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1004:20 Short 1, +5T Chicken exit, should have let let the -9/+20 trade plan (s/l and tgt) play out.
The trade started a fair way in the trend and I think that was affecting my hudgement. I tend to either anticipate a trend change (my perma-fader tendency) or wait and wait and wait and enter late. Too soon or too late.
0944:22, short 1, +1T
As you can see in the Delta 128V (left) chart, there was a shooting star, a good reversal candle. In the Delta 32V (right) chart, I got out during the making of a fat candle, meaning there was a lot of volume. PA was oscillating up and down a lot and I got spooked and exited. In the end the move did not go 20 ticks (only 18), but still I could have stayed in it and gone to BE once it was clear MFE had gone past, say, +11 or more.
0730:05, short 1, +3T
PA was in consolidation. Then at about 07825 it started a down trend but didn't break out of the range until about the time I entered the trade (short). I enterd at the end of a 6 tick bar which is indication of bids pulling back. Location was only fair. Structure was poor. A group of 0 tick bars with a long bar would be better. The exit was a chicken out. MFE was +10 which allows for s/l to go to BE. If I had left the ATM alone the +20T target would have been hit withing 5 minutes. So this was less than ideal modification to the target.
1036:57 Long 1, +6T
So there was a swing high at 26.49 from 1020 and a re-touch of the LOD 26.22 at at 1024. At 1036 there were 4 flat line bars but no breakout bar immediately after, although there was a big down bar a couple bars later which I almost took. But then price immediately reversed upward and then there were 2 flat line bars right at resistance, then an up bar so I entered. LOC (location) good. STRUC (structure) fair. Exit was fair. Kinda chicken. I could have left the ATM (+20/-9) alone and I would have taken +20. MAE would have been -7, which is a fair amount, pretty close to the s/l.
0850:45 Long 1, -9 ticks
I had a resistance line at 29.81 that I figured, if broken, would be the beginning of a breakout to the upside. Well PA did move up but only 4 ticks. Then I watched PA go down the "full boat" of my ATM (-9 ticks). CD peaked when PA peaked and PA dropped a little while CD oscillated back and forth. There was no "mistake" other than to decide to hold out in the hopes that PA would recover. As can be seen from both charts PA was going sideways with a 20T range or so. And this being Presidents Day, I probably should haveeither stayed out of the market or not expected breakouts. A reversion strategy was probably the order of the day. What could I have done? At the start I could have characterized the day thus far. It would have been sideways with low volatility. Scalping 2-4 ticks probably was the order of the day.