Wins, Losses, Good strategy, Bad strategy.

kevinkdog · February 2nd, 2016, 11:16 AM

DavidBaxter

I'm game, I'll test it. I have a few more questions if you don't mind. I do generally feel like my strategy has a lot of guesswork factors in it.

could you share with me your edge? do you trade in a similar fashion and minimized risk in a certain way? TA? DOM levels? not trading news? Trading news? only trading start or end of particular sessions?

Another issue for me is that I haven't yet stared at a DOM long enough to see when levels are actually levels and not just a group of traders trying to make that level looks strong, until the market gets there and they remove all their orders... I've only read and heard about those situations.
So for me to state where a good entrance is on the DOM, with that in mind, would be guesswork as well.

anyways thanks for pushing me in the right direction!

I trade totally different than you are proposing. I create automated strategies, and just let them trade. Each one has a simple, but proven edge - I have validated each strategy thru a multi step process I use, and each strategy has a long term positive expectancy.

For example, if the close is greater than the close five bars ago, that might be a good edge to initiate a trade (of course, you have to test it, with exits, etc).

Testing is the key, eliminating guesswork where you can.

February 7th, 2016, 08:28 AM

kevinkdog

An edge might be possible from taking that theory, putting detail behind it, historically evaluating it, and determining that it has long term positive expectancy.

How many trades do you recommend for evaluating expectancy?

kevinkdog · February 7th, 2016, 09:24 AM

solotrader

How many trades do you recommend for evaluating expectancy?

Depends how many rules you have.

Think hundreds to thousands, not 10 or 20.

Wins, Losses, Good strategy, Bad strategy.

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Wins, Losses, Good strategy, Bad strategy.