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bund futures - intra day trading journal
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bund futures - intra day trading journal

  #111 (permalink)
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bootsyjam View Post
looked at forex factory calendar and saw the entry Forex Factory
and then also looked here 10-y Bond Auction: Germany
I'm not sure what/how the effect will be. If any. Your comments would be appreciated.

i am changing back to this calendar, shld have checked auctions were on that one i posted earlier.

Live Forex Economic Calendar | Forexlive

auctions can move market, esp if uncovered, but what does that mean now when ecb are buying them anyway? dont know.

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  #112 (permalink)
Keab
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rosho01 View Post
intraday levels which i took 3 of them. overtrading?

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lost on my first trade every day so far (albeit some have been 1 lot scalps).

Have you looked back on those trades to see what time they have occurred? Maybe the market still tend to be in balance if the first trade is too early (I mean on a statistical basis-some days the market will be balanced early on but maybe most days it isn't at a certain time).

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  #113 (permalink)
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bootsyjam View Post
Have you looked back on those trades to see what time they have occurred? Maybe the market still tend to be in balance if the first trade is too early (I mean on a statistical basis-some days the market will be balanced early on but maybe most days it isn't at a certain time).

not comprehensive review as yet. i normally wait for the bund to balance before any trade, all varied times, will do proper review when get some more data/eom. gd character test if nothing more than a statistical anomaly!

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  #114 (permalink)
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bund auction should provide some clarity as to if people believe in QE. If it ends up being non event we should expect a range day before FOMC

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The following user says Thank You to bundshakalaka for this post:
 
  #115 (permalink)
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2.4 b/c jesus

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  #116 (permalink)
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bundshakalaka View Post
bund auction should provide some clarity as to if people believe in QE. If it ends up being non event we should expect a range day before FOMC

if people / institutions believe in QE, then stocks wld rally.....& bonds come off? then bunds rally when ecb step in when purchasing bunds? some contrary forces at work?

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  #117 (permalink)
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rosho01 View Post
if people / institutions believe in QE, then stocks wld rally.....& bonds come off? then bunds rally when ecb step in when purchasing bunds? some contrary forces at work?


That correlation has died many years ago Rosho. Although its evident that on some days it works on the bigger picture it doesnt hold. stocks and bonds, in Europe at least, go hand by hand as long as QE is active and the rates stay that low.

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  #118 (permalink)
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bull flag M5 developing...

....7-15s range (just broke as typing).

am waiting as usual (cough cough) til PA consolidates a little more.

Upside levels are 18-21, 33-38, 53-55.

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  #119 (permalink)
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bundshakalaka View Post
That correlation has died many years ago Rosho. Although its evident that on some days it works on the bigger picture it doesnt hold. stocks and bonds, in Europe at least, go hand by hand as long as QE is active and the rates stay that low.

indeed yes, shld have stated that. just didnt know what you meant re your comment "if people believe in QE" with re to impact on bund prices.

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  #120 (permalink)
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21-23 Upper channle in 5 min

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