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Was a bit of a tussle down there, then suddenly 9,10s, & 11s had 1k on the bid, 11s traded & some orders pulled but went bid quite quick. difficult to know when these are spoofs and not - i guess thats the point.
To explain my 19 bounce theory ( I realised it was gibberish), i din't think it would bounce there as I felt that the original quick retrace to it would have hoovered up the buyers that would make it bounce higher. So the return to the 19s after the big rise higher would need secondary buying, and I don't like that after such an extended move.
R.e. eurostoxx, I like to mark out areas where HEAVY volume has traded (blue zone), and then look to see a reaction to this area if price has come away from it and then moves back in. You can see the pin bar that occurred this morning so that is enough for me. Was also a nice gap ion my volume profiles so confluence for a rejection.
Took profit at 04, entry at 88.
Should really have re-entered at the higher lows being printed at approx the 92 level on a retrace down with nice pinbars...
Bund doesn't tend to have these heavy volume areas so I look to large moves in the delta for my volume areas of interest...
Balls. Price has just popped on the eurostoxx-isn't hindsight a wonderful thing...
Was looking at the 21-23 area as well due to buyers being trapped and wanting to exit+nice gap on 3 day cumulative volume profile. Buuuut it's a bit dicey for me as trying to stay away from less clear trades (even though this one does look good).
agree re the extended move, it struggled to move above 25s & built some value just above this level so it def looked like another test on the downside.
you like your pin bars, i always think that on another timeframe they are not a pin bar, to make sure i dont add too much weight to them.
i wld have added to my position here - blue arrow, and additional confirmation that the retrace has lost momentum & stuck stops into scratch as soon as move away.
