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TimendaGain Trade Journal
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TimendaGain Trade Journal

  #11 (permalink)
Elite Member
New York, NY
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker/Data: NinjaTrader
Favorite Futures: ES
 
Posts: 779 since Nov 2010
Thanks: 135 given, 208 received

Looking to get long near a test of the open. Resting order there just above high volume node.

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  #12 (permalink)
Elite Member
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Futures Experience: Beginner
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Posts: 779 since Nov 2010
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going to move this order down to a gap fill level. My reason for doing this is the high swing ( labeled 151 ticks ) is too close, hence not enough room to run up without being challenged by that level.

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  #13 (permalink)
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Market runs up without me and is now challenging the ONH @ 1968.75.

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Prior to this move up and while dipping I noticed that crude oil had risen a bit. I didn't understand why equities didn't also rally with that given the correlation I pointed out at the beginning of the day. I dismissed the idea that equities and oil should travel in lock step fashion and instead decided that what the market was telling me is that small non-correlated moves can certainly exist ... I should not trade the ES as if it's crude.
Then crude rose more and equities followed. C'est lat vie!


Last edited by timendaGain; September 3rd, 2015 at 11:45 AM.
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  #14 (permalink)
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Extended rally has marked a peak. Oil as well. I have not been able to catch the move with a limit order. With the rally as extended as it is and with the morning session nearing an end, I'm no longer trying to catch it.

If I could watch the market all day I would have no orders standing but since I can not, I've placed resting orders at a challenge of the open.

The 1962 area also looks good. higher volume on profile there.

Edit: we got down to the 62 area but did so in a slow and orderly fassion. That's not encouraging me that it will bounce. Maintaining resting orders near open for now.


Last edited by timendaGain; September 3rd, 2015 at 12:56 PM.
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  #15 (permalink)
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just missed then bounced so i'm cancelling. Edit: there was a little bit of buying that created a bounce above my entry level.

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Last edited by timendaGain; September 3rd, 2015 at 09:06 PM.
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  #16 (permalink)
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entered long here on my limit @2049.75. I also entered short on my other sim account where the target and stop are reversed from this one.

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Edit: took profits and closed the trade @ 1953.75


Last edited by timendaGain; September 4th, 2015 at 11:06 AM.
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  #17 (permalink)
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Now I'm seeing the volume that traded above us as resistance. I setup a short near the rth daily vwap. Also this level is the 2nd highest daily volume cluster.

Correlated USDYEN and Crude continue to trend downward this afternoon.
Uncorrelated EURUSD is reversing morning selloff and starting to go up.
All well for short side...

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Last edited by timendaGain; September 3rd, 2015 at 02:37 PM.
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  #18 (permalink)
Elite Member
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Thanks: 135 given, 208 received

I'm resisting the temtation to short right here and now...

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  #19 (permalink)
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Futures Experience: Beginner
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Posts: 779 since Nov 2010
Thanks: 135 given, 208 received

Price, Weeky VWAP and ONL all colliding here. The sell off into this level is too orderly and methodical for me to consider playing a bounce.... so far. But I'm watching.

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  #20 (permalink)
Elite Member
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Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
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Favorite Futures: ES
 
Posts: 779 since Nov 2010
Thanks: 135 given, 208 received


Probably done for the day. Going to the gym.
I began the day with a long bias and held that bias throughout the pullback. My reason for not changing to a short bias was simply based on the price levels. I look at the W-VWAP, D-VWAP, 50 bar adxvma and PDay HLC. Market went below many of them but held above the W-VWAP, which I give the most weight to. I also don't like the idea of flipping my bias in the middle of the day.

Today was a day that demonstrated flipping bias would have worked in my favor. I hope that this is the exception and that it will, over time, prove to be better to not flip... but if not I may have to including flipping bias mid day as part of what I do.

I captured 4 points with a single one lot trade today while going against the afternoon trending pullback. In my view when I entered that trade, I thought I was going with the overall up trend. After I was in position I felt that the stall in the market action at the median price line could have been the end of the move. I exited there capturing the 4 points. Even though this worked out in my account's favor I don't like the way I arrived at the decision to exit. Maybe I'll learn over time that stalling at that median price line is a good 1st target and holding a 2nd lot for my original target will also be a good thing to do. At this point I don't know.


Last edited by timendaGain; September 4th, 2015 at 11:16 AM.
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