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ES intraday 'swing' trader


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ES intraday 'swing' trader

  #331 (permalink)
 DaxyMcDaxFace 
London
 
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FGBLTrader View Post
Personally I have always found it difficult fading an ATH market, especially when volume is normal or to the low side.

The market tends to spend lots of time consolidating, sucking in more 'sell the high' shorts before continuing higher. Rinse and repeat.

I have learnt the hard way it's just not worth it, and to just go with the trend / flow in these conditions.

I learnt this the hard way in Bund too!


Sent from my iPhone using futures.io futures trading

Totally agree.

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  #332 (permalink)
 Paddy 
florida
 
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Apart from MP, PA and tick vix vol divergences do you all add order flow to your decision.

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  #333 (permalink)
 DaxyMcDaxFace 
London
 
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Hi People
Apols - have been in meetings and missed the open, just doing the prep now.

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  #334 (permalink)
 FGBLTrader 
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pramadas View Post
Apart from MP, PA and tick vix vol divergences do you all add order flow to your decision.

You can, but I would advise you to keep it simple. You don't need it in 99% of trades.

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  #335 (permalink)
 FGBLTrader 
United Kingdom
 
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DaxyMcDaxFace View Post
Hi People
Apols - have been in meetings and missed the open, just doing the prep now.

That blow off move up on the globex open looks like a very good tail. I am itching to sell but will wait for an A_Down to confirm.

FOMC and OPEX this week, usually we sell somewhat into OPEX so I expecting a retracement this week.

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  #336 (permalink)
 DaxyMcDaxFace 
London
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Sierra Charts
Broker: CQG
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Well I am not having great trading run

~went long @ 2254 avg (eth vwap) and stopped at close to lows -6pts.
~went long @ 2252 then puked this as it made a LL, at the lows -3pts

6 losing trades consecutively now. 3 short/3 long.

-9pts down for day.

And
~now long again 1 pt higher. Awful trading, poor execution, too hasty, overtrading, crap start to day etc etc.

Some levels:


PnF chart indicates a nicer level in 42-45 which good confluence with week/mth vwap/PA etc:


This also shows the support level ie todays rth lows i should have been looking for a long.

I will allow myself one more trade today. I have other work to do also, have a deadline tmrw.

Hope everyone else is doing better than me.

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  #337 (permalink)
 DaxyMcDaxFace 
London
 
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FGBLTrader View Post
That blow off move up on the globex open looks like a very good tail. I am itching to sell but will wait for an A_Down to confirm.

FOMC and OPEX this week, usually we sell somewhat into OPEX so I expecting a retracement this week.

I dont like how its building value down here and rejected upper 50s so quick in rth. But was also mindful that I have been getting caught shorting the market (despite good entries, logic, rr).

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  #338 (permalink)
 FGBLTrader 
United Kingdom
 
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DaxyMcDaxFace View Post
I dont like how its building value down here and rejected upper 50s so quick in rth. But was also mindful that I have been getting caught shorting the market (despite good entries, logic, rr).

Yeah it looks pretty mixed. You can argue its an A_Up but we came off RTH R1 so quick and right back into the OR.

IBL also broken, probabilities that we break both sides of the IB are low if i remember correct (30% ish).

We are much closer to the overnight low than the overnight high, which is another reason I am thinking down is more likely.

Either way, its quite mixed and you can argue the long side too. I'm happy to wait for now.

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  #339 (permalink)
 DaxyMcDaxFace 
London
 
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pramadas View Post
Apart from MP, PA and tick vix vol divergences do you all add order flow to your decision.

Hi @pramadas - i dont use MP - it added another layer of contextual analysis into the mix which i really didnt find useful. And many levels coincided with standard support/resistance levels drawn from PA. (The fact that the footprint had about 7 different pattern scenarios for taking a long entry imo meant it was pointless referring to it).

I also really didnt like the fact that MD stuck false stats to support use of their product on their website, and kept them there for so long.

But yep, tick div, PA, and just the standard vwaps/pivots/OHLCs for context also. Nothing set in stone though, and find using some more than others during the day/weeks etc.

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  #340 (permalink)
 DaxyMcDaxFace 
London
 
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This looks like a decent PA level 2248-2249 to look for turning points:



The long bias was cos even intra day levels were being defended last week - mid points in intraday even. Its a strong trend - had massive risk on momentum from oil, and reacted to it.

Just about to get stopped here.

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Last Updated on October 2, 2019


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