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SoftSoap's NQ Journey - from SoftSoap to SoftGold


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SoftSoap's NQ Journey - from SoftSoap to SoftGold

  #321 (permalink)
 
SoftSoap's Avatar
 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: InteractiveBrokers
Trading: NQ
Posts: 594 since Aug 2015
Thanks Given: 347
Thanks Received: 1,227

  • About to open at new record highs again
  • Jobless claims came in higher than expected
  • Weekly range has passed ATR at 138 / 127
  • However volume is at 492K

Earnings today
  • BIIB, CELG, CMCSA, and PYPL pre open
  • INTC, MSFT, SBUX, GOOGL post close, this will move the market post close

Noteworthy pre open moves
  • CMCSA up 1.7%
  • QCOM down 3.6%
  • BIIB up 1.4%
  • PYPL up 1.3%
  • EBAY up 7.4%


Scenarios
  1. Open up and move down to ON low, continue bull rally
  2. Pullback on the HTF and we break the ON low until we find strong support, continue bull rally from there, establishing new record highs
  3. Open up bull to record high, pullback and break it on 2nd contact, head to 5200
  4. Move bear until we find a strong support zone, then we range from that point and record high for the rest of the day

Setups I'll take today



  1. Short @ ~5200
    • Stop behind 5201 is ideal
    • Be careful about taking this if the market movement up here is very strong
  2. Short @ ~5170 (Record high)
    • Stop behind 75 is ideal
  3. Long @ ~5170 (Record high)
    • Market move up here must be very strong with little sign of slowing down, so you take a break-out trade
    • Ideally this is on 2nd contact and you have an entry point that can protect you from a pullback
  4. Open setup
    • This is based on volume and if things are pointing towards a strong bear open then I can take a bear trade
    • This would be a pre break-down setup
    • Not likely to happen but the option is there
  5. Short @ ~5150
    • Break-down trade
    • ON Low is ~5144 so entry might be tricky
  6. Long @ ~5150
    • Look for strong buying to come in
    • Stop behind 5144 is ideal
    • Be careful about aiming for new record highs today
  7. Long @ support zone - area TBD
  8. Long @ 5100

Remember - Do not hold positions after close until all major companies report earnings!!!!


Psychology goals for the day
  • 0 FOMO trades
  • 0 Emotional trades
  • Engage deliberate thinking in all trades
  • Do not get greedy with your trades
  • Abide by your trade management standard
  • Do not break any golden or silver risk management rules
  • Set alarms and walk away during non-critical periods. Make sure to be back for 330 potential ramp up though
  • Maximum of 3 trades today
  • All trades must be part of plan / scenarios / setups. Exception to this would be post earnings trade
  • Do not look at P&L
  • No trading while the market is flat

Yesterday's excellence is today's standard and tomorrow's mediocrity
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  #322 (permalink)
emptymind
San Diego California
 
Posts: 129 since Oct 2015
Thanks Given: 23
Thanks Received: 50

I like your psychology goals for the day

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  #323 (permalink)
 
SoftSoap's Avatar
 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: InteractiveBrokers
Trading: NQ
Posts: 594 since Aug 2015
Thanks Given: 347
Thanks Received: 1,227


Wow I didn't realize I didn't click "submit reply" on this one. Whoops.







First trade - Error

I took was a complete fat finger trade.

I was looking to set up a short and I always set up a short high up and then drag it down to an area that looks reasonable

However, this time I accidentally moved it below the price level so it auto filled me! I got out of it right away but it was right during the open so I ended up losing about 3 pts. Not the greatest way to start the day with a fat finger trade but you can't let it get to you.

No screenshots for this one but you can see it on the next trade.

Second trade taken - Short @ open setup

Profiles were looking bearish and my overall open sentiment was bearish so I looks for signs that we would have sellers stepping and and then got in at a reasonable price level










I think I got a bit greedy with moving my target. If I just left it at 5146 I would've gotten filled near the bottom of the day, oh well.

Trade grade – Ok
  • It may or may not have been part of my setup plans but at least aligned to my scenarios
  • Some signs were there
  • Decent (but not good) target and/or stop


Psychology goals for the day
  • 0 FOMO trades- Passed
  • 0 Emotional trades- Passed
  • Engage deliberate thinking in all trades- Passed
  • Do not get greedy with your trades- Failed
  • Abide by your trade management standard- Passed
  • Do not break any golden or silver risk management rules- Passed
  • Set alarms and walk away during non-critical periods. Make sure to be back for 330 potential ramp up though- Passed
  • Maximum of 3 trades today- Passed
  • All trades must be part of plan / scenarios / setups. Exception to this would be post earnings trade- Passed
  • Do not look at P&L- Passed
  • No trading while the market is flat- Passed


As a note, I will be out of trading office for a while here and won't trade until maybe next Tuesday although most likely Wednesday. I'm working on some time-sensitive matters right now which if they go through will tick off one of the major things on my 2016 Goals & Objectives.

See you later traders!

Yesterday's excellence is today's standard and tomorrow's mediocrity
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  #324 (permalink)
 
SoftSoap's Avatar
 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: InteractiveBrokers
Trading: NQ
Posts: 594 since Aug 2015
Thanks Given: 347
Thanks Received: 1,227


emptymind View Post
I like your psychology goals for the day

Thanks!
They are still a work-in-progress but have helped me focus on the things that have slowed me down in the past!

Cheers.

Yesterday's excellence is today's standard and tomorrow's mediocrity
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  #325 (permalink)
 
SoftSoap's Avatar
 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: InteractiveBrokers
Trading: NQ
Posts: 594 since Aug 2015
Thanks Given: 347
Thanks Received: 1,227

  • On Session was bullish
  • AAPL up almost 5% pre open on earnings yesterday
  • Mortgage applications came in much lower than expected
  • ADP employment came in much higher than expected
  • Range 22/42 ATR
  • FB up 1%
  • AMGN up 1%
  • NVDA up 1%
  • Banks are all nicely in the green
  • 14 day VA between 5110 and 5030
  • Record high at 5168.50
  • With AAPL's earnings yesterday we could establish new record highs today, so keep an eye on that

News
  • ADP Earnings pre open
  • 945- PMI Manufacturing Index
  • 10- ISM Manufacturing Index
  • 14- FOMC Announcement - No change expected
  • FB Earnings post close

Scenarios (all pre FOMC)
  1. Creeping bull day and establish new record highs (think of most days last week with just minor pullbacks)
  2. Pullback at open until we find a strong support zone, continue bull until all time highs but don't establish a new record,
  3. Open up until we hit all time highs, then continue bull rally until ~ ON low, ~5100, or possibly 5080
  4. Open up bull until ~ all time high, establish a new one but don't break the 75 mark. Trend bear after that until we find a strong support zone, and range between those 2 points

If FOMC doesn't surprise us and there are no negative news, we should continue bull rally post FOMC (after the volatility of course)

Setups I'll take today (all pre FOMC)


  1. ~5170 (Record High)
    • LF Short reversal
    • Stop behind 76 is ideal
    • Safe target is 5153, stretch is 5141, 3rd stretch is 5133 but guarantee 15 pts of profit and this requires a sentiment change
  2. ~5170 (Record High)
    • LF Long and break out
    • Stop behind 67 is ideal
    • Be careful about taking this on first contact
    • Do not aim for a target higher than 5196, even that might be too high so make sure you are very comfortable
    • Do not take a pre b-out setup
  3. ~5150
    • LF Short
    • Stop behind 53 is ideal
    • Safe target is 5133, stretch is 5126, be careful about a lower target than that unless sentiment changes
  4. ~5150
    • LF Long
    • Entry will be tough here, ideal stop is behind 5140 on a potential pullback
    • Safe target is 5163, stretch is 5168, 3rd stretch is 5173
    • We might pullback on first contact so keep that in mind when looking for entry point
  5. ~5120 (ON Low)
    • LF Long
    • Stop behind 5120 is ideal
    • Safe target is 5138, stretch is 5167, 3rd stretch 5158, 4th stretch is 5167 but guarantee 20-25 pts of profit to aim for it
  6. ~5100
    • LF Long
    • Stop behind 5095 is ideal
  7. ~5080
    • LF Long
    • Stop behind 5080 is ideal
  8. FOMC setup - Your typical FOMC setup
    • I have found that there's usually 3-4 opportunities during your typical high volatility FOMC announcement. 1 before the announcement, 1 as soon as the announcement comes up, and 1-2 once the dust settles and the fundamentals kick in
    • Keep an eye out for potential sup/res during this setup to gauge strength

Psychology goals for the day
  • 0 FOMO trades
  • 0 Emotional trades
  • Engage deliberate thinking in all trades
  • Do not get greedy with your trades
  • Abide by your trade management standard
  • Do not break any golden or silver risk management rules
  • Set alarms and walk away during non-critical periods. Be back for FOMC announcement though
  • Maximum of 4 trades today, 4th trade can only be taken if you would still be up 0.75% though
  • All trades must be part of plan / scenarios / setups. You have some room with the FOMC setup, don't abuse it
  • Do not look at P&L
  • No trading while the market is flat

Yesterday's excellence is today's standard and tomorrow's mediocrity
Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
  #326 (permalink)
 BoltTrader 
Phoenix + AZ/USA
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Trading: MES, MNQ, M2K, MYM and MGC
Posts: 532 since Jul 2014
Thanks Given: 2,481
Thanks Received: 831

Looking forward to following your journal!

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Thanked by:
  #327 (permalink)
 
SoftSoap's Avatar
 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: InteractiveBrokers
Trading: NQ
Posts: 594 since Aug 2015
Thanks Given: 347
Thanks Received: 1,227

Busier day today. Held a position after market closed which didn't work out for me the way I wanted it to.


First opportunity - Passed








Second opportunity - Taken

Felt good about passing up on the first setups so I was looking to be able to take a trade ~ ON low





I was comfortable with this setup but to be honest I wasn't so sure about my entry point. It ended up being a bad entry point and I just missed a good trade by a couple of ticks, oh well.

Trade grade – Ok
  • It may or may not have been part of my setup plans but at least aligned to my scenarios
  • Some signs were there
  • Decent (but not good) target and/or stop

Third opportunity - Taken

News setup, but I took it either about 15 seconds too late, or about 2 minutes too early. Either way, bad entry point and led to a bust.




Trade grade – Ok
  • It may or may not have been part of my setup plans but at least aligned to my scenarios
  • Some signs were there
  • Decent (but not good) target and/or stop

Fourth opportunity - Taken






Exit was @ 5139.25 which was my lowered stop after the market closed (had to create a new stop order)

I ended up taking some points off the market, but I got a bit greedy here. If I had just left my original target at the 49 mark, I would've gotten a target filled instead of a lowered stop. Oh well.

Trade grade – Ok
  • It may or may not have been part of my setup plans but at least aligned to my scenarios
  • Some signs were there
  • Decent (but not good) target and/or stop

Psychology goals for the day
  • 0 FOMO trades- Passed
  • 0 Emotional trades- Passed
  • Engage deliberate thinking in all trades- Passed
  • Do not get greedy with your trades- Failed
  • Abide by your trade management standard- Passed
  • Do not break any golden or silver risk management rules- Passed
  • Set alarms and walk away during non-critical periods. Be back for FOMC announcement though- Passed
  • Maximum of 4 trades today, 4th trade can only be taken if you would still be up 0.75% though- Passed
  • All trades must be part of plan / scenarios / setups. You have some room with the FOMC setup, don't abuse it- Passed
  • Do not look at P&L- Passed
  • No trading while the market is flat- Passed

See you tomorrow!

Yesterday's excellence is today's standard and tomorrow's mediocrity
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  #328 (permalink)
 
SoftSoap's Avatar
 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: InteractiveBrokers
Trading: NQ
Posts: 594 since Aug 2015
Thanks Given: 347
Thanks Received: 1,227


BoltTrader View Post
Looking forward to following your journal!

Thanks for following.
I hope you enjoy it!

Cheers!

Yesterday's excellence is today's standard and tomorrow's mediocrity
Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
  #329 (permalink)
 
SoftSoap's Avatar
 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: InteractiveBrokers
Trading: NQ
Posts: 594 since Aug 2015
Thanks Given: 347
Thanks Received: 1,227

  • ON session was balanced between ~5150 and ~5120
  • Daily range 28 / 42 ATR
  • Weekly range 75/123 ATR
  • 16 day VA between 5140 and 5030
  • 16 day VPOC @ ~5055
  • Volume @ 30k contracts which is higher than we've seen most of this year
  • Jobless claims came in better than expected
  • Productivity is slightly up, unit labor costs are down
  • No key news today
  • COST up 3%
  • BIIB up 10%
  • Banks in the red this morning
  • Earnings today - AMZN and AMGN

Scenarios
  1. Open bull until we find a resistance area either at ~60 or ~record highs, then range between that and the ON low
  2. Open bull until we find resistance at ~60, pullback and then move up and balance ~ record highs, potentially breaking new record
  3. Open bull until ~ record high, pullback and then continue strong bull rally and establish new record highs
  4. Open up bear until ~ ON low, then continue bull for the rest of the day
  5. Open up bear until ~ on low, pullback a bit and then trend bear for the rest of the day
  6. Open up bear until ~ on low, then move up until resistance zone and range between those 2 points
  7. Trend bear day

Setups I'll take today


  1. ~5170
    • LF Long
    • Break-out setup
    • Stop behind 5168 is ideal
    • Target will need to be managed more than usual so your trade management rules will come to play here
    • Do not get greedy with this
  2. ~5170
    • LF Short
    • Stop behind 75 is ideal
    • Safe target is ~5154, stretch is ~5143, 3rd stretch is 5133 but guarantee 15 pts of profit
  3. ~5155
    • LF Short
    • Stop behind 60 is a must
    • Safe target is ~5136, stretch is 5132, 3rd stretch is 5127
  4. ~5120
    • LF Long
    • Stop behind 20 is a must
    • Safe target is 5136, stretch is 5147, 3rd stretch is 5154 but guarantee 15 pts of profit to aim for it
  5. ~5120
    • LF Short
    • Break down
    • Stop behind 25 is ideal
    • Safe target is 5106
    • Watch the 10 area closely as you might need to exit if we see reversal signs there
    • There may not be much opportunity here, so bear sentiment is a must
  6. ~5100
    • LF Long
    • Stop behind 90 is ideal but tough to get, behind 95 is a must
    • Safe target is 5117, stretch is 24, there's more if the reversal is strong but follow trade management rules

Somewhere in between all of this we have 2 pullback setups. One for scenario # 2/3 and one for scenario 5

Psychology goals for the day
  • 0 FOMO trades
  • 0 Emotional trades
  • Engage deliberate thinking in all trades
  • Do not get greedy with your trades
  • Abide by your trade management standard
  • Do not break any golden or silver risk management rules
  • Set alarms and walk away during non-critical periods. Make sure to be back for amazon earnings
  • Maximum of 3 trades today
  • All trades must be part of plan / scenarios / setups. Exception to this would be an amazon earnings trade
  • Do not look at P&L
  • No trading while the market is flat

Yesterday's excellence is today's standard and tomorrow's mediocrity
Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
  #330 (permalink)
 
SoftSoap's Avatar
 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: InteractiveBrokers
Trading: NQ
Posts: 594 since Aug 2015
Thanks Given: 347
Thanks Received: 1,227


It was my wife's birthday and I held a trade past the closing so I wasn't able to post this yesterday.



Sometimes you miss the line by an inch, sometimes by a mile. Today it was a matter of ticks for me.
1 trade taken today and no winners. There was a trade I wanted to get into that I just missed by 3 ticks which would've been a calm winner. Oh well!


First trade opportunity - Just missed


Observing signs of entry


Market was moving really fast and I wasn't able to get in fast enough, just missed it



Second trade opportunity


This was an earnings trade. Amazon came in with lower revenue but better EPS. I expected market to drop slightly and then pick up after so I bought on what seemed like the dip.




I was wrong though.

Trade grade - Good
  • It was in the plan
  • Observed signs of entry
  • Good target and stop

Psychology goals for the day
  • 0 FOMO trades- Passed
  • 0 Emotional trades- Passed
  • Engage deliberate thinking in all trades- Passed
  • Do not get greedy with your trades- Passed
  • Abide by your trade management standard- Passed
  • Do not break any golden or silver risk management rules- Passed
  • Set alarms and walk away during non-critical periods. Make sure to be back for amazon earnings- Passed
  • Maximum of 3 trades today- Passed
  • All trades must be part of plan / scenarios / setups. Exception to this would be an amazon earnings trade- Passed
  • Do not look at P&L- Passed
  • No trading while the market is flat- Passed

Yesterday's excellence is today's standard and tomorrow's mediocrity
Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
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Last Updated on September 4, 2017


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