A Cowboy's Trading Journal - Trading Journals | futures io social trading
futures io futures trading


A Cowboy's Trading Journal
Updated: Views / Replies:32,742 / 767
Created: by bmtrading9 Attachments:198

Welcome to futures io.

Welcome, Guest!

This forum was established to help traders (especially futures traders) by openly sharing indicators, strategies, methods, trading journals and discussing the psychology of trading.

We are fundamentally different than most other trading forums:
  • We work extremely hard to keep things positive on our forums.
  • We do not tolerate rude behavior, trolling, or vendor advertising in posts.
  • We firmly believe in openness and encourage sharing. The holy grail is within you, it is not something tangible you can download.
  • We expect our members to participate and become a part of the community. Help yourself by helping others.


You'll need to register in order to view the content of the threads and start contributing to our community. It's free and simple, and we will never resell your private information.

-- Big Mike

Reply
 198  
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
 

A Cowboy's Trading Journal

  #211 (permalink)
Elite Member
Dallas, TX, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES, YM, TF, CL, GC and ETF's
 
Posts: 1,679 since Mar 2013
Thanks: 2,733 given, 1,873 received

I will short if SPX closes below 2027 EOD

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk

Reply With Quote
 
  #212 (permalink)
Elite Member
Dallas, TX, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES, YM, TF, CL, GC and ETF's
 
Posts: 1,679 since Mar 2013
Thanks: 2,733 given, 1,873 received

Damn I should be shorting if price closes below pivot 2030 on SPX but tomorrow's ECB meeting makes it tough...I am already short so have let go of that idea for now

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk

Reply With Quote
 
  #213 (permalink)
Elite Member
Dallas, TX, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES, YM, TF, CL, GC and ETF's
 
Posts: 1,679 since Mar 2013
Thanks: 2,733 given, 1,873 received


Holy Crap! I went neutral overnight, but back to short. Price closing below 2026 Last weeks high is very critical for my swing. I don't how and why I will be in these situations all the time...some fundamental things must be changed with regarding my trading process.

Reply With Quote
 
  #214 (permalink)
Elite Member
Dallas, TX, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES, YM, TF, CL, GC and ETF's
 
Posts: 1,679 since Mar 2013
Thanks: 2,733 given, 1,873 received

Freaking back to neutral...will try short again at 200 DMA

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk

Reply With Quote
 
  #215 (permalink)
Elite Member
Dallas, TX, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES, YM, TF, CL, GC and ETF's
 
Posts: 1,679 since Mar 2013
Thanks: 2,733 given, 1,873 received

ES Monthly

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).



Wow! Every time October month seems to be very critical...since everyone trying to draw
comparisons with previous structure here is my take at it...

1. Will it be like October 98? Let's analyze what happened before August of 1998, price moved up
sharply and never consolidated so the sharp drop has been bought aggressively.

2. September of 2000- Price has been consolidating for around 9 months before Sep drop, then again October drop
has been bought aggressively just to give it back in November which is start of down trend.

3. October of 2006 - Again same story price has been consolidating for around 8 month before drop in November.

4. Now comes every bull's favorite October 2011, One thing to note here is there
is not much price consolidation before the drop in Aug, Sep and sharp up to test 10 month SMA.
We can also see price retraced down at-least 75% of October's high in November.

5. 2015 - Price consolidated for around six to seven months before sharp decline in Aug and Sep, then it's same story in October price moved back above 10 month sma but still have a week left so still a question mark.

Now maybe a billion dollar question is what will happen now?

1. If we consider 1998 scenario we will rip higher but price consolidated enough in 2015 before the drop in August so this seems to retest like it happened in Oct 2001 and Oct 2007.

2. If we consider 2011 scenario price will retrace in November to move higher.

3. 2015 may be a major top or another major up leg like in 2011 but I cannot ignore the negative divergences, and breadth not improving w.r.t price makes me think we might be at end of this bull cycle.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to bmtrading9 for this post:
 
  #216 (permalink)
Elite Member
Dallas, TX, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES, YM, TF, CL, GC and ETF's
 
Posts: 1,679 since Mar 2013
Thanks: 2,733 given, 1,873 received

ES Weekly

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to bmtrading9 for this post:
 
  #217 (permalink)
Elite Member
Dallas, TX, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES, YM, TF, CL, GC and ETF's
 
Posts: 1,679 since Mar 2013
Thanks: 2,733 given, 1,873 received

ES Daily

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to bmtrading9 for this post:
 
  #218 (permalink)
Elite Member
Dallas, TX, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES, YM, TF, CL, GC and ETF's
 
Posts: 1,679 since Mar 2013
Thanks: 2,733 given, 1,873 received

Very good site for breadth analysis

Stock Market Indicators | IndexIndicators.com

Reply With Quote
The following 2 users say Thank You to bmtrading9 for this post:
 
  #219 (permalink)
Elite Member
Dallas, TX, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES, YM, TF, CL, GC and ETF's
 
Posts: 1,679 since Mar 2013
Thanks: 2,733 given, 1,873 received

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).


Cumulative ADSPD's and VOLSPD's are diverging

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to bmtrading9 for this post:
 
  #220 (permalink)
Elite Member
Dallas, TX, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES, YM, TF, CL, GC and ETF's
 
Posts: 1,679 since Mar 2013
Thanks: 2,733 given, 1,873 received


Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).


More new lows's than new highs (Monthly and weekly)...weakness is creeping in, Russell tested 50DMA, oil at lows, vix increasing all pointing to coming weakness but NQ and Fed is holding up price...we have to wait and see which one will give up...I am trying to position myself for sharp up and immediate sell off.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to bmtrading9 for this post:

Reply



futures io > > > A Cowboy's Trading Journal

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search



Upcoming Webinars and Events (4:30PM ET unless noted)

FIO Journal Challenge featuring NinjaTrader ($2,000+ of prizes)

May

An overview of volumetric analytical tools w/Sergey Sokolov @ PTMC

Elite only

John Hoagland (TBA)

Elite only

FuturesTrader71 Extended Ask Me Anything (AMA)

Elite only

Pete @ Jigsaw Trading (TBA)

Elite only

John @ No BS Day Trading (TBA)

Elite only

An Afternoon with FIO member Softsoap (being rescheduled)

Elite only
     

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
UBC Trading Journal - A day trading journey UmBillyCord Trading Journals 12 October 6th, 2014 05:43 AM
Cowboy & IRS kbit Jokes 0 February 28th, 2014 09:28 PM
The Naked Cowboy kbit Jokes 1 February 20th, 2014 07:23 PM
Trading Journal - Day Trading Crude Oil with Fibs & S/R greg9 Trading Journals 83 September 5th, 2013 03:48 PM
AR01 Price Area Journal (Not a trading journal) AR01 Emini Index Futures Trading 69 April 2nd, 2010 08:01 PM


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:20 PM.

Copyright © 2017 by futures io, s.a., Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama, +507 833-9432, info@futures.io
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice.
There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
no new posts
Page generated 2017-05-29 in 0.12 seconds with 20 queries on phoenix via your IP 23.20.157.174