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Eurostoxx and Bund futures journal
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Eurostoxx and Bund futures journal

  #81 (permalink)
Keab
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hahahahahahahahahahahaha it's a bank holiday!

Aaaanyway

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  #82 (permalink)
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bootsyjam View Post
hahahahahahahahahahahaha it's a bank holiday!

Aaaanyway

ha!

day off. or trade the gilt!

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  #83 (permalink)
Keab
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Don't have all those feeds rosho. Mate of mine has kindly given me his thinkorswim login so I can look at rudimentary VP charts on currency futures. Works just as well at the easy to spot areas How's trading going?

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  #84 (permalink)
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bootsyjam View Post
Don't have all those feeds rosho. Mate of mine has kindly given me his thinkorswim login so I can look at rudimentary VP charts on currency futures. Works just as well at the easy to spot areas How's trading going?

yeh the gilt a little hairy also though been looking ok on the 15min today.

i have traded v infrequently the last 2 weeks, i am back on it again from nxt week. not been feeling great. but glad to see the bund mkt volatility back, & stoxx has looked ok also. just doing some testing.

hows your bell curve analysis going?

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  #85 (permalink)
Keab
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rosho01 View Post
yeh the gilt a little hairy also though been looking ok on the 15min today.

i have traded v infrequently the last 2 weeks, i am back on it again from nxt week. not been feeling great. but glad to see the bund mkt volatility back, & stoxx has looked ok also. just doing some testing.

hows your bell curve analysis going?

Yeah think everything is a bit hairy after this week?! I have to say that working from 15 min charts and higher as my main analysis helps a lot as it grounds me in a bigger picture than scalping etc, and I take less trades.

Not been feeling great? Hope you're a lot better-concentrating all day can be quite draining after all....

Bell curve stuff is going great thanks, been doing some spot fx trading off fx futures charts on thinkorswim and it's the same thing. I just trade the obvious stuff and leave everything else alone and it works. I think part of the problem trading futures is the larger sums involved-a 15 point stop loss is a lot more painful at 10-15 per point than just a fiver!

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  #86 (permalink)
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bootsyjam View Post
Yeah think everything is a bit hairy after this week?! I have to say that working from 15 min charts and higher as my main analysis helps a lot as it grounds me in a bigger picture than scalping etc, and I take less trades.

Not been feeling great? Hope you're a lot better-concentrating all day can be quite draining after all....

Bell curve stuff is going great thanks, been doing some spot fx trading off fx futures charts on thinkorswim and it's the same thing. I just trade the obvious stuff and leave everything else alone and it works. I think part of the problem trading futures is the larger sums involved-a 15 point stop loss is a lot more painful at 10-15 per point than just a fiver!

agree re the 15min charts - i am looking at using it for entries on the gilt, but hard not to get spoofed into exiting on 5mins.

sounds like you have a gd plan (keep it simple), being selective over a few more markets. the bund prior to wed this week has been a test in patience ie one or two decent swing trade opportunities per day, or scalp against the algos, which is not that appealing.

hopefully bund remains volatile. their are net positive inflows of german bonds nxt mth - oversupply (& across europe), which is a theory behind the sell of. that and some large funds profit taking/dumping out of long term longs when the technicals turned bearish/broke through major levels.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-04-30/bund-sell-its-supply-stupid

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  #87 (permalink)
Keab
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rosho01 View Post
agree re the 15min charts - i am looking at using it for entries on the gilt, but hard not to get spoofed into exiting on 5mins.

sounds like you have a gd plan (keep it simple), being selective over a few more markets. the bund prior to wed this week has been a test in patience ie one or two decent swing trade opportunities per day, or scalp against the algos, which is not that appealing.

hopefully bund remains volatile. their are net positive inflows of german bonds nxt mth - oversupply (& across europe), which is a theory behind the sell of. that and some large funds profit taking/dumping out of long term longs when the technicals turned bearish/broke through major levels.

Bund Sell-Off: It's The Supply Stupid | Zero Hedge

Thanks for the link. Yeah looking at longer term bun charts this week doesn't amount to much does it! I took it as a bit of profit taking before a potential default by greece on May 9th. Good time to ask-what does a Greek default do to the bund? Have been trying to figure it out-it means German debts are not going to be repaid, or they will take a major haircut, but what does that mean for the bund? I would guess that it means it rises as it's a safe(ish) haven but that's all i've got!

Yeah I think swing trading opportunities only really happen a few times a day anyway so am happy with those when they're obvious. Is interesting to look at the fx charts-the thinkorswim platform doesn't give detailed VP (it's very blocky) but in a weird way that's better because you only use the obvious gaps in the profile because those are the only ones you can really see!

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  #88 (permalink)
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bootsyjam View Post
Thanks for the link. Yeah looking at longer term bun charts this week doesn't amount to much does it! I took it as a bit of profit taking before a potential default by greece on May 9th. Good time to ask-what does a Greek default do to the bund? Have been trying to figure it out-it means German debts are not going to be repaid, or they will take a major haircut, but what does that mean for the bund? I would guess that it means it rises as it's a safe(ish) haven but that's all i've got!

Yeah I think swing trading opportunities only really happen a few times a day anyway so am happy with those when they're obvious. Is interesting to look at the fx charts-the thinkorswim platform doesn't give detailed VP (it's very blocky) but in a weird way that's better because you only use the obvious gaps in the profile because those are the only ones you can really see!

Exactly, a small pullback, on the lows was some big buying! Though it is into the range value area from few weeks ago, so perhaps more ranging for now?

No idea, flight from euro denominated instruments? I thought greek banks hold most of the debt, not sure what the exposure is for german banks. More volatility hopefully.

I guess tos only has access to some of the vol in fx, as there is no regulation for it to be reported, it can be done o/s of the ecn. I have used vol on fx futures and that worked ok for ref points.

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  #89 (permalink)
Keab
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rosho01 View Post
Exactly, a small pullback, on the lows was some big buying! Though it is into the range value area from few weeks ago, so perhaps more ranging for now?

No idea, flight from euro denominated instruments? I thought greek banks hold most of the debt, not sure what the exposure is for german banks. More volatility hopefully.

I guess tos only has access to some of the vol in fx, as there is no regulation for it to be reported, it can be done o/s of the ecn. I have used vol on fx futures and that worked ok for ref points.

Sorry, I meant that I used the fx futures charts for spot trading so it's futures volume and it's 'broadly' correct but lacks as much detail as paid feeds (or maybe the charts aren't set up to display it as well). Here's one I've just taken on the CAD (is the reverse trade on uschf so is a buy). Have blown it up so is not so clear-went in off the reaction to the liquidity gap in the blue VP on the left (I've highlighted the area in white). Chart is 10 mins on left-15 mins on right. I quite like the 10 min timeframe-nice halfway house between the jumpy 5 mins and the sometimes too slow 15 mins. Just wish ninjatrader had a 10 min button rather than having to type it in to see it...

Yeah no idea r.e. a Grexit, all I know is that I'll be listening to the squawk constantly!

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  #90 (permalink)
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No posts since 1st of May... it's a pity as journals on FESX are scarce, and good ones even rarer.

What do you think of the last two days we've seen on the EURO STOXX?

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