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2015 TST Combine #1_David


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2015 TST Combine #1_David

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 David_R 
San Jose, Ca
 
Experience: Beginner
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I've been around futures.io (formerly BMT) a while and have gone through a lot of different methods of trading. As I looked back on my first journal I see that at the time I was using moving averages and multiple CCI's. I've looked at Market Profile and a method called the 3X trend that uses multiple Stochastics, a keltner and moving averages. I done some studying of Wyckoff, but there has been some difference of opinion as to what is Wyckoff and what is not. My main education of Wyckoff came from Gary Dayton and his chart reading course. I've taken that twice and it has helped me to see things in a different way. The focus is to try and trade the market by it's own actions without indicators. I think I've come to a conclusion for myself that looking at the market via the use of trendlines, volume and support and resistance is the way to go, but I like to use something other tool as an aid.

My most recent method and the one I intend to stick with uses the software by Daytradethemarkets.com. The software plots order flow, support and resistance and volume divergence type of indications in real time. Additionally, they provide a nightly report that provides analysis based on market profile for a bigger picture bias. I will attach some recent charts.

Another conclusion that I came to some time ago is that ones methodology really plays very little in one's success at trading. I think the CCI method that is shown in the first post of my (David_R's trading Journey) journal looks pretty good. I think the 3X trend method is pretty good. They all work and they all fail. The main key is to be patient for things to setup and be disciplined in how you trade your method. I have and do struggle with the patience and discipline, but I find that it is improving. I know it's the answer to success.

I've done a number of combines. More than i wish to admit. I've failed them all. I ended 2014 with a failed combine because i hit the daily loss limit. I've started a new combine in 2015 and am 4 days in. I have not had a losing day and I am close to half way of meeting the profit objective. I admit that I did not journal on futures.io (formerly BMT) for most of the Combines I've been in. I did intend to start the journal before the combine, but better late than never.

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  #3 (permalink)
 David_R 
San Jose, Ca
 
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Here are charts of the first three days of trading. I allow myself to trade CL and the stock indexes. Generally that means the ES, but unless it's trending I really don't like ES. I am open to other markets such as gold etc, but don't want watch too many markets.

There are two charts for the ES. One loser that I stopped myself out of and 2 winners. One of the winners recovered the loss of the stop out and one was today (1/8) for about 6 ticks in total. I waited about 15 minutes for the trade to progress and that was a test of my patience. I decided to close out.

There are three charts for CL. Three winning trades. One of them small and counter trend, so I was very nimble with it. The other two were with a down bias and totaled about 55 ticks in total. I am trading 2 contracts and am allowed to trade 5. I like at least 2.

Questions, comments, feedback, input, criticisms are all welcome. If you want to discuss the software itself lets do that in day trade the markets vendor review thread.

David






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 David_R 
San Jose, Ca
 
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Top Step Trader Statements up to yesterday. Does not include profit of about $550 today



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 mrmuggins 
manchester, england
 
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David_R View Post
Top Step Trader Statements up to yesterday. Does not include profit of about $550 today



Hi @David_R

Good start to your TST. Keep it up. As you have already stated, patience and discipline is very important in trading but the methodology is also important. I like the DTTM software very much, in fact my charts are set up similar to theirs, (using GOMI delta volume in my case). Good luck and good trading for the rest of the TST combine.

Regards,

Dudley

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 David_R 
San Jose, Ca
 
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Dudley,

Thanks. I do appreciate the support. I agree that methodology is important, but there are many way to go about it. Regardless of the method one must have the patience and the discipline. I find the DTTM software pairs well with other analysis such as some of the Wyckoff principles.

D

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 David_R 
San Jose, Ca
 
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Just a quick overview of what the things are on the chart.


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 David_R 
San Jose, Ca
 
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Today was not so good. I think I jinxed myself with this journal. Just kidding. I forced things and was impatient. I took three losers that came to $500 in total. Days like today remind me how important it is to wait and be patient. I look to get back on track next week. Below is a chart for today. I'll post the account info when it is updated for today.

David


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 PandaWarrior 
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Another conclusion that I came to some time ago is that ones methodology really plays very little in one's success at trading. I think the CCI method that is shown in the first post of my (David_R's trading Journey) journal looks pretty good. I think the 3X trend method is pretty good. They all work and they all fail. The main key is to be patient for things to setup and be disciplined in how you trade your method. I have and do struggle with the patience and discipline, but I find that it is improving. I know it's the answer to success.

David, this is the most important thing you've written so far....all methods work and they don't....its up to you....

Glad to see you making progress in this regard.

Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication, Leonardo da Vinci


Most people chose unhappiness over uncertainty, Tim Ferris
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 David_R 
San Jose, Ca
 
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I have not traded since last week. I just didn't see anything I felt comfortable taking at the time I was looking at the market. This is a positive thing in my eyes because more often than not I would try and make something happen. Since I work a day job I trade when I get a chance.

I did trade the ES and CL today and ended up on the day about $300. The ES was a long and I took 1.5 and 2.25 points because I thought long was counter trend. It went much further. I shorted CL and took a 10 tick loss on two contracts for -210, but re-entered short later and took +37tics and the second was 0. I had taken the trade and set my stop and targets and had to leave. A couple charts for today.




the reasoning for the short in CL is because of a downward bias and we are at a resistance zone with selling in the background. The ES long reasoning is the Level 3 Selling bar, the magenta bar had it's high taken out and we made a higher low. If a Level 3 bar gets rejected (no follow through) it could be considered climactic action. In this case it was and rallied well over 10 points.

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 David_R 
San Jose, Ca
 
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This is my TST account going back to last friday the 9th. I lost a little over $500 that day. I'm still meeting all the objectives and working towards the $3000 profit target. This is a continuous combine, so I have as much time as it takes as long as I don't break a rule. With today's trading the account should be up to around 51,100 or so. Today was the 5th day traded.

David

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 David_R 
San Jose, Ca
 
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Today is my 6th day of trading for the combine. I took 3 trades, which I consider to be my maximum. 2 winners and one loser. The loser was in the ES. I really don't like trading the ES and I may discontinue with it. I lost 2 points on 2 contracts for -16 ticks or $200. In CL I had to winning trades, the first was +95 ticks on 2 contracts and the second was approx +35 tics on 2 contracts or $1300. The account picture is from yesterday and does not include today. After today's trading I'm about $900 away from the profit objective.

For the most part I am happy with how I am doing. I'm doing my best to not over trade and have been succeeding there. I don't believe I have forced anything and when I lost 3 in a row last week for a $500+ losing day i stopped. The max loss for the day is $1000, but I prefer to have a personal max of approx $500. I'm try to hold the trades and let them hit my targets, but I may pull the target in a bit if price is stalling. Trying to remain calm and not get emotional.



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 David_R 
San Jose, Ca
 
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I couldn't trade much today. I forced it a bit with two quick losses. One was for $310 and the other for $150 all in CL. I got myself together and took one more trade for $490 (about +25 tics on two contracts). Stopped with +$30 for the day prior to commissions. I think the fact that I knew couldn't trade much a forced things, but also did what I thought vs. what I was seeing. I've traded 7 days and need to trade a minimum of 10 before my combine can be reviewed. I hope to achieve profit target before day 10, but would like to continue to build on the account.

David

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 David_R 
San Jose, Ca
 
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Did not trade yesterday due to MLK holiday. I was able to get one trade in CL today. Counter to the major trend, but with the current structure. Because it was counter to the major trend I didn't expect a large winner and purposely managed tight. Two contracts with one a +20ticks and +13 on the second. I'm about $500 away form the profit objective, but trying to maintain my focus on the process and not the $.

David

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 David_R 
San Jose, Ca
 
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Today was one of those days where no matter what I did it seemed like it was the wrong decision. I took 3 trades in CL, 2 losers and one I cut lose for a couple ticks profit. I took one trade in the ES and cut it lose after 2 point loss. I ended the day down about $820.

The good: Cut my losers quick. It seems that if the trade doesn't work out fairly soon, or in other words, price follows through, then my decision was incorrect.

The Bad: I find I get very frustrated with losers very quickly which puts me in make-up mode. This leads to poor decisions.

Conclusion: I'm still in the combine. Didn't hit daily loss limit. Let go of the day and move on.

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 David_R 
San Jose, Ca
 
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Today was good and bad. I took a trade in CL for a total of 90 ticks with two contracts. Since I need to be positive in any instrument traded I traded the ES to try to get back to positive. I ended up self destructing with all the bad habits I've come to cherish about myself. Jumping in and out. Reversing. Revenge trading. Lost almost the entire profit from the CL trade.

I think the fix to the negative actions are more waiting. More patience to let the market resolve itself and then take a trade. Trying to force something in a 1.5 point range is asking for what I got today. Now I need to find the answer to more waiting and patience.

I'm still in the combine. It is a continuous combine. I'm 10 days in with about 1600 in profit, but need to get profitable with the ES to qualify.

D

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 BoltTrader 
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I am trading the same contracts as you and like you I was down in ES. It took me several days to get in back in the positive and I finally did it today. You can do it! Just to let you know it feels real good when you get "All Green" in the Combine again.

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 David_R 
San Jose, Ca
 
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Thursday was a screw up. The $900 I made in crude turned out to be in the SIM acct and not the TST acct, so Thursday was a losing day of about $900. Today was as well. I tried to recover from yesterday and hit my trailing account stop which was at $50,000. So I either need to restart again, or call it quits.

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 madLyfe 
Des Moines, Iowa
 
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Thursday was a screw up. The $900 I made in crude turned out to be in the SIM acct and not the TST acct, so Thursday was a losing day of about $900. Today was as well. I tried to recover from yesterday and hit my trailing account stop which was at $50,000. So I either need to restart again, or call it quits.

keep at it @David_R. user error is easy to fix. remember that its $100 to restart it, but that is separate from the monthly combine fee.

dont believe anything you hear and only half of what you see

\_(ツ)_/

(╯□)╯︵ ┻━┻
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 bobwest 
Site Moderator
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keep at it @David_R. user error is easy to fix. remember that its $100 to restart it, but that is separate from the monthly combine fee.

I agree. Mistakes are going to be made. Getting better, which you have done, will stay with you, and you can start again with that ability in hand.

Bob.

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 Big Mike 
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David_R View Post
Thursday was a screw up. The $900 I made in crude turned out to be in the SIM acct and not the TST acct, so Thursday was a losing day of about $900. Today was as well. I tried to recover from yesterday and hit my trailing account stop which was at $50,000. So I either need to restart again, or call it quits.

David, you've been a good member here for a long time.

How much time out of your life have you invested in trading?

What sacrifices have you made?

How much money spent?

What motivates you?

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 David_R 
San Jose, Ca
 
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David, you've been a good member here for a long time.

How much time out of your life have you invested in trading? It's been 10 years or so since I started.

What sacrifices have you made? Spent money on software, seminars, books, DVD instead of doing other things like travel.

How much money spent? Education and software type stuff probable around $20k. Trading 150-200k

What motivates you? The freedom of not working for a corporation and probably the money

Sent from my phone


How much time out of your life have you invested in trading? It's been 10 years or so since I started.

What sacrifices have you made? Spent money on software, seminars, books, DVD instead of doing other things like travel.

How much money spent? Education and software type stuff probable around $20k. Trading 150-200k

What motivates you? The freedom of not working for a corporation and probably the money

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 Reddingcrudetrade 
Redding, CA. Shasta
 
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well, im right there with you Dave on blowing multipal combine accounts, In all my look back assessment I am in need of deeper analysis..ie reletive Volume and price action, that and a surrender to the hallucination of picking tops and bottoms, :lalala:Cl and lately YM continue to prove that...perhaps im ready to let go of needing to be right ...what a ride to hell that is ...stay with it D our persistence to understand ourselves will prevail...

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 trendisyourfriend 
Legendary Market Wizard
Quebec
 
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Something to inspire you.

?My life works??a context for your life - Morty Lefkoe

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 amoniak 
Slovakia
 
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Hi David

This is my first post in futures.io (formerly BMT) after 3 years. Im writing you because you are great person. You posted a lot of great stuff and was opened to anybody.

I blowed 6 combines to see what is my problem and now im in new one to fix my problem which was showing in all combines. That problem is risk and money manegement.

I saw a lot of trading systems(good ones) which failed on bad position sizings and risk models.
As somebody wrote RISK is the only one thing you can manage in trading. You dont know what king of move will be next, If it hits all your targets etc. But you must know how much you will risk and if you hit your loss limit just call it a day and stop trading.

From my experience this is how I have setted my combine:
Account TST 30000$
Trading CL
Risking 10 ticks in one trade profit target is 15 ticks
Max. daily loss is 300$ + commisions.
If I hit 300$ profit Im done. If i hit 300$loss Im done. If I feel I had enough chances Im done. Friday 2wins 2 losses(I did 4 trades so it was enough for me so I quit my trading platform)

Hypoteticaly I have space to make 15 loosing trades in a row to blow the account. It takes me 5 days to blow account. The probability to have 15 lossing trades is not high.
I have 1:1,5 RRR which is important because its much easier to make some profit.
I have daily risk limit 300$ so I am not able to erase profit from two days in one loosing day.
I have profit target 300$ so I cant be greedy. As more trades you will take the biggest chance that you will psychologicaly ruin yourself and blow account.You remember just one trade and i will be in +ve and bla bla bla. Its not you its you ego and ego is not friend for traders.

I hope you will find something from that in best inspiring and will achieve the combine.
Best luck

Andrej

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