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Back in the Markets and Pivoting from Opts to E-Minis - To Profitable Trading!
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Back in the Markets and Pivoting from Opts to E-Minis - To Profitable Trading!

  #21 (permalink)
Trading for Fun
West Java
 
Futures Experience: None
Platform: MotiveWave
Favorite Futures: AAPL, Bund, FX
 
Posts: 145 since Apr 2014
Thanks: 143 given, 122 received


Lady View Post
A local university said I can come by and use their Bloomberg Desk... Anyone played with it lately... Good to learn or no longer relevant?

Only if you're curious enough on what happened behind the chart (fundamentals)

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  #22 (permalink)
Elite Member
Medellín, CO
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Favorite Futures: Playing with eMinis, coming from Options
 
Posts: 67 since Jun 2015
Thanks: 11 given, 20 received

hm


Thxo View Post
Only if you're curious enough on what happened behind the chart (fundamentals)

Do fundamentals actually matter anymore for day or swing trading? Especially on e-minis?

Would assume they may have a modicum of relevance if you're developing models or automated trading systems (use of certain words during reporting...)

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  #23 (permalink)
Trading for Fun
West Java
 
Futures Experience: None
Platform: MotiveWave
Favorite Futures: AAPL, Bund, FX
 
Posts: 145 since Apr 2014
Thanks: 143 given, 122 received



Lady View Post
Do fundamentals actually matter anymore for day or swing trading? Especially on e-minis?

Different people will give you different answer.
in my opinion yes it is.
I think currency is one of the easiest to trade with FA/Sentiment. The reasons are many, but basically we have two parts to compare.

I had read somewhere that E-Mini (intraday) is more easier with technical or orderflow based analysis.

Lady View Post
Would assume they may have a modicum of relevance if you're developing models or automated trading systems (use of certain words during reporting...)

Very possible, i bet millions are already doing it.
this is not the most relevant example out there, it just the one that comes to mind http://www.rinfinance.com/agenda/2013/talk/JiahanLi.pdf
although not much (around ~1%) there's some form of linear predictability. But such an edge is still edge when translated into p/l as you can see from the studies.
If linear models using simple predictors can achieve such results, maybe our non-linear human mind can fare better.

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  #24 (permalink)
Elite Member
Medellín, CO
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Favorite Futures: Playing with eMinis, coming from Options
 
Posts: 67 since Jun 2015
Thanks: 11 given, 20 received

First semi return

Getting back in. Playing around Momentum and intensity. Getting a hang of things again...

Looking at trends and multi instrument divergences.
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My log, a pretty good run but a lot of draw down.
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Clearly need to manage my stops, but good 14 to 7 p/l now I have to stick to rules of entry and exit and knock them into my head...
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  #25 (permalink)
Elite Member
Medellín, CO
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Favorite Futures: Playing with eMinis, coming from Options
 
Posts: 67 since Jun 2015
Thanks: 11 given, 20 received

craziness of today

I accidentally entered a naked contract... and decided to just go with it... did not get stopped out... and managed an almost 90% p/l with $10,000+ for the day (real time in sim)

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The following user says Thank You to Lady for this post:
 
  #26 (permalink)
Elite Member
Medellín, CO
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Favorite Futures: Playing with eMinis, coming from Options
 
Posts: 67 since Jun 2015
Thanks: 11 given, 20 received

GOT A STRATEGY!

Came up with strategies. They are pretty tight, do not happen often but are pretty risk averse.

For Up Trends
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For Down Trends
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Used them for a bit and when I stuck to the rules, I made good money... But they do not happen often, so I cowboyed in chop which gave money back... SOMEBODY needs to amend for bad behavior by executing 20 of these and only these...

The trade plan rules are:

Locate a trend by compering multiple time period charts.
Locate Support and resistance levels
Calculate STOP LOSS and TAKE PROFIT
Apply MONEY MANAGEMENT for MAX RISK
Calculate how many Ticks is Max Risk
Buy off SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE, after it has been tested
Move to break even plus 1 tick.
Add another position.

I'm going to structure it off $2000, yes I know, but limits are good. When I live trade, I have $5000 for start but only risk off $2000... So my position size is one contract... So my Max tick risk for 1-3% are:

Risk ES NQ TF/CL
$60 3% 5 12 6
$40 2% 3 8 4
$20 1% 2 4 2

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