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Nikko's journal, forex and european equities
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Nikko's journal, forex and european equities

  #1 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
paris/france
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: other
Favorite Futures: EU, AU, CAC, STOXX, DAX
 
Posts: 23 since Feb 2014
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Nikko's journal, forex and european equities

Hi

I trade mainly Aud/Usd, Eur/Usd and CAC (french stock market)

I try to make 1 or 2 short term trade (intraday) a day and some swing trades (few days, rarely week) when opportunity arise.

I look to place my short term trade mostly in the morning (europe time) or after the new york open volatily cooled down.

I trade aud and euro looking at the different correlated pairs and cac looking at dax and stoxx in the morning and spx in the afternoon.

My method is to identify potential inflexion zone, enter with minimum or without price confirmation for the short term trade and with it for the swing trades.

I apply an all in/scale out execution for intraday and for my swing trade I scale out and sometime add after this if the trade continues my way.

I'll try to post all my trade ideas and real trade here from the start of next week.


Last edited by nikko; August 28th, 2015 at 06:55 AM.
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  #2 (permalink)
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  #3 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
paris/france
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Favorite Futures: EU, AU, CAC, STOXX, DAX
 
Posts: 23 since Feb 2014
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Plan for the start of the week


News heavy week for forex : rba and gdp for aud, ecb for euro and nfp to end the week

I would like to get short cac or dax to play a correction ahead of ecb, long euro is the same trade so I'll enter on wichever offer the best set up

And maybe long aud around 7090 with rba and before gdp

dax and cac seems to be already turning down, first support on dax is around 10090 for me

first trade of the week (short term): long euro around 1.1215 targeting 1.1225, 1.1235 at first

edit : first target hit scale out 1/4 here for 9,5 pips and adjusting SL ; I may adjust 2nd target
out at 1.1210 for a smallish loss counting the scale out, price action too slow and not convincing


Last edited by nikko; August 31st, 2015 at 08:07 AM.
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  #4 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
paris/france
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Favorite Futures: EU, AU, CAC, STOXX, DAX
 
Posts: 23 since Feb 2014
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2 nd trade of the day : short cac at 4658

took off 1/4 for 17 pts ; 2nd target at 4634 if we get there

I tried to attach pictures but apparently can't do it yet, will when when my post number will allow it

2nd target hit for 24 pts, took 1/2 off, open target on the last 1/4

stopped at breakeven on the remaining 1/4

Attached Thumbnails
Nikko's journal, forex and european equities-cac-3108.png  

Last edited by nikko; August 31st, 2015 at 01:16 PM.
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  #5 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
paris/france
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: other
Favorite Futures: EU, AU, CAC, STOXX, DAX
 
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tuesday sept 1st

trade ideas to start the week (short indexes, long euro and long aud near 7090) were good.

couldn't bank on the euro idea as the moov start later yesterday than I thought,
first hurdle is around 1.13 in my view and I might short it this morning to play a pullback

for indexes, had a nice intraday trade yesterday but there is more room to the downside imo,
4590/75 cac, 10000/1060 dax, 3225/3200 stoxx could be seen
long from these zones if reached seems a decent idea

aud long worked good, it's already in the first resistance zone and with gdp later, it's a guessing game for now, could as well go to 0.72 than break the lows

edit : preopen more violent than I thought, only dax is holding the zone I had in mind, but with euro at resistance I still believe indexes should bounce from here


Last edited by nikko; September 1st, 2015 at 03:33 AM.
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  #6 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
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I couldn't find any decent set up to enter short on euro this morning,

will look for it this afternoon as I think pullback is not done yet, but won't rush it and I may wait for a buying opportunity lower depending on how the start of afternoon plays out

pretty much the same on indexes, too messy for me this morning waiting for clearer set ups

edit : no trade today except a few scalps, AUD should make a decent bounce from the 7020/6980 zone but I will be sleeping during gdp release so I will see that tomorrow


Last edited by nikko; September 1st, 2015 at 01:53 PM.
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  #7 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
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wednesday 09/02

hello

finally I was up for the aud trade,
long at 0.7006, scaled out 1/4 at asian session high for 27 pips, main target is 7047, if reached it could run higher after a pull back

for european session 1.1220 seems interesting on euro for longs if it gets there

edit : 0.7047 hit I took 1/2 off for 41 pips, should pullback from here or from 0.7067 area
stopped at breakeven on the remaining 1/4

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Last edited by nikko; September 2nd, 2015 at 06:54 AM.
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  #8 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
paris/france
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Favorite Futures: EU, AU, CAC, STOXX, DAX
 
Posts: 23 since Feb 2014
Thanks: 0 given, 1 received

thursday 09/03

hello

first trade of the day : long euro at 1.1220 as it is the buying zone I have in mind for the last 2 days,
only 1/2 size as I rather be careful on a draghi day
1 st target is at 1.1247 but could be adjusted depending on price action around PMI in few minutes

edit : action is so slow...I took off 1/2 for 20 pips and will probably cut it all before draghi if it doesn't accelerate

stopped for a 22 pips loss after a little slippage, so more or less a breakeven trade, it was stupid to stay in the trade even with reduced position, I should have cut it before ecb press conference as I planned.


Last edited by nikko; September 3rd, 2015 at 09:51 AM.
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  #9 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
paris/france
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: other
Favorite Futures: EU, AU, CAC, STOXX, DAX
 
Posts: 23 since Feb 2014
Thanks: 0 given, 1 received

friday 09/04

hello

nfp day, the morning is usually pretty calm
but AU has a capacity to moove until the release, usually up to get smashed if nfp is good and opposite on a nfp miss.
Of course it's a little more complicated, it would be too long to explain but I can assure you there is a part of truth in it,

first trade of the day long AUD at 0.6972

looking at NZDUSD I'm not sure that the pullback from 0.6985 is done yet but it's still a decent set up

took off 1/4 for 7 pips (as usual first target to reduce risk)

next levels on the way up are around 0.6989 and 0.6995 I could adjust it depending on PA

edit : as it doesn't break the 0.6088 level I took off another 1/4 for 15 pips, still targeting 0.6995 area before the NFP release, trade closed for 20 pips at 0.6991 2 minutes before release

NB : as nobody interact I'm not sure if posting graphs is of any interest ?


Last edited by nikko; September 4th, 2015 at 09:29 AM.
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  #10 (permalink)
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nikko View Post
NB : as nobody interact I'm not sure if posting graphs is of any interest ?

Of course it's interesting, even it's just for you when you're reviewing your journal.

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