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NapIvan's TST Combine Journal
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NapIvan's TST Combine Journal

  #21 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Pilisvörösvár
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: Crude Oil
 
Posts: 38 since Apr 2016
Thanks: 22 given, 21 received

My plan

I made my first plan. This video helped to me:
Building Your Trading Plan - CME Group


Goals
My goal is to trade successfully and develop my skills to take a part in TST Combine challange.

What contract i trade
Crude Oil, 1 contract/trade

The hours i will trade
London open: 9:00am CEST ( 2:00am CDT) - 11:30 CEST (4:30am CDT)
Chicago early morning: 15:00pm CEST (8:00am CDT) - 16:00pm CEST ( 9:00am CDT)

To do before the trading day
Find S/R zones, if i can't identify well, then i draw fibo based on previously day high and low. Mark the pivot zones. Mark the confluences.
Review previously day's setups
Read my plan

Trade setups
Two type of setups in this plan:
- pullback: 377 EMA in trend direction (at least M15 trend direction ), wait for a pullback at a zone, and then wait for color changing of the faster William R% EMA, then jump in, if the TP rules are OK.
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- reversal: if i show nice reversal pattern on M15, i try to trade the trend reversal. Better is in the trend direction of H4, but not necessary.
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Loss limit / trade, loss limit / day
8 tick / trade, 24 tick / day

TP rule
Minimal R/R: Calculated with 50 tick / week target, 3 trade / day, near 50% losing trades ->
total 15 trades, 8 winning, 7 losing. Commission is 0.5 tick/trade.
8*x*8 - 7*8 - 15*0,5 = 50,
x = 1,77 ~ 1,8
Minimum R/R is 1,8 (in ticks 14,4 -> 15 ticks). No open trade when there is S/R before the TP.

Max trades / day
I trade max 5 times daily.

Max consecutive losses
after 3 i'm out for the day.

Weekly profit target
50 ticks / $500

Trading size modifications
No, in this stage i trade one contract. But, if i opened a trade before, and i can reenter an additional position based on my trading plan, i will open it. The average risk must be over zero.

Moving SL
If the position is in profit, i move the SL to zero, when the profit reached 10 ticks. In good trend, i try to hold the position longer and move the SL to recent high/low on the 150 Volume chart.

After trading:
I collect my trades, and analyse with a simple evaluation form, where i can give 1, 0, -1 value for some aspects of the trades. Evening or on next day i will post my trades.
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I step back, and make 2 hours pause when i feel one of these emotions:
  1. I must trade anyway!!
  2. I lost huge money, i put all of my money!!!
  3. I'm a superstar trader, i can knock out a tiger!!!!


Last edited by ivanhoewithbow; August 22nd, 2016 at 01:12 AM.
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  #22 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Pilisvörösvár
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: Crude Oil
 
Posts: 38 since Apr 2016
Thanks: 22 given, 21 received

Today no trading, no connected my NJ to Rithmic. I try to figure out, what is wrong.

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  #23 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
cansas
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: ninja
Favorite Futures: stock
 
Posts: 1 since Jan 2015
Thanks: 20 given, 1 received


hello Ivan,

I will closely follow this thread.
my style is like your....good luck

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  #24 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Pilisvörösvár
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: Crude Oil
 
Posts: 38 since Apr 2016
Thanks: 22 given, 21 received


Pintinhofx View Post
hello Ivan,

I will closely follow this thread.
my style is like your....good luck

Thank You!
In this week i take a holiday, and i start again the journal in the next week.

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  #25 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Pilisvörösvár
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: Crude Oil
 
Posts: 38 since Apr 2016
Thanks: 22 given, 21 received

Today i had time to start trading. I opened 4 positions.
Morning trade ideas:
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#1
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#2,3
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#4
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I felt good today in trade, but i think, i need more independence from the single trades, and need to focus the process better. I feel whole drama always then i open trade

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  #26 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Pilisvörösvár
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: Crude Oil
 
Posts: 38 since Apr 2016
Thanks: 22 given, 21 received

Today i broke my trading rules, i traded one after 3 losing trades. I tried to fix my previously fails.
I was very stupid in the 3 losing trades; i don't know why i forced the long positions against my trading strategy. These was emotional actions, i try to avoid these next time!

Total -10 ticks. Tomorrow i post my today's trades.

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  #27 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Pilisvörösvár
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: Crude Oil
 
Posts: 38 since Apr 2016
Thanks: 22 given, 21 received

My prev. morning tips:
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Trade 1:

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trades 2,3, 4 and 5.

I forced the long because i was in a trading room, and an another trader's system said: go long. I left my system, and it was very stupid decision. 3 losing trades.

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  #28 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Pilisvörösvár
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: Crude Oil
 
Posts: 38 since Apr 2016
Thanks: 22 given, 21 received

Ahh, i'm so far from a successfully TST Combine... Conscious incompetence...
Today i made new mistakes, not like the yesterday's.
My TP-s was wrong, I would have liked to achieve more profit, and i not closed the trade in time.

Morning chart drawing:
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Trade #1:

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Trade #2

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Trade #3

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Last edited by ivanhoewithbow; August 30th, 2016 at 12:47 PM.
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  #29 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Pilisvörösvár
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: Crude Oil
 
Posts: 38 since Apr 2016
Thanks: 22 given, 21 received

Detailed pullback setup

I will to detail the perfect pullback setup in my system, because I thinking too much before i open a trade. So I try simplify, what I search for.

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The 377 tich chart is my middle term trend chart, where i watch the trend. The circled point is the perfect pull back for me: the William R%'s EMA is blue (long direction), and the indicator line not break trough the EMA in the pullback -> strong movement.
In this time, on my timing frame (150 volume chart) the William R% ema change color to purple, and then back to blue, and the indicator line break the -50, and back -> the pullback size is enough deep.


Last edited by ivanhoewithbow; August 31st, 2016 at 01:03 PM.
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  #30 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Pilisvörösvár
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: Crude Oil
 
Posts: 38 since Apr 2016
Thanks: 22 given, 21 received


Two trades, with tight tp-s. (31th august)

My breakfast draft:
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Trade #1:
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Trade #2
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