?
Maybe not, but Weekly OpEx Strike Price 2395 is in the picture because Bears managed to hold down 2455 MeanLine today.
Let's wait and see who is going to show up at 6pmEST reopen and in overnight.

P.S.
Gold retested B/D point 1290 as expected; but I am not sure WHY it is just holding a consolidation range all afternoon-- only 13.5 points ATR today.
What is up with that? Hope I don't lose any sleep tonight thinking about WHY?

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  #37 (permalink)
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1Shot2Kill.Journal#31 TGIF+WlyOpEx=AnythingGoes!


TraderTS View Post
... I forgot about timeline, that August was/is the "slowest" month since 1920, that it's tick-by-tick movement then "BOOM" out of nowhere... Squeeze, squeeze and more squeeze!

I have to "quote" at myself, because of 5 points NR in overnight... feel like another squeeze is coming; it's up to premarket and NYSE Open now--Don't forget Unfilled Gaps are 2471, 2423, 2377 (round-up).
However, enough is enough... it's TGIF, and it's Weekly OpEx Friday's "Anything goes!"; time to think about taking profits and protect Swing Short S2486.75 go4 240M buCypher ptD T2375.
After all, it's T224% at 2432 as of last night.

Just be ready for Bulls or Bears attack!

Attached Thumbnails
&quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-1s2k-31-1.6fri-1.1.1-es-09-17-30-min-8_11_2017-revwly-swings2486.75-go4-bucypher-ptd-t2375.jpg  

Last edited by TraderTS; August 11th, 2017 at 06:21 AM.
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  #38 (permalink)
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1Shot2Kill.Journal#31 Crude Oil @48 LIS HoldingUp?

FYI
Crude Oil failed to BO of 50.50 all week and didn't get to T51-51.75 by Wednesday with Oil Inventory report. If it's B/D of 48 LIS-LineInTheSand, then look out below... yep, much lower for cOCT Rollover next week.
Enjoy!

Attached Thumbnails
&quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-1s2kr31-2.6fri-roll.coct-cl-90-min-_-cl-10-17-90-min-8_11_2017-revwly-lis-48.jpg  
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  #39 (permalink)
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1Shot2Kill.Journal#33 Crude Oil held up @48!

FYI
On Friday afternoon, CL held up as 50% hwbL48 with T51.70 and with potential buCypher ptC T127-141% 51.85- 52.55
Buyers volume increased when touched at 38.2% 48.50 previously; very likely that it would hit target, retest previous High or BO to new High.
Don't forget WED 8/16 Inventory report and THU 8/17 NT7 scheduled for cOctober Contracts Rollover.

Enjoy!

Attached Thumbnails
&quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-revmly-preroll.itp-cl-09-17-4500-tick-8_11_2017-hwbl48-t51.70-swingl48.30.jpg  
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  #40 (permalink)
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1Shot2Kill.Journal#34 WED OpEx @2460 MeanLine...


FYI
It was a "manipulation" that I have seen many times before where WED OpEx @2460 MeanLine... held up like the Great Wall of China until 4pmEST when option expired. Therefore, don't load up the boat yet... just scalp in/out during the consolidation until confirmation of a break down failure after retesting low; then Gap Fill destination where hwbS2474 near by as seen in the attached charts.

You should know which direction it would move after closing, in overnight, and on Thursday, right?

Attached Thumbnails
&quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-1.4wed-1.0m03-es-09-17-3-min-8_9_2017-opex-2460meanline-holdsup-ctl2464.jpg   &quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-1.4wed-1.1m03-es-09-17-3-min-8_9_2017-retested-2459.75-dlow-revopex-meanline-2460-add3c-ctl2.jpg   &quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-1.4wed-1.2m03-es-09-17-3-min-8_9_2017-failedbd-retested-2459.75-dlow-go4-val-gapfill-2472..jpg   &quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-1.4wed-pic-es-09-17-1-tick-paf-8_9_2017-failedbd-go4-hwbs2474-gapfill2472.50.jpg   &quot;1Shot2Kill&quot;!-1.4wed.moc-es-09-17-1-tick-paf-8_9_2017-2472.50-gapfilled-ofa-2473-4k-bid-2470-3.5k-bid-246.jpg  
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