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hi bootsyjam - so you drew the 65 line in after the RT up to 73s & required a small pullback into that? what is that entry based on?
i was offside for the whole of that trade pretty much hmm, but I liked the size of the retrace up & it took out the prev swing high (11am CET) even though it failed to close above it. and its failed to close below the days low on m5.
thks for kind comment, perhaps we can convert some into bund traders! as mentioned earlier & as you know - this PA works on anything, the bund though so far suits my style, & have been pleasantly surprised how well it trades using low t/f's....not sure how long this will last though.
most of my stuff was learnt from basic supply/demand theory which includes material from steve @ no brainer trades, tom & some others (all free resources), & i was lucky enough to join a skype room with some v gd fx traders, and they mentored me (again for free). as with toms style (not seen him trade bund though) - its all v simple, makes sense & provides context (ie what other particpants are doing).
g/l & feel free to contribute.
edit: just to clarify, simple does not mean easy! need loadsa of screen time, practice etc.
Hey rosho,
I trade very simply. Looking for 1-2-3 trades, and my reversal points are areas where ares on Cumulative Delta are beaten against the Delta (CD) direction.
So for that trade I was looking at the CD on Friday (rectangles to the left hand side) where if you look on the chart I've provided there were lots of traders who were trapped in their longs.
There were also traders trapped long on as indicated on the rectangles on the right hand side. This was not too strong a signal for 2 reasons:
1) MY CD wasn't switched on to see just how many were trapped-looked about 3000 but I didn't get to the office in time to switch on my PC!
2) It could be argued that the sharp move down from 72 to 50 may have taken care of these trapped traders.
However when price returns to these levels I get interested and look for size to come in on my chosen direction and then I'll enter.
I don't trade reversals (at least I'm trying not to) as they're far harder to pick.
I liked the look of the reversal that just happened thanks to the exhaustion style volume on the CD, combined with some buying kicking in. Also, we're still in an uptrend (now that's important to remember!).
But reversals do my head in because they set me up mentally to be constantly looking for counter trend moves. The trading equivalent of trying to run uphill all the time! Hope that makes sense.
Oh yeah, whilst I'm a big fan of market/volume profile, I find that it sets my bias far too much. What i mean by that is: if price is at an area that is important on the profile, and I get my 1-2-3 signal then I won't take it. Which is stupid-I want to trade with what I see in front of me in terms of volume and order flow. Using profiles means that I don't.
When I become a better trader I might start using them again, but if I'm going to 'trade what I see' then profiles are out of the equation.
i sold 81s, & scratched them TP @ 69 - my selling areas here are a bit blurred, the lower level looked better on the hourly, but 85s & 91s look better entry areas on m5.
Longs: 56 bid. maybe looking for long @66-68, rr will prob restrict this trade though.
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