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NerradC Journal Challenge - July 2017


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NerradC Journal Challenge - July 2017

  #161 (permalink)
 bmtrading9 
Atlanta, GA, USA
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: MC and Jigsaw
Trading: ES, MES
Posts: 1,833 since Mar 2013
Thanks Given: 3,001
Thanks Received: 2,159


NerradC View Post
Thank you for dropping by bmtrading9.

I am trading market profile but in a way slightly different to those who look at profile session by session or day to day.
I am using this indicator - TasMarket Profile ( you may search it on Google if you are interested to find out more); basically what it does, it draws 3lines (or we called it a box) when there is a small micro profile formed on your time frame (and probably with some other factors also but i have no access to secret sauce so just my guessing).

So criteria
1. i only trade when both h4 and h1 are on the same side of the box, after the bar close. i look at bar close to avoid ambiguity and for better time management
2. i will wait for a first breakout of a trend, (a trend is defined by the color coding: green uptrend, red downtrend, if price doesnt close to opposite side of box then the trend doesnt change)
3. i will check if there is a so called No-Good-Swing, by looking at the MCAD looking indicator - TasNavigator; no good swing is defined as during the previous trend, the navigator failed to hit at least 20 for long or -20 for short, IF it ever cross the zero line ( the horizontal line, and i give it a buffer 5 to -5 i will review by case). this to me is some kinda momentum check.
4. if above is satisfactory i will start looking for entry, which usually not further away than the box +/- 15% of daily ATR, if entry is too far from box i will have less favourable RR so i will wait for pull back.
5. depend on the market conditions i may use market order or stop order to catch a fast break out, or limit order if i prefer to see more support instead of impulsive move. and i will build up the lot size untill it hit my intended risk as a % of capital, as long as 1-4 is satisfactory.
6. my stop will always be the low of the break out bar or the POC ( middle line of the box), if the risk is more than daily ATR ( meaning the box is very huge) i will pass, again, it means to me infavourable potential RR
7. i will start trailing stop aggressively using new information ( new box or new hi/lo etc) untill my stop is in the money or close to. then i will be less aggressive to trail my stop and start riding the trend. i will start aggressively trailing stop again or scale out after navigator hit 40 for long or -40 for short, where it is considered OB/OS
8. using same method on 10markets, always the same 10markets, i believe there is an small edge. i risk up to 1% of capital per signal but typically 0.5% - 0.75%. so at all time, even if all markets give signal, i will not risk more than 10%. I will consider to trade with bigger risk eventually but not now, i still have a lot to learn.

i hope this give you an idea on how i trade, do let me know if you wish to discuss further on any of these point.

cheers
DarrenC

Do you use TAS VEGA too? I want to try for a week TAS boxes (Seems to be Market Profile) and TAS VEGA/TAS Navigator (Both seems to do the same job, if I am not wrong).

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  #162 (permalink)
NerradC
Perth AUSTRALIA
 
Posts: 253 since Jun 2017
Thanks Given: 79
Thanks Received: 87

Hi Traders, Bmtrading9

I happen to have a conversation to another friend about Tas some times ago. you may take a look if this make sense:



Short answer to your question, Vega colors overwrite candlestick/bar. i use it bcz i find it very helpful to quickly/accurately identify if a bar close outside the box.

we may go into details if you are interested.

cheers
DarrenC

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  #163 (permalink)
NerradC
Perth AUSTRALIA
 
Posts: 253 since Jun 2017
Thanks Given: 79
Thanks Received: 87


Hi Traders
If you are interested, i actually started a thread not long ago, asking other members about Tas Market Profile.

here is the link:

again, i m not affiliated to Tas and i am not promoting Tas. I think all indicators are tools, we are the mastermind behind the tools, find something handy and that can leverage your strength and improve/limit your weakness.

I started trading with very limited knowledge and Tas and educator/president Steve had given me quite some helps in term of technical knowledge and trading psychology. As much as i prefer using ordinary market profile tools, i can not trade without Tas for now. I am learning, hopefully one day, either the cost become insignificant to me, or i can work out my way trading with Tas.


cheers
DarrenC

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  #164 (permalink)
 bmtrading9 
Atlanta, GA, USA
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: MC and Jigsaw
Trading: ES, MES
Posts: 1,833 since Mar 2013
Thanks Given: 3,001
Thanks Received: 2,159

Extending the discussion on Context, let me put it this way how are taking Weekly and Daily charts if not monthly charts into your trading?

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  #165 (permalink)
NerradC
Perth AUSTRALIA
 
Posts: 253 since Jun 2017
Thanks Given: 79
Thanks Received: 87

Hi bmtrading9
I tend to view support/resistance as an area. i believe many others also have similar thought. if there is a key area confluence of h4 to daily and weekly, i tend to see the area got extended, or the volatility when price approaching the area become greater. so when there is a multi longer TF confluence, i often find my stop easily taken out.

which from another angle, i find it not particularly helpful if i were to use longer TF as additional reference to filter/manage my entry/exit. many times i would rather my entry is earlier and i have it approaching the longer TF, daily or weekly confluence area with some profit as buffer... instead of having my entry within the confluence of longer TF which is vulnerable. my strategy with a focus on h1 when it come to manage exit, it become not worth it if i were to increase my overall stop to cater for daily/weekly kinda volaitlity around their key area.

i have nothing to prove what i said is right, but i do have some numbers to tell me i dont need price to trade outside Daily tas boxes to be more profitable. Just end of June, I actually studied my trades (the last 600+ trades). i filtered out those trading at the same side of the daily box ( i.e. if Long, price also above daily tas box) the profitability was worse off.

would love to hear from your experience using multi TF (especially swing + daily and weekly). Thanks!

cheers
Darren

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  #166 (permalink)
 bmtrading9 
Atlanta, GA, USA
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: MC and Jigsaw
Trading: ES, MES
Posts: 1,833 since Mar 2013
Thanks Given: 3,001
Thanks Received: 2,159


NerradC View Post
Hi bmtrading9
I tend to view support/resistance as an area. i believe many others also have similar thought. if there is a key area confluence of h4 to daily and weekly, i tend to see the area got extended, or the volatility when price approaching the area become greater. so when there is a multi longer TF confluence, i often find my stop easily taken out.

which from another angle, i find it not particularly helpful if i were to use longer TF as additional reference to filter/manage my entry/exit. many times i would rather my entry is earlier and i have it approaching the longer TF, daily or weekly confluence area with some profit as buffer... instead of having my entry within the confluence of longer TF which is vulnerable. my strategy with a focus on h1 when it come to manage exit, it become not worth it if i were to increase my overall stop to cater for daily/weekly kinda volaitlity around their key area.

i have nothing to prove what i said is right, but i do have some numbers to tell me i dont need price to trade outside Daily tas boxes to be more profitable. Just end of June, I actually studied my trades (the last 600+ trades). i filtered out those trading at the same side of the daily box ( i.e. if Long, price also above daily tas box) the profitability was worse off.

would love to hear from your experience using multi TF (especially swing + daily and weekly). Thanks!

cheers
Darren

I don't trade breakouts/breakdowns (I consider myself mean reversion tried to change myself but I couldn't) so not sure if you can gain anything from me. I look at weekly, Daily, moving averages, Composite profiles etc and comes to a conclusion which way I should be trading then try to look at intra-day charts and add a position and 90% of times position will be profitable almost immediately and reverses back so for this kind of situation I will have some room to add more contracts at specified levels (I know you might be thinking averaging out but I consider it as a scale-in)...I don't have specified stop levels as I can build position up to 5/6 contracts on miniRussel or miniCrude and will take out contracts if I am not feeling right....pretty bad way to trade but what I observed is if hold on to the trade psychologically I will get rewarded multiple times but usually FEAR wins me.

I choose markets which are suited for my mentality such as miniRussell, miniCrude (Mainly because overnight margin). Currently I am trying to add miniDAX and US Dollar.

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Thanked by:
  #167 (permalink)
NerradC
Perth AUSTRALIA
 
Posts: 253 since Jun 2017
Thanks Given: 79
Thanks Received: 87


bmtrading9 View Post
I don't trade breakouts/breakdowns (I consider myself mean reversion tried to change myself but I couldn't) so not sure if you can gain anything from me. I look at weekly, Daily, moving averages, Composite profiles etc and comes to a conclusion which way I should be trading then try to look at intra-day charts and add a position and 90% of times position will be profitable almost immediately and reverses back so for this kind of situation I will have some room to add more contracts at specified levels (I know you might be thinking averaging out but I consider it as a scale-in)...I don't have specified stop levels as I can build position up to 5/6 contracts on miniRussel or miniCrude and will take out contracts if I am not feeling right....pretty bad way to trade but what I observed is if hold on to the trade psychologically I will get rewarded multiple times but usually FEAR wins me.

I choose markets which are suited for my mentality such as miniRussell, miniCrude (Mainly because overnight margin). Currently I am trying to add miniDAX and US Dollar.

i definitely agreeable to scale in i also start to learn building up positions and i do that as well and irregardless whether current position is running =ve or -ve

i also find FEAR a tough opponent.... especially FOMO

i think trading mini is a good way to manage risk and building up size. which i think play a big part to any trading system. without this i will think an edge doesnt not exist or can be greatly improved.

thank you for sharing! i m catching up the pace going through your journal.


cheers
DarrenC

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  #168 (permalink)
NerradC
Perth AUSTRALIA
 
Posts: 253 since Jun 2017
Thanks Given: 79
Thanks Received: 87

Hi Traders
I will be travelling for a week. Although i intend to trade i usually end up not doing much. so if you dont see any post, come back next week

i probably will do a weekly wrap up by then.... thanks for dropping by..

have fun trading
cheers
DarrenC

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  #169 (permalink)
NerradC
Perth AUSTRALIA
 
Posts: 253 since Jun 2017
Thanks Given: 79
Thanks Received: 87

Hi Traders
i am back. nothing much done during last week. I have done a few trades but all not working out well. and the only good one, which is Copper on short side, i missed it as i was not with my computer during the breakout. will share more about it later when i have time.

today plan is watch and wait:





cheers
DarrenC

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  #170 (permalink)
NerradC
Perth AUSTRALIA
 
Posts: 253 since Jun 2017
Thanks Given: 79
Thanks Received: 87


Hi Traders
nothing much last night, went Short on wheat but looking not so promising now.



some other ideas as below:










cheers
DarrenC

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