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A Cowboy's Trading Journal

  #881 (permalink)
 bmtrading9 
Atlanta, GA, USA
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: MC and Jigsaw
Trading: ES, MES
Posts: 1,833 since Mar 2013
Thanks Given: 3,001
Thanks Received: 2,159

I am done before market open, I have some work so can't trade anymore today.




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  #882 (permalink)
 bmtrading9 
Atlanta, GA, USA
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: MC and Jigsaw
Trading: ES, MES
Posts: 1,833 since Mar 2013
Thanks Given: 3,001
Thanks Received: 2,159

Yesterday I started with loss, its real difficult to dig out of hole, we all know that, that's we have to be extra careful to get that first trade success.

As hour progressed I dig that hole little deeper but finally was able to climb the hole and close at NET ZERO plus commissions.

I know I am paying commissions but I am considering this as training.

My goal is to train my mind to trade for ONE to TWO hours, reach my GOAL, shut it down and move one with my life.






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  #883 (permalink)
 bmtrading9 
Atlanta, GA, USA
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: MC and Jigsaw
Trading: ES, MES
Posts: 1,833 since Mar 2013
Thanks Given: 3,001
Thanks Received: 2,159


Here old but excellent book on tape reading.

http://ia601302.us.archive.org/27/items/studiesintaperea00wyckrich/studiesintaperea00wyckrich.pdf

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  #884 (permalink)
 bmtrading9 
Atlanta, GA, USA
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: MC and Jigsaw
Trading: ES, MES
Posts: 1,833 since Mar 2013
Thanks Given: 3,001
Thanks Received: 2,159

Posting it to be transparent, my Friday trading CURSE continuous...UGLY UGLY loss, lost all of the gains so far and maybe more too...

Back to square one? When I though I am getting it, market finds a way to teach.

Reasons

1. Having a bias based on news
2. Removing stops
3. Not accepting loss and coming back
4. FIGHTING the TREND

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  #885 (permalink)
 
Blash's Avatar
 Blash 
Chicago, IL
Legendary Market Chamois
 
Experience: None
Platform: NT8,NT7,TWS
Broker: InteractiveBrokers, S5T, IQFeed
Trading: The one I'm creating in the present....Index Futures mini/micro, ZF
Posts: 2,311 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 7,341
Thanks Received: 4,518


bmtrading9 View Post
Posting it to be transparent, my Friday trading CURSE continuous...UGLY UGLY loss, lost all of the gains so far and maybe more too...



Back to square one? When I though I am getting it, market finds a way to teach.



Reasons



1. Having a bias based on news

2. Removing stops

3. Not accepting loss and coming back

4. FIGHTING the TREND



All good my brother. Keep it up. You are doing GREAT.

Take a look at this book I completely love....

“There’s a name for this: Resulting. When people result, they look at whether the result was good or bad to figure out if the decision was good or bad. (Psychologists call this “outcome bias,” but I prefer the more intuitive term “resulting.”) We take this resulting shortcut because we can’t clearly “see” whether the decision was good or bad, especially after the fact, but we can clearly see if the outcome was good or bad. Resulting is a way to simplify complex assessments of decision quality. The problem? Simple isn’t always better. Decision quality and outcome quality are, of course, correlated. But not perfectly, at least not in most decisions we make, and certainly not when we have only one try at the decision. The relationship between the two can take a long time to play out. RESULTING A mental shortcut in which we use the quality of an outcome to figure out the quality of a decision. In a single instance (I quit my job and it turned out horribly), it’s hard to say if a bad outcome (or a good one) was because of the quality of the decision. Sometimes we make good decisions and they turn out well. Sometimes we make good decisions and they turn out poorly. You can run a red light and get through the intersection unscathed. You can go through a green light and get in an accident. This means that working backward from the quality of a single outcome to figure out whether a decision was good or bad is going to lead to some poor conclusions. Resulting can make you think that running red lights is a good idea.”

— How to Decide: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices by Annie Duke
https://a.co/eaEnX0q

Ron


Sent from my iPhone using futures.io

...My calamity is My providence, outwardly it is fire and vengeance, but inwardly it is light and mercy...
The steed of this Valley is pain; and if there be no pain this journey will never end.
Buy Low And Sell High (read left to right or right to left....lol)
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  #886 (permalink)
 bmtrading9 
Atlanta, GA, USA
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: MC and Jigsaw
Trading: ES, MES
Posts: 1,833 since Mar 2013
Thanks Given: 3,001
Thanks Received: 2,159

I believe it's time for me to face the reality, I started posting on this journal again to make myself accountable and transparent. I was doing good until last Friday or is it an ongoing issue, not sure.

Last Friday, I somehow ignored my TWO most important rules of day trading

i.e 1. NO BIAS just trade what you see
2. NO TRADING OPEN

I broke my first rule for the FIRST TIME in a long time (Hindsight, I am RIGHT, if I held that short for two more days, I would be looking at huge gain)
I broke my second rule multiple times but it's based on context.

Anyway I was able to recover and trade consistently this week. Friday, I am going to take a break, I don't want Friday to screw me again

The main idea is to prove myself that I can trade consistently and move from MES to ES.

I need to take following actions in order to do it

1. Set up a daily loss limit at brokerage level
2. Set up a limit on max number of contracts traded at a time


December




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  #887 (permalink)
 bmtrading9 
Atlanta, GA, USA
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: MC and Jigsaw
Trading: ES, MES
Posts: 1,833 since Mar 2013
Thanks Given: 3,001
Thanks Received: 2,159

Next TWO weeks my main focus is on minimizing drawdowns and getting my entry right so that my MAE is low.

I SHOULDN'T WORRY ABOUT NUMBER OF ENTRIES, HOW MANY TIMES I GET STOPPED OUT ETC.





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  #888 (permalink)
 bmtrading9 
Atlanta, GA, USA
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: MC and Jigsaw
Trading: ES, MES
Posts: 1,833 since Mar 2013
Thanks Given: 3,001
Thanks Received: 2,159

Day # 2 of my self challenge i.e not let trade get away from me

Max MAE = -4 ticks and Max DD = -$10




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  #889 (permalink)
 bmtrading9 
Atlanta, GA, USA
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: MC and Jigsaw
Trading: ES, MES
Posts: 1,833 since Mar 2013
Thanks Given: 3,001
Thanks Received: 2,159

Day # 3

MAE = -8 ticks (full stop) on ONE trade, I have to review video of this trade.





Taking a break for rest of the day as today is FOMC day.

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  #890 (permalink)
 bmtrading9 
Atlanta, GA, USA
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: MC and Jigsaw
Trading: ES, MES
Posts: 1,833 since Mar 2013
Thanks Given: 3,001
Thanks Received: 2,159




Trade #2 - 09:43:01 - 09:45:52 - Win

Price reached my pre-market level to the tick and bounced, I have ONL below and another pre-market level at 78.

Noticed price struggling to go down, maybe right place to enter a pull back trade..price started to go away with more bids so entered trade at 82.50

Ready to exit trade if price starts to move away from me…price not able to move below 82 so confidence kicked in…

VPOC is the hurdle here, price can reverse on me quickly if it can’t get above VPOC…

Moved stop to 4 ticks

Saw price struggle to go down at VPOC, added TWO more contracts at VPOC (not a proper place to enter a trade)

Ideally enter trade at imbalance and exit at balance, this is reverse of that process but that’s fine as this is pull back trade based on ORDER FLOW.

Closed one contract and moved stop to 8 ticks profit, wanted vwap….have to be careful since it is a pull back so closed the trade…

Trade #3 - 09:47:49 - 09:48:24 - Loss

Entered at WRONG location just below VWAP because of FOMO of breakout….

Nothing more to explain here, wrong entry…

Thought price will hold 84, it held but STOPPED out

Trade #4 - Win

Saw Price holding 84 so entered the trade again at 84.25 and exited because of fear of losing again.

Trade #5 - Win

Took trade at VWAP with target a Yesterday high but closed after

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Last Updated on January 6, 2021


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