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bund futures - intra day trading journal
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bund futures - intra day trading journal

  #211 (permalink)
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Bought 81s

Sold 93s +24 ticks (+20 for the day)

great setup on 5min - liked the area down here for support & had level in @ 75s for support (though didnt draw it in til after posting my preview) but i refuse to pick bottoms, but liked the way it rejected that area & rallied to 91s & built some value quite high above it. this gave me the nod to look for long setups & the rr wld be looking to take out those 91s & just before where i wld look to sell @95s. the entry was the RS on H&S but i wld prob have taken similar trade if there was no left shoulder - in other words its not the reason i took it.

see chart for entry/exit.
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Missed trades:
-was trying to sell on way down first thing & offered @93s & twice price popped up traded them small & then fell 10+ticks, 2nd time round it traded 92s for same rr - both times i was doing smthg else & missed them - & i prob wld not have got them even if i tried to hit lower bids as happened v quick. scratched a cpl of trades & bought 82s earlier sold 84s & it traded 92s few mins later.

trade plans.......

nxt lvls:
sell @ 02s
buy @ 84s - this depends on what happens with PA though around both these lvls

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  #212 (permalink)
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rosho01 View Post
trade plans.......

nxt lvls:
sell @ 02s
buy @ 84s - this depends on what happens with PA though around both these lvls

PA was building HLs & HHs towards 02 so no chance i am fading that, & building value up here. i wld want it to put in a few LLs & LHs & then pop back into 00s area for a sell, but imo odds are this pushes higher still (based on current PA).

will post a chart soon.

also ECB publish statements in 45mins.

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  #213 (permalink)
Keab
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Hi there Rosh,
Good work keeping the journal going-have been on holiday.
Potential big news coming up. Eurostoxx 50 and Bund haven't moved at all, but more importantly for you-MASSIVE buying on Cumulative delta in last few hours. price has moved up but not by much-orders keeping it down. So wither way something big will be happening soon-either those sell orders get eaten up and we're away to the races, or if the buyers get beaten to the downside then they will have to sell to exit which will create a rather strong downward move.

Oooh I love trading...

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  #214 (permalink)
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bootsyjam View Post
Hi there Rosh,
Good work keeping the journal going-have been on holiday.
Potential big news coming up. Eurostoxx 50 and Bund haven't moved at all, but more importantly for you-MASSIVE buying on Cumulative delta in last few hours. price has moved up but not by much-orders keeping it down. So wither way something big will be happening soon-either those sell orders get eaten up and we're away to the races, or if the buyers get beaten to the downside then they will have to sell to exit which will create a rather strong downward move.

Oooh I love trading...

hey bootsyjam, gd holiday i hope.

can you post a chart if you dont mind? interesting to see. i dont have a bias today (& normally dont) but a slant wld be towards the sell side, though it cld fake breakout the prev days highs before showing its hand.

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  #215 (permalink)
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Sell set up missed - sell 00s


rosho01 View Post
PA was building HLs & HHs towards 02 so no chance i am fading that, & building value up here. i wld want it to put in a few LLs & LHs & then pop back into 00s area for a sell, but imo odds are this pushes higher still (based on current PA).

will post a chart soon.

also ECB publish statements in 45mins.

it pushed higher to 07s, then looked very tired after failing to make another ID high, & was looking for a pullback on the 1min to jump in but wld have liked to have sold 00s & only traded a few then fell away quite quick. my platform aint that quick. trading 90s now.

1min chart attached.

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  #216 (permalink)
Keab
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rosho01 View Post
hey bootsyjam, gd holiday i hope.

can you post a chart if you dont mind? interesting to see. i dont have a bias today (& normally dont) but a slant wld be towards the sell side, though it cld fake breakout the prev days highs before showing its hand.

Yeah was v good thanks but also happy to be back!
Chart is attached-it shows Volume profile on the price areas, then cumulative delta, and then good old fashioned volume.
I have displayed 4 days so you can see the historical context of the amount of buying going on by hitting market orders manually (the delta). Certainly has run into something!
Looks even more extreme on smaller timeframe charts (second chart is 5 mins)

Attached Thumbnails
bund futures - intra day trading journal-bund-2-04.png   bund futures - intra day trading journal-march1-02-4.png  
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  #217 (permalink)
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buy setup

The long 85s - though it was a level i had marked, was too big a range to stick a bid in imo, though the 85s traded you wld have had to lift the 86s which did trade some vol.

Heres another buy setup @90/91s on 1min, they were offered few moments ago but i like the setup & on hourly intraday looks more bullish, just traded 90s through, & target wld be near where i wld want to sell. though 5min chart looks bit messy so am staying away for now.


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  #218 (permalink)
Keab
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could be looking at good sell off here-lots of trapped longs...

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  #219 (permalink)
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bootsyjam View Post
Yeah was v good thanks but also happy to be back!
Chart is attached-it shows Volume profile on the price areas, then cumulative delta, and then good old fashioned volume.
I have displayed 4 days so you can see the historical context of the amount of buying going on by hitting market orders manually (the delta). Certainly has run into something!
Looks even more extreme on smaller timeframe charts (second chart is 5 mins)

wonder if this is cos vols are lower than normal due to easter hols? the iceberg orders seem much more noticeable today in the ladder.

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  #220 (permalink)
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heavy PA / trade log


...bund looking v heavy down here, cld still have work to do on lower side. i have a level in at 81sbut lvl is quite broad, & 5min & 15min both look bearish. next level below that is 65s ish.

this is v slow now, will prob head off soon.

+20 ticks for the day then. trade log attached.

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will do todays review later. will be online tmrw but eurex is closed, may come in & look at ES over NFP though.

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