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bund futures - intra day trading journal
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bund futures - intra day trading journal

  #311 (permalink)
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rosho01 View Post
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i wld have added to my position here - blue arrow, and additional confirmation that the retrace has lost momentum & stuck stops into scratch as soon as move away.

Both targets wld have been hit on this. Well at least some decent moves today.

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  #312 (permalink)
Keab
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rosho01 View Post
agree re the extended move, it struggled to move above 25s & built some value just above this level so it def looked like another test on the downside.

you like your pin bars, i always think that on another timeframe they are not a pin bar, to make sure i dont add too much weight to them.

Yeah there's always something that looks different in a different timeframe! I look slightly longer term than you (I think), and a pinbar on the 15 min seems to work well as it shows that price (for me at least) is really reacting to an area-something that isn't so apparent on smaller timeframes. It's a visual clue to the speed of a reaction to a certain area-I find that looking at the DOM doesn't give me that visual aspect, hence the need for a chart!

Happy trading-am out of the office tomorrow and Monday and back Tuesday so may your levels be sound and may your profit taking be spectacular.

Bootsy

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  #313 (permalink)
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Preview


Morning all,

A better day yesterday - all it took was a 40 tick move & PA became a lot clearer, flow was nice, & some gd opportunities. Hopefully today is more of the same, but it is friday in a holiday week. Failing to close above the all time highs indicates indecision & the selloff was TY driven, so dont have any view on the day, with a pin bar from yest but the range is still small i cant add too much weight to that. Support is still holding from wednesday.

Heres some levels of interest on hourly:

On the ID from yests PA:
10-15s
19-21
32s
158.95

g/l.
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Last edited by rosho01; April 10th, 2015 at 03:36 AM.
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  #314 (permalink)
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missed setup long 14s

This looked gd - there was just a lot of selling levels above it. However, the buying on way up seemed quite strong, so was still tempted to buy the 14s which was great flag on the 1min. Then rumour came over the squark saying possible ecb buying after it had held 20s level, so i wld have been extending my targets above 24.

Very light vol if ecb are buying bonds, cant imagine lasting as long as last time.

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  #315 (permalink)
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sold 26s paid 31s

stopped 31s effectively down 15 ticks.

great area & setup, traded 09s i had my target in @ 07s with limit order as had to leave the office - that was realistic target but perhaps i shld have taken one off earlier, shame. i came back in when i was just getting stopped out - rumour was that a figure was leaked & the tnote & gilt rallied quick, & as has been the case this week the bund followed.

i will be glad when paper returns nxt week. the ecb is QE'ing, the US isnt, yet the yields are strongly correlated, the last hour its corr coef ~ 0.92 (~0.90 v the tnote). One to remember when its just algos.

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correlations
http://fxtrade.oanda.co.uk/analysis/currency-correlation

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  #316 (permalink)
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UK gilt - 1st trade

Sold 71s paid 57s which puts me up for the day, had v tight stop as no LLs but was once it made new low was looking for early 50s....55 i think was best buy.

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  #317 (permalink)
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am done for the day, been tough week but lots to be positive about. will be in the office at w/e so will post week updates, thoughts etc.

have a gd w/e all.

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  #318 (permalink)
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Day preview

morning all,

hourly chart attached with some levels.

the open was very low vol, hopefully it picks up.

ID levels:
37
32
06
01

g/l.

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  #319 (permalink)
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Nice calls on Friday Rosho, hope you're having a good day so far

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  #320 (permalink)
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bootsyjam View Post
Nice calls on Friday Rosho, hope you're having a good day so far

cheers dude, not traded really, was selling 35s & paid up cpl of ticks. dont like this correlation in the gilt at all, if gilt goes through 00s level then cld hit some stops, v dangerous around here.

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