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SoftSoap's NQ Journey - from SoftSoap to SoftGold


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SoftSoap's NQ Journey - from SoftSoap to SoftGold

  #271 (permalink)
 
SoftSoap's Avatar
 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: InteractiveBrokers
Trading: NQ
Posts: 594 since Aug 2015
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Thanks Received: 1,227


KahunaDog View Post
A defense or counter attack in something like a sport in response can be done before, during or after.
There are other subtleties, but those are the basics in almost anything and good reference points to start with.
I recognized it in part in a doctors office where there was a sign for foreigners with a happy face(10)to crying face(1), with other faces in between.


For Trading.
Breaking grading down to Before, During, After... with grades of 1to10 is a decent way to do it than grading something 1x using horrible, weak, average, good and super.

I would consider grading
Technical 1 to 10
*Entry - timing, placement
*Exit - ^
Mental using 1-10 with notes you could grade your composure, confidence or anything else you feel of merit to track
*Before -
*During -
*After -
1 could be you felt horrible and scared with 10 being your percieved ideal state.




Note these grades are relative, but give you a piece to anchor off of and reflect.

Thanks for this. You've given me something to think about. I'll have to get back to you as I figure out what would be important for me to rank and under what scale.

Cheers.

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  #272 (permalink)
 
KahunaDog's Avatar
 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
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Thinking about this more you could also consider dividing all your grading criteria into 100.
After each trade add all your points up and get a score over 100.

Some other good ideas are different journals like Tradervue, Edgewonk, s5 analyzer.

Fall Seven Get Up Eight
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  #273 (permalink)
 
SoftSoap's Avatar
 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: InteractiveBrokers
Trading: NQ
Posts: 594 since Aug 2015
Thanks Given: 347
Thanks Received: 1,227


Overview of the week

Still in a mental rut. I think it's a combination of a number of things and I don't want to get into it too much because most of them are outside of trading. They just happen to impact my trading and my overall mentality. I think an end of year break will help with that.

Also, I keep telling myself to have an open mind so not be biased, but that's just the conscious part of me talking. Unconsciously I have a bearish bias, none of this makes sense. We are near all-time highs, we are most likely about to have the first interest rate increase in years, and we are still climbing higher. This seems so artificial and inflated to me so I'm looking for signs of a big failure in the near future but we don't get it. We even had some OTF activity on Wednesday that pushed the price way up, just makes no sense to me. I need to just be comfortable with things not making sense to me, and just trade what I see. Easier said than done

In case you were wondering, I didn't trade on Friday. I didn't do any prep or anything like that but I did set a short ~ 4,900 area just because it's too good of a trade near the end of the week to pass up. I did not get filled though.

Goals set for this week
  1. Update your expectations around risk management rules, grading trades, and managing trades by Monday- Passed
  2. Complete end of month review by Tuesday- Failed, I have all the numbers and all of that done, I just need to write it up and I'll be honest I've been lazy
  3. Journal every day- Failed. I didn't trade every day but I still could've journalled.

I think I'm going to push the end of month review for after this upcoming week. It takes a long time to write up and analyze everything and my mind is focused on other things right now.

The Numbers
P&L: -0.95%
Trades taken: 12
Win%: 33%
Expectancy: -14.58
Payoff Ratio: 1.5

These numbers don't look that abnormal, but the payoff ratio is much lower than what I usually get and a big reason as to why I ended in the red this week. It's not that I was aiming for smaller wins, it's that the wins I expected to get, never got filled and only my positive stops were filled. Not the greatest, but that happened 4 times this week. If I didn't move my stops up they all would've been net losses, and that would've made these numbers worse. So I gotta be happy for that. Also this is less than 1% loss, I can move on

Out of those trades
Excellent trades: 0
Good trades: 1
Ok trades: 9
Bad trades: 1
Really bad trades: 1

Looking at this I only had 1 bad and 1 really bad trades but I feel like I performed much worse. The numbers state that I had a bad read on the market this week, it's going to happen. I shouldn't let it get to me and next week should be a busy week so I gotta get my head back in the game!


Yesterday's excellence is today's standard and tomorrow's mediocrity
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  #274 (permalink)
 
SoftSoap's Avatar
 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: InteractiveBrokers
Trading: NQ
Posts: 594 since Aug 2015
Thanks Given: 347
Thanks Received: 1,227

  • 6 straight days of bull moves
  • 54/58 ATR pre open
  • We hit 4917 at the Sunday open, not quite the all time high of 4919.50
  • RTH all-time high still @ 4907.50
  • We then trended bear pretty hard for ~50 pts
  • We hit ON low of 4863 and are now sitting ~ 4876
  • Still within long term balance of 4919.50 and 4550, will we break out of balance this week?
  • No news today
  • CHTR up 1.5%
  • REGN up 4%
  • CL up 4% this morning on non-OPEC production cut deal
  • I've got a trade going from ON last night that almost hit my stop (1 tick away), so I'm going to hold it expecting the bear trend to continue. My hypothesis has not been disproved yet

Scenarios
  1. Continue bear run, beat ON low and find some strong support, trend bull but don't beat 4900
  2. Continue bear run, can't break ON low and range for the rest of the day
  3. Start up bull, hit 4900 and then trend bear for the rest of the day
  4. Start up bull, hit 4900 and trend bear until we find a resistance area, then range between those 2 points
  5. Continue bear until a very strong support area, then continue the bull run and hit new RTH high, potentially even higher
  6. Bear trend day

Setups I'll take


  1. ~4920 (all time high)
    • LF Short
    • Stop behind 4920 is nice
    • Safe target is 4901, 2nd is 4883
  2. ~4900
    • LF Short
    • Stop behind 4890 is a must, behind 4908 is ideal
    • Safe target is 4883, stretch is 4876, 3rd stretch is 4862
  3. ~4880
    • LF Short
    • You are looking for reversal signs
    • Signs that we are in a pullback but bear trend is continuing
    • Stop behind 4880 is a must
    • Safe target is 4861, stretch target is 4856, 3rd stretch is 4851, 4th stretch is 4841 but guarantee 15 points of profit to aim for it
  4. ~4880
    • LF Long
    • Stop behind 4875 is ideal
    • You are looking for a RTH break out
    • Safe target is 4894, stretch is 4898, 3rd stretch is 4904
  5. ~4860 (ON Low)
    • LF Long
    • You are looking for signs that we won't break the ON low, strong reveresal signs
    • Stop behind 4855 is ideal
    • Safe target is 4874, stretch is 4878, 3rd stretch is 4894
    • Signs for a pullback is not enough for entry
  6. ~4850
    • LF Long
    • You are looking for reversal signs
    • Stop behind 4845 is ideal
    • Safe target is 4869, stretch is 4874, 3rd stretch is 4878, 4th stretch is 4893 but guarantee 20 points of profit to go for it
  7. ~4850
    • LF pre break down
    • You are expecting the 4840 area to break
    • ONLY take this setup if news is very negative and the fundamentals will trump any support areas
    • Stop behind 4855 is ideal
    • You would only target below the 40 area, potentially 4831 or 4826
  8. ~4840
    • LF Long
    • You are looking for reversal signs
    • Stop behind 4835 is ideal, but might not be likely
    • Safe target is 4853, stretch is 4863, 3rd stretch is 4873
  9. ~4840
    • LF Short
    • Continued break down
    • Stop behind 4845 is ideal
    • DO NOT enter this preemptively unless news is very negative

Psychology goals for the day
  • 0 FOMO trades
  • 0 Emotional trades
  • Engage deliberate thinking in all trade
  • Do not get in with any market orders, be patient today and let the market come to you
  • 2-3 trades, only take a 4th if you have guaranteed 1% of profit
  • Do not get greedy
  • Stick to your trade management rules
  • Set alarms and walk away after the first 30 minutes of the session


Yesterday's excellence is today's standard and tomorrow's mediocrity
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  #275 (permalink)
 
SoftSoap's Avatar
 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: InteractiveBrokers
Trading: NQ
Posts: 594 since Aug 2015
Thanks Given: 347
Thanks Received: 1,227

A bit late on this as I had to leave my house early morning, but I was able to get 2 good trades in.

First trade taken

First I kept my trade from the ON session. It went my way about 8 points so I moved my stop up, not quite to guarantee a profit but to only take ~1.5 pt of a loss if the market turned around on me. This was a good decision as the market moved back up.





Trade grade – Excellent
  • It was in the plan
  • Observed signs of entry
  • Good target and stop
  • Everything a good trade has but also adapted to the market either by modifying entry for better potential, and exited early/late depending on the market conditions

Yes this was a loss, but it fits the criteria for an 'excellent' trade

Second trade taken


The second trade I took the 4880 pullback setup and I got a fantastic entry at 4882.25, I was very patient and I was rewarded for it.








Target @ 4857.50 was filled.

Trade grade - Good
  • It was in the plan
  • Observed signs of entry
  • Good target and stop

End of day screenshot



Psychology goals
  • 0 FOMO trades- Passed
  • 0 Emotional trades- Passed
  • Engage deliberate thinking in all trades- Passed
  • Do not get in with any market orders, be patient today and let the market come to you- Passed
  • 2-3 trades, only take a 4th if you have guaranteed 1% of profit- Passed
  • Do not get greedy- Passed
  • Stick to your trade management rules- Passed
  • Set alarms and walk away after the first 30 minutes of the session- Passed

Passed everything, that's the way to go.
See you tomorrow!

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  #276 (permalink)
 
SoftSoap's Avatar
 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: InteractiveBrokers
Trading: NQ
Posts: 594 since Aug 2015
Thanks Given: 347
Thanks Received: 1,227

  • Relatively small bull move over night, about 26 points up
  • Less than 200K volume yesterday
  • Currently @ 29/56 ATR
  • Was yesterday a pullback on the longer term picture? or a sign of things to come?
  • We are near the top of the 4 month balance area, will we break through today?
  • RTH high @ 4907.50
  • All time high @ 4919.50
  • No news today
Scenarios
  1. Move down until market finds some support, then move up to ~4900 and potentially hit new RTH record, trend bear after that
  2. Move up until ~4900, trend bear after that
  3. Move up to ~4900, trend to ~4880, ~4860 or a strong support area, then move bull after that
  4. Move bear until ~4860, pullback a bit and then move down to ~4840, rally bull after that
  5. Range day between ~4900 and ~4880
  6. Bear trend day
  7. Move to ~4900, then pulls back a bit until support zone, then we move up and break the ~4900 on 2nd contact, we make new RTH highs easy and trend to ~4920, we don't break new all-time highs
  8. Creeping bull trend day, low range RTH

Setups I'll take today


  1. ~4920 (all time high)
    • LF Short
    • Look for reversal or exhaustion signs - be careful of a bull trend day
    • Stop behind 4820 is nice, behind 4825 is ideal
    • Safe target is 4912, stretch is 4903, 3rd stretch is 4892, 4th stretch is 4883 but guarantee 20 points of profit to aim for it
  2. ~4808 (RTH all time high)
    • LF Short
    • Stop behind 4910 is a must
    • Careful when taking this setup, you don't want to run into a scenario where you short 4900, 4910, and 4920, yet we have a bull trend day
  3. ~4900
    • LF Short
    • You are looking for 24hr exhaustion or RTH reversal signs
    • Stop behind 4900 is a must, behind 4908 is ideal
    • Safe target is 4883, stretch is 4876, 3rd stretch is 4862
  4. ~4880
    • LF Short
    • You are looking for strong bear signs
    • If we are coming up to this from the short side, you are looking for reversal signs
    • Stop behind 4885 ios ideal
    • Safe target is 4863, stretch is 4856, 3rd stretch is 4852, 4th stretch is 4842 but guarantee 18 pts of profit to aim for it
  5. ~4880
    • LF Long
    • Stop behind 4875 is ideal
    • You are looking for signs that this is a strong support zone, or if we are coming to this from the down side, you are looking for break out signs
    • Safe target is 4894, stretch is 4898, 3rd stretch is 4904
    • Watch the ON high area of ~ 4888 for any potential reversal signs and be ready to exit
  6. ~4855
    • LF Long
    • You are looking for reversal signs
    • Entry here will be tricky, so keep that in mind and be careful
    • Stop behind 4848 is ideal
    • Safe target is 4868, stretch is 4874, 3rd stretch is 4878
  7. ~4840
    • LF Long
    • You are looking for reversal signs
    • Stop behind 4835 is ideal, but might not be likely
    • Safe target is 4853, stretch is 4863, 3rd stretch is 4873
  8. ~4840
    • LF Short
    • Continued break down
    • Stop behind 4845 is ideal
    • DO NOT enter this preemptively unless news is very negative

Psychology goals for the day
  • 0 FOMO trades
  • 0 Emotional trades
  • Engage deliberate thinking in all trade
  • Do not get in with any market orders, be patient today and let the market come to you
  • 2-3 trades, only take a 4th if you have guaranteed 1% of profit
  • Do not get greedy
  • Stick to your trade management rules
  • Set alarms and walk away after the first 30 minutes of the session

Yesterday's excellence is today's standard and tomorrow's mediocrity
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  #277 (permalink)
 
SoftSoap's Avatar
 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: InteractiveBrokers
Trading: NQ
Posts: 594 since Aug 2015
Thanks Given: 347
Thanks Received: 1,227

Placeholder, adding this later today

Yesterday's excellence is today's standard and tomorrow's mediocrity
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  #278 (permalink)
 
SoftSoap's Avatar
 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: InteractiveBrokers
Trading: NQ
Posts: 594 since Aug 2015
Thanks Given: 347
Thanks Received: 1,227

Hey guys,

Decided to take a bit of an impromptu break from journaling. I don't want to make any excuses so I'll admit I was lazy. I still did most of my prep and my tracking and all of that, I just didn't feel like writing on FIO these last few days. It's nothing personal, I feel I might just be a bit burnt out.

I have a bunch of posts mostly written that I just never finished, and I kinda gave up on them



Last week I was very happy with my performance 4/5 days. The only day I didn't do well psychology-wise was the FOMC day, I forced too many trades.

As for next week, it looks like news-wise we are pretty done until Thursday, and then nothing for the rest of the year. I think I might not be day trading for the rest of the year, but I might take some swing trades here and there. We will see.

However, I have a big to-do list of things I want to do to review this year, as well as prepare for next, so I'll be working on those.

But journal entries will be lower than normal until next year.

Cheers!

Yesterday's excellence is today's standard and tomorrow's mediocrity
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  #279 (permalink)
 
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 Big Mike 
Manta, Ecuador
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Enjoy some time with your family this holiday. Trading and FIO will be there when you return

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  #280 (permalink)
 
SoftSoap's Avatar
 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: InteractiveBrokers
Trading: NQ
Posts: 594 since Aug 2015
Thanks Given: 347
Thanks Received: 1,227



Big Mike View Post
Enjoy some time with your family this holiday. Trading and FIO will be there when you return

Sent using the NexusFi mobile app

Thanks Mike, you as well.

Cheers.

Yesterday's excellence is today's standard and tomorrow's mediocrity
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