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How I Trade For a Living
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How I Trade For a Living

  #241 (permalink)
Trading for Fun
Escondido
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Multicharts
Favorite Futures: eminis
 
Posts: 69 since Nov 2015
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Not reedally the place for it :)

@emptymind

Not really my place to go into all that in @rocksolid68 journal thread. If he wants me to, I will. Otherwise, i will PM you my thoughts.

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  #242 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Duluth MN
 
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Hickock View Post
@emptymind

Not really my place to go into all that in @rocksolid68 journal thread. If he wants me to, I will. Otherwise, i will PM you my thoughts.

If you believe that others may gain value from your explanation, go ahead!

(Thank you for the kindness and consideration )

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  #243 (permalink)
Trading for Fun
Escondido
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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emptymind View Post
How were you able to pinpoint TF being the weakest index and the one that was going to make the move that it did?
Because NQ didn't make a LH until 12pm PST and the ES and YM didn't even make a LH before selling off in the close.
Also is it from your experience, that TF is usually a leading index compared to the rest of the majors?

My imperfect crystal balls says....

Some people are of the opinion that small caps are a leading indicator, and that is what the Russell is. But these arenít normal market conditions and the DOW and SPX/ES are in a different pattern compared to the NQ and the TF. So you need to fall back on some good old fashioned deductive reasoning.


Today was a gap and go and they were out to squeeze all the weak hands out of yesterdayís shorts. The TF is the thinnest of the indexes, so in most cases it will fall off the hardest when the bid disappears. Most of the people that rode it up from last night or this morning are going to start exiting before lunch or near the close. You watch that and look for the weakness to show its hand, then to look to get in. Not many people are around to trade later in the day.



Also, this trade took a while to develop. Not many people have the stones to hold a position for 45 mins to 2 hours just to see if it will work, let alone hold it another hour and forty-five to get to the target.



Iím not usually big on fading moves, usually it is a crap shoot trade. But they arenít giving us any real trends to trade lately so you take what you can get.

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  #244 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Duluth MN
 
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rocksolid68 View Post
Sidenote:

Adding one contract to ZB short right now. Let's see if this can drop some more!

Okay. So I wake up with a massive PnL. Wow.

I went to sleep with the added contract and it worked out fairly nicely. Price almost came up to my stop loss, but not all the way.

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+$531 or so on that add.

Wow. This is crazy. This whole swing trade thing is making me feel invincible. I need something to put me in my place

I kind of want to lose again. I say this because if I keep winning, I may screw up big when I do lose.

Anyways, good luck and good trading!

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  #245 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Duluth MN
 
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ZB dumping in tandem with ES....Hm.....

I am trying long down here on ES.

Very low risk with some high reward.

If this doesn't work out, I will play as if it is a down trending day. I do not think we will get a trend day prior to Non-Farm but who knows these days.....

EDIT:

Bullish TICK divergence!

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  #246 (permalink)
Elite Member
Sarasota FL
 
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rocksolid68 View Post
Okay. So I wake up with a massive PnL. Wow.

Good work.


rocksolid68 View Post
This whole swing trade thing is making me feel invincible. I need something to put me in my place

Don't worry, you'll get something.

Seriously, this is a great trade. Well done.

Bob.

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  #247 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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More TICK divergence....

This looks like a retail bus lower. Which means more fuel for the fire when we rip through the OR!


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  #248 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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bobwest View Post
Good work.



Don't worry, you'll get something.

Seriously, this is a great trade. Well done.

Bob.

Thank you Bob. (Like always! )

I hope your combine is going well!

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  #249 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Duluth MN
 
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rocksolid68 View Post
More TICK divergence....

This looks like a retail bus lower. Which means more fuel for the fire when we rip through the OR!


Okay... Market is extremely lame. I am done for the day on ES.

Flat for +$25

Market is barely moving and I do not have the patience this morning

I will be ready to trade tomorrow when the volatility comes back!

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  #250 (permalink)
Zb Trader
midwest
 
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zb held


zb made the u turn

bottom/s hold held lol


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